Quote:
Originally Posted by DSQUAREDLOL
The weekend was poor until now but I am confident that I will have winnings this evening.
22.03.2010: Fortuna Duesseldorf - 1. FC Kaiserslautern
My preview in German:
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My preview in English:
Dusseldorf is the biggest suprise of the league (they came from the 3rd league) and mainly at home they won very consistent. They always beat weak sides like Ahlen, Oberhausen or Frankfurt at home but they had often problems against stronger sides. They beat Kaiserslautern 2-0 in the first leg indeed but that was caused by a very defensive performance by Dusseldorf and Kaiserslautern has got huge problems against defending sides anyway. At home they beat Bielefeld (6th) 3-2 very undeserved and 2-0 against Duisburg (5th) but Duisburg showed a poor performance. Apart from that they had big problems against strong sides .. they lost away in St. Pauli and Augsburg. Dusseldorfs last performances were really bad, too: The 1:0 away win in Aachen was very lucky, the 0:0 against Furth was not really good, too and last weekend they lost 2:0 away against Frankfurt (16th). Their hopes for a promotion place are disappearing currently and they need a home win today evening. That means that I expect an offensive performance by them but Dusseldorf is not a really good side and I do not think that they will be able to score against Kaiserslautern. Furthermore their most important striker Jovanovic is injured.
Now some words about Kaiserslautern: Kaiserslautern is the best side of the league and above all their defense is great. They have got problems against defending sides indeed, for example against Ahlen (18th) when they just play 0:0 at home or against Frankfurt (16th) when they played 1:1 a few weeks ago. But matches like this one against Dusseldorf are perfect for them because they can counter attack. Dusseldorf must win and Kaiserslautern will counter them with their fast strikers like Sidney Sam or Ilicevic. That is a perfect initial position for them and if Kaiserslautern will use their counter opportunities, I can not imagine that they won't win. Although they are on the 1st place they were very motivated at last and a win would be important because St. Pauli and Augsburg won, too. I can not understand the huge odds for the away win. Kaiserslautern is much better and Dusseldorf normally has got problems against sides like Kaiserslautern and Dusseldorf is under pressure. But I wouldn't go for a straight away win because a X would be enough for Kaiserslautern, too. But I can not imagine that Kaiserslautern will lose and so I will have a really big bet on the DNB.
Prediction: 1. FC KAISERSLAUTERN AHC 0 DNB (DRAW NO BET) @1,94 (StanJames) / BIG
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0:0 FT in a balanced game and so I return my stake .. Kaiserslautern with a big, big opportunity in the overtime but all in all the 0:0 is equitable.
This weekend was the worse of my life.. I lost a little bit money but next weekend will be better.