Czech league 30th-2nd

[mord]

3rd round

[mord]

Usti nad Labem - Liberec

Usti is a newly promoted team and i´m really surprised what football are they showing so far, they lost their first home game against Boleslav, but they were the better team and they missed several 100% chances even the penalty kick. They won after very good performance in Brno 3-1, where they play on fast counter attacks. This was their main problem in first game, because they were little bit naive and open the game against Boleslav, as the coach said they will play more like in Brno from good deffense and on quick counters, because Liberec have only one point and they will try to harvest some points in Teplice where is Usti playing their games. Liberec didn´t show nothing special in both rounds, they were lucky for a draw in Budejovice and lost their home game against Plzen. IMO Liberecs deffence will have problems with fast Usti attackers and I really don´t think that Liberec should be a favourite in this game.
For me this spread should be 0 not +0.25.

Usti +0.25 @1.83 3/10

[Garfield]

Good write up Mord. What do you reckon for one of Sunday's games, Banik v Brno? Brno have had a poor start to the season, losing two from two, while Banik have drawn two tough games with Slavia and at Pribram.

The only thing that concerns me is that they have only scored 1 in the last 4, but after a slow start is it time for them to step up a bit? Also as they are involved in the Europa league, are they likely to see this as a priority with their 2nd leg coming on Thursday?

[mord]

Originally Posted by Garfield

Good write up Mord. What do you reckon for one of Sunday's games, Banik v Brno? Brno have had a poor start to the season, losing two from two, while Banik have drawn two tough games with Slavia and at Pribram.

The only thing that concerns me is that they have only scored 1 in the last 4, but after a slow start is it time for them to step up a bit? Also as they are involved in the Europa league, are they likely to see this as a priority with their 2nd leg coming on Thursday?

I was thinkg about this game, but only if Baník wouldn´t play in EL, they lost a huge offensive power during the break with Licka, Micola and Vydra and they still can´t find some good shooter, Brno has one of the shitiest teams in the league now, they are really horrible, the owners are destroying the team with their decisions. But they can play a good deffensive football away from home (worse is their game on the home ground where they have to play some football). They are able to hold 0-0 till the end of the match, but this is pure lottery, Baník can finally score some goals, I will stay off.

[mord]

I have a bet on Budejovice +0.5, but spread changed to +0.25 so not so big value, maybe under should be an option.

here some info

Sparta played very difficult match with Lech Poznan midweek, so they will rest some regulars in this game and use bench players like in last home game against Slovacko where they luckily won in extra time (2-1). Out for this game is key deffender Repka, without him Sparta always struggle. Budejovice have two draws in the row against opponents that want to play on the top places and i think draw is also possible in this game, I don´t see so big power in Spartas reserve players.

[mord]

Pribram - Sigma Olomouc

Sigma didn´t win in Pribram for 11 years, but Sigma didn´t beat Jablonec in Olomouc for 7 years and smashed them last round with four goals. The offensive power of Sigma will be huge this year even without the best scorer of last year Ordos that is injured (longterm). There is attacking line - Hubnik, Sultes, Petr that work together greatly, back in team is former Olomouc player Kucera from Bielefeld who strenghtened the back line and one of the best creative midfielders on czech grounds Melinho, but he was still not in top physical form (I think he will be ready today), so the team is now very well taged together.
Pribram is also unbeaten, played good football against Baník and won in Teplice, but IMO both these teams are not as good as last year. Pribram with coach Marko put together last year a young team with many talented players, now new coach Hridel continues with the good work, but the quality is surely on Sigma side, they will play for the top places this year and I think they will win in Pribram.
Value spread for me.
Sigma 0 @2.00 3/10

[mord]

Usti - Liberec 0-0 half won +1.32u
Budejovice - Sparta 1-0 bet won + 2.37u
Pribram - Sigma 0-0 bet void ...possession of the ball for Sigma 73%, Pribram in total deffensive block