Germany, 16 Sep - 19 Sep

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Germany Bundesliga 2 - 16.09.2011: Eintracht Frankfurt - Hansa Rostock

Eintracht Frankfurt - Hansa Rostock Betting Odds, Soccer - 2. Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt (-1)
Odds: 2.00 (SBOBET)
Stake: 5/10

I do not understand the reason why Frankfurt gets such a pretty huge price at home against promoted team Rostock who are still without a victory. To make you clear, why we have value odds on Frankfurt, I just want to compare odds of today's match with odds of Frankfurt's previous home match. Frankfurt got -1.25 @1.93 at home against Paderborn and today we have the -1 line at roughly the same price. Back then, Frankfurt was extremely unlucky not to win since they wasted tons of opportunities. But for which reason, Rostock should have a better chance to get something from Frankfurt compared to Paderborn? I do not know. Paderborn is better than Rostock and is a nut which is difficult to crack away from home. Nevertheless, Frankfurt was able to create a lot of big goal chances against deep defending Paderborn and they were unlucky only to play 0:0. And compared to the Paderborn game, Frankfurt does now have two more very expensive signings from 1. Bundesliga, named Mo Idrissou and Rob Friend. The Canadian striker Friend is tall and physical strong striker whom manager Veh as looking for. He is a vital man in such a game because it's good to have someone who can convert crosses into goals. This was a problem in the previous home match against Paderborn because Gekas was too small. Idrissou is a high quality player and someone who is actually a 1. Bundesliga player. It was a very suprising signing, though. Nobody did expect him to go down to second division because he is actually much too good for this league. So, this is another great addition for Frankfurt. Another important thing is that captain and best midfielder Pirmin Schwegler is very likely to return to the lineup which would have a very positive impact on Frankfurt's play.

Rostock has a nice defence but they do not have any offensive quality, having only scored 3 goals in 7 games. Last week they were unable to create one single goal chance at home against Braunschweig. They lack a good converter since they have the poorest conversion of chances of the league. So even if Rostock will get a few opportunities, it's likely that they will miss them and it would be a big suprise if Rostock would score in Frankfurt.

Of course Frankfurt will need patience to be succesful against Rostock but if they scored the 1:0, it will be an easy game. Compared to the home match vs. Paderborn, they have two new brilliant strikers in the lineup (Idrissou and Friend). Frankfurt is simply much, much stronger and a -1 line is very suprising here. Also, I do not understand why they got -1.25 at home against Paderborn who are stronger than Rostock and for which reason they now get a -1 line. Frankfurt is a team which is full of Bundesliga players for whom second division is just a temporary solution and if they will find the right mentality tonight, they will clearly smash Rostock.

[codface]

Quality tipping

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Germany Bundesliga 2 - 19.09.2011: Karlsruher SC - Sankt Pauli

Karlsruher - St. Pauli Betting Odds, Soccer - 2. Bundesliga

Sankt Pauli (-0.25)
Odds: 1.86 (188bet)
Stake: 6/10

Last season Karlsruhe closely avoided relegation and finished the season on the 15th rank. Their biggest problem was their ridicolous bad defence. They conceded believe it or not 72 goals in 34 games which is of course very bad. This summer break they exchanged almost the whole squad and signed many players from lower division clubs. In the beginning, it worked quite well and they got 6 points from the first 3 games. But then they lost 4 games in a row and they suddenly play absolutely pathetic. All these defeats were deserved and with many goals difference. Especially on their own home ground they showed some horrible displays, among others the 0:4 against below-average FSV Frankfurt or the 1:3 against Braunschweig. It is difficult to find reasons for their poor failure within the past weeks. Against Duisburg and Aue, they won against two teams who have back then been in a very bad form. Their defence simply plays without tactic and order and this will be quite a big problem against Sankt Pauli. They are very good in counter attacking and they are clinical in front of the opposing goals. Another reason for their sudden failure might be that their most talented attacker Terrazino sustained an injury.

A very important aspect why I believe that Sankt Pauli will get all three points is the fact that manager Scharinger is very close to be dropped. Recently I had the impression that the players clearly played against him. Also, home advantage is not the biggest ever at the moment. The Wildparkstadion is a very extensive home ground where atmosphere is not very hot and fans seem to be against their team. One early conceded goal and the team would collapse, I am quite sure.

Also Sankt Pauli is not depending very much on their own home ground in this season. All their away displays in this season against three strong teams (Bochum, Frankfurt, Braunschweig) were pretty decent. They were a bit unlucky to lose in Braunschweig but well, beating Braunschweig in their own stadium is very difficult. Sankt Pauli can depend on their very solid defence and their strong goalkeeper who do not allow very much. Their fast counter attacks are very dangerous through players like Kruse (who is by the way in the best form of his life) and the very fast player Bartels (who is the best winger of this league). Especially in the midfield, Sankt Pauli has clearly advantages. Boll, Bruns, Kruse and Bartels are players who would definitely be good enough for Bundesliga1 and new signing Schindler recently made a very strong impression as well. Moreover Sankt Pauli has a great mindset at the moment and much self confidence since they were able to beat 1860 4:2 after having been 0:2 behind last week.

I think that situations in two clubs couldnt be more different. Sankt Pauli is first of all the better football team on every single position, they have tons of self-confidence and performed reasonable on the road so far. Karlsruhe has 4 consecutive defeats at the back and 13 conceded goals in 4 games. They seem to play against their manager and do not have the support of the fans anymore. Sankt Pauli should easily win here. -0.25 is a perfect choice because if things are bad, Karlsruhe could maybe get a lucky draw but I am extremely sure that Sankt Pauli will not in a thousand years lose this game.