Czech league 19th-22nd

[mord]

last winter round

[Garfield]

Hi Mord,

I'd be interested to hear your thoughts in Plzen at Bohemians today. Plzen were running away with the league until a couple of weeks ago but seem to have stalled a little with a recent defeat at Mlada and a home draw with Liberec last time. Bohemians always seem to raise their game v the better teams, do you think they are good for a point today?

Liberec v Usti
Liberec seem to have found their form now with two wins and then the draw at Plzen last time. Usti now seriously struggling in the top division, seems like a clear home win to me

Sigma v Pribram
Sigma unlucky at Jablonec last week. Jablonec scored 2 penalties to lead 3-0, though Sigma put up a spirited reply to bring it back to 3-2 and were unlucky not to to a point. I would expect their home form to be too much for Pribram who have picked up a few points recently, but mainly at home

[mord]

Hi mate, you have the same games as me

Sigma Olomouc - Pribram

I will go once again with Sigma here, Sigma lost last game in Jablonec where they were the better team whole time and only two penalty kicks (both disputable) and bad ending in some situations didn´t bring them any points. So we have almost the same situation as before the last home game where Sigma trashed Budejovice 5-1, Sigma will hunger for three points, I expect that they will press Pribram from the first minute and will score at least three goals in their net. Both teams met with each other at the beginning of the season and it was a one way game, Sigma had the ball for 73% of the time and only bad luck in ending didn´t mean a home loss for Pribram. Sigma will be without regular deffenders Dreksa, Skerle and Veprek, but IMO it is not so big loss in the home games, ok it is almost whole deffence, but Pribram is the worst scroing team in the league, and Sigma will not let them play and will control the ball, I expect a total offensive football due to these missings.
Sigma have to win this game and get closer to Sparta. Fair spread for me is -1.5.
Sigma -1.25 @1.83 3/10

[mord]

Slovan Liberec - Usti nad Labem

I really like the way that is Slovan playing with coach Rada in charge, they harvested 7 points from last three games and were able to get a point even from Plzen after very good performance. Their last home game against Hradec ended 3-0 and it was one way game from Liberec, they didn´t let Hradec to do anything in this game and I expect something like this also in the game against Ustí.
Ustí is now last in the table, with the worst deffence in the league (13:34), their squad is narrow and there are no money for some new players. They don´t play so bad football, but they make a lot of mistakes in the back. They deffinitely need some points, but the quality difference here is really big. If will Liberec continue with the good football that they showed in last games, they will have no problem with Ustí. Liberec will deffinitely try to win their last game before the winter break to get closer to the top teams. Value spread for me, -1.5 would be much more accurate.
Slovan -1.25 @1.70 3/10

[mord]

Slovan 3-0 +2.4u
Sigma 3-1 +2.49