Brazilian Campeonato - 12th Oct
 

Wed 12-Oct-05
00:30 Sao Paulo 2/5 Ponte Preta 11/2 Draw 3/1
00:30 Sao Caetano 13/8 Internacional 11/8 Draw 11/5
00:30 Paysandu 11/10 Coritiba 2/1 Draw 9/4
00:30 Flamengo 10/11 Atletico Mineiro 5/2 Draw 9/4
00:30 Atletico Paranaense 4/9 Brasiliense DF 11/2 Draw 11/4
odds from sportingodds

Re: Brazilian Campeonato - 12th Oct
 

Paysandu - Coritiba 1 at 11/10

Simple really... Paysandu with new coach at home against a weakened Coritiba team. I was told 5 players are out for Coritiba which on the top of that are always considered as a "home" team and here they are away. Paysandu is also a "home" team so we have many good factors for the odds of 2.1. You see the value>?;)
Btw, Paysandu seems like a team that does not like draws especially at home(15 games- 2 draws) so no point of covering it.

P.S. The so called "new coach" syndrom normally works in South America so no reason to believe that it won't work this time

Re: Brazilian Campeonato - 12th Oct
 

Good stuff - although i have just been having a look about at recent H2H and it doesn't make for good viewing.

2005-07-02 Coritiba 3-1 Paysandu
2004-10-31 Paysandu 0-0 Coritiba
2004-07-18 Coritiba 1-1 Paysandu
2003-09-28 Coritiba 1-0 Paysandu
2003-05-25 Paysandu 1-3 Coritiba
2002-09-18 Paysandu 1-1 Coritiba

Paysandu haven't beat them in 6 attempts although i do like the new coach coming in. Always get a vast improvement from the players and the team performance when the new coach is installed.

Re: Brazilian Campeonato - 12th Oct
 

Good point, Kiko! Much appreciated.

When I was looking at the unpleasant for the eye H2H I decided that maybe the draw option should be covered somehow but then I remembered the undrawing abilities of Paysandu this season so simply reduced my stake from 8/10 to 7/10(that's what I am taking) Maybe should have reduced it more to 6/10 or even 5/10... so it's up to you guys to decide. A small word in my defense is that the Brazilian as well as the Argentinian championships are so dynamic(players coming and going) that those H2H are not such a strong factor as in the big Euro comps.

Re: Brazilian Campeonato - 12th Oct
 

BRASIL: Campeonato Brasileiro, Serie A

Sao Caetano v Internacional OVER 2.5 goals 1.5 points 1.88 @10bet
Sao Paulo v Ponte Preta OVER 2.5 goals 1 point 1.97 @10bet
Paysandu v Coritiba OVER 2.5 goals 1 point 1.88 @10bet

10bet even have BETTER odds than the exchanges! quick bet before they realise :)

www.onlinetips.co.uk

Re: Brazilian Campeonato - 12th Oct
 

meedorf,

don't know what that was but it's gone? Was is for long time? I think those Russians will count it as one of those errors and may not pay but you never know... Did you managed to place a bet?

I like:

From 10Bet's prices I like:

Paysandu(-0.25) - Coritiba 1 @2.02 for 7/10(similar to the bet posted above)
Flamengo - Atl. Mineiro(+0.5) 2 @1.84 for 5/10
Atl. Paranaense - Brasiliense over3 @1.746 for 4/10
Sao Caetano(+0.25) - http://www.10bet.com/10BetClient/images/1x1.gif Internacional 1 @1.787 for 3/10
Sao Paulo - Ponte Preta(+1) 2 @2.05 for 2/10


Don't feel like explaining 4 more bets(I am watchng live the World Chess Championship) so let's call the experimental bets! ;)
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Re: Brazilian Campeonato - 12th Oct
 

Paysandu v Coritiba will take place in a closed stadium tonight, so the home advantage isn't what it would otherwise be. I wouldn't take 2.10 on the (1)myself but value is in the eye of the beholder, etc...

Good luck with all of your bets. :)

Re: Brazilian Campeonato - 12th Oct
 

No I didn't place a bet as I am not a 10bet member? Does it happen often with their site as I will not quote them in future?! They wer the odds at that time tough..

Re: Brazilian Campeonato - 12th Oct
 

What a con, I have changed the odds to betfairs

Paysandu game Over 2.5 @1.55
Sau Paulo game Over 2.5 @1.52
Sau Caetano game Over 2.5 @ 1.64

Re: Brazilian Campeonato - 12th Oct
 

meedorf,

It's the first time I hear them(10Bet) go wrong like that... Normally they don't!. Otherwise for the AH punter they are a must have bookie and always pay incredibly fast(I use Neteller). But enough advertising them cause I am not sure if Mr. Kompressaur would like that...

raven.

Thanks for the update, mate! I hate when the latest news go against my bets but this info was post in gazetaesportiva this morning at 9:33 when was way too late for me. Already had the bet placed a lot earlier... Brazilian federation does like to take late decisions. Anyway, I would have played Paysandu even if they were playing away so all I can say to myself now is:"Chico,don't be discouraged!" :k

Re: Brazilian Campeonato - 12th Oct
 

Hey Welcome Kombinator good work!

Mr.Kompressaur :lol ... like most that you post on TDP ;)

Nice to have some american in TDP :k Where do you come from in the USA?

Good luck to all gamblers tonight! I stake some money on International....

Re: Brazilian Campeonato - 12th Oct
 

probably would have permed trebles from six if i could have on the OVERS. They have just kicked off though :banghead

Re: Brazilian Campeonato - 12th Oct
 

Nice one Kombinator - thought it was all over for you when they went 1-0 down but a 70th min goal and then a 90th minute winner makes it all very sweet for yourself :beer

And unlucky Mr C - That bet of yours wouldve done alright wouldnt it have with 4 of the 5 games going over. Doh!

Re: Brazilian Campeonato - 12th Oct
 

Okay, let's see what happen:

Sao Caetano - Internacional 1:1
Flamengo - Atletico-MG 1:2
Atletico-PR - Brasiliense 4:0
Sao Paulo - Ponte Preta 3:2
Paysandu - Coritiba 2:1

I was bragging about: Paysandu - Coritiba 1 at 11/10 -> 7/10 :headbang

and then about:

Paysandu(-0.25) - Coritiba 1 @2.02 for 7/10
Flamengo - Atl. Mineiro(+0.5) 2 @1.84 for 5/10
Atl. Paranaense - Brasiliense over3 @1.746 for 4/10
Sao Caetano(+0.25) - http://www.10bet.com/10BetClient/images/1x1.gif Internacional 1 @1.787 for 3/10
Sao Paulo - Ponte Preta(+1) 2 @2.05 for 2/10

So a pretty nice clean sweep with no losses at all! :rollin

P.S. I am watching the World Poker Series so will count the winnings later... :beer

Re: Brazilian Campeonato - 12th Oct
 

Well done, Kombinator and welcome to TDP (sorry I'm a bit late :lol ).