Czech weekend 29th-1st

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another round

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Viktoria Plzen - Teplice

Not big fan of totals bet in czech leagues, but i see value in this spread. Plzen lost their first league game in Boleslav last round and got four goals in their net. As their deffender Limbersky said, this can´t happen again and they have to focus more on deffence this time. Ok Plzen scored 20 times at home and they are the best scoring team in the legaue but 11 of this goals were against the poorest deffences in the league - Brno 4-1 and Usti 7-0. Plzen didn´t score more than two goals against good deffending teams like Pribram and Bohemians, but they are still much worse teams than Teplice. Teplice have for me, the best deffensive tactics against attacking team with deep deffensive block and fast counters. Teplice won last four games, even against teams like Olomouc and Sparta (1-0, 2-0), they got only one goal in those 4 games and total 7 goals away from home this season (3 in game against Boleslav).
I´m expecting very careful game in the back from both teams, Plzen will try to avoid any mistakes in the back and in the center of the field due to very dangerous counter attacks, Teplice will play their usual "concrete" deffence. Spread 2.25 will be much more accurate here and not 2.5 or opening 2.75. Under for me.
Under 2.5 1.93 3/10

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4-2 FT - Teplice traveled to Plzen without two key players (one central back and one midfielder), so bad informations for this pick sorry
-3u

some info for todays game

Jablonec - Mladá Boleslav

Both teams showed horrible footbal in midweek cup games, Jablonec got 4 goals in Olomouc against third league HFK (4-2) where they scored only from a penalty kicks, Boleslav lost 0-3 in second league Sokolov, both teams showed nothing and mainly Jablonec could be happy that they didn´t get 6 goals in their net.
Jablonec is very good at home and is slowly climbing up the table with three victories in the row and score 10-2 from last three games, mainly attacker Pekhart is now in great form. Boleslav is also in very good form, they didn´t lose in last 8 games and they are the only team that was able to beat Plzen last round. No major injuries on both sides.
Both teams will surely more concentrate on this match than in midweek, both team have no problems with scoring goals, so over looks good here, but i will wait for better spread.