Czech weekend 22nd-25th

[mord]

Sparta Prague - Sigma Olomouc 73 1.57 3.53 5.66 22.04.2011 20:15
Slovacko - Ostrava 66 2.27 2.94 3.08 23.04.2011 16:50
Usti n. L. - Jablonec 64 6.86 4.02 1.41 24.04.2011 15:00
C. Budejovice - Pribram 65 1.86 3.11 3.97 24.04.2011 17:00
Liberec - Teplice 64 2.00 3.06 3.46 24.04.2011 17:00
Hradec Kralove - Brno 61 1.87 3.23 3.83 24.04.2011 17:00
Bohemians 1905 - Ml. Boleslav 62 2.57 2.93 2.61 24.04.2011 17:00
Plzen - Slavia Prague 58 1.52 3.57 5.72 25.04.2011 18:30

[mord]

Usti nad Labem – Jablonec

Jablonec is now the team with the best form in the league, last game they trashed Budejovice with five goals. Jablonec scored 20 times in the spring part and got only three goals and mainly attacker Lafata with three hattricks in last seven games(!) showed his killer face.
Usti is the worst team in the league, I think everyone in the team know that they have no chance to save the league, even coach Habanec said that some of the players gave up.
Here we can see big gap between both teams, moreover Ustí plays in Teplice without any fans, so Jablonec will have more fans there. Only one thing that worries me is bad pitch in Teplice, but all attacking teams that played there against Usti showed that it is playable (Sigma 3-0, Plzen 5-0, Hradec 2-0). Odds fell right after asia showed them up, but fair spread for me here is -1.5.

Jablonec -1 @1.76 3/10


Hradec Králové – Brno

It looks like Brno is heading to the second league, what they showed in last three games can´t be called a fight. They shooted only once on the gate in last league game against Liberec and moreover they lost both legs in czech cup against poor third league team Kromeriz. There was also a very bad incident on the last league game when some security not a very nice persons attacked home fans, many of them will not go on the stadium again. New coach doesn´t look like some new impuls for the team, many players look like they don´t want to play. Atmosphere around club is horrible.
Hradec is now on 99% saved in the league, but they can be 100% sure after the game against Brno. Hradec is playing offensive football and they are traditionaly very strong on their home ground, IMO they will try to confirm the first league on their home stadium in front of their fans and win this game.
Brno is not fighting for the league, I thought that they will show more heart into the game, but nothing happened. Hradec will IMO win this game easily and unfortunately deffinitively send Brno to the second league. Odds are really nice for me, I have -0.75 for this game.

HK -0.5 @1.88 3/10


and one unofficial bet
Sigma at Sparta @6.5 at Expekt
Sigma won at Sparta every five years - 1995/96, 2000/01, 2005/06, so its a time for another victory

[Garfield]

Hi Mord,

I was on the same two bets as yourself, but couldn't believe the Usti score! I don't know if you've had chance to see the game, but it's just one of those results I can't get my head round, took a big hit on that one

On to better things, can you see any reason for Plzen not to beat Slavia on Monday? I keep waiting for Slavia to show a serious improvement, but it doesn't seem to be happening yet. The only thing I can see against it is Plzen not having the stomach for it with Sparta pressing. Apart from that it says home win to me.

[mord]

Originally Posted by Garfield

Hi Mord,

I was on the same two bets as yourself, but couldn't believe the Usti score! I don't know if you've had chance to see the game, but it's just one of those results I can't get my head round, took a big hit on that one

On to better things, can you see any reason for Plzen not to beat Slavia on Monday? I keep waiting for Slavia to show a serious improvement, but it doesn't seem to be happening yet. The only thing I can see against it is Plzen not having the stomach for it with Sparta pressing. Apart from that it says home win to me.

Hi if you want to see what Jablonec missed, you can see it here, VIDEO: Ústí nad Labem versus Jablonec 2:1 - iDNES.cz

but be careful, your keyboard could be smashed by your fists when you see this


HK - Brno 1-0
Sigma was better, but they had bad luck with ending, could be like 0-2 after first half

Plzen - Slavia

Plzen have to win this game to jump from Sparta again, some injured players are back in the team, it will be sold out today.
Slavia showed big improvement in the spring and they are climbing up the table, they will be today only without important midfielder Janda. This looks like a interesting mathc between two offenisve minded team. Spread and odds for the home win and over looks fair to me without any value, I would wait for live betting here.

[Garfield]

Thanks for that link Mord, unbelievable some of those misses. A bad weekend got even worse with Plzen conceding twice in the last 2 minutes.