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  #16 (permalink)  
Old 13-05-2006, 08:57
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Re: Eastern European Football 12th - 15th May

Thanks Mr i on the info. I realised late last night that Tomsk is quite far East (from where I am standing) and much closer to Vladivostok than other russian cities.

It was too late to get bothered to actually look for the actual distance.

I noticed the drop and if I had any serious money on the homewin I would start laying so I can get a nice payback whatever the scoreline. Effectively my betting season is over so I had a single point on the homewin played early @ 1.8 stays like it is.

No harm done even if I don't get it, so good luck with your punt.
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  #17 (permalink)  
Old 13-05-2006, 10:49
mord's Avatar
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Re: Eastern European Football 12th - 15th May

Sparta Praha - Viktoria Plzen

Last chance for Plzen to stay in the league, if they will win and Jihlava that is playing with Slavia will screw it they will stay in GL, but they didn't get a point from Sparta from last six duels. But it is different situation now - Sparta have nothing to play for and they concetrated themselfs on czech cup, moreover Sparta fans love ex-sparta and now headcoach of Plzen Straka so they won't be so much disapointed if Plzen make some points there. I think coach Griga will be resting some players from starting line-up and i hope Plzen will play for the first league.

My punt: Lay Sparta @1,62 Betfair
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  #18 (permalink)  
Old 13-05-2006, 11:10
fdl68's Avatar
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Re: Eastern European Football 12th - 15th May

teplice - most 1?

i would take them in combo with slavia ...
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  #19 (permalink)  
Old 13-05-2006, 11:47
I'm wicked and I'm lazy
 
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Re: Eastern European Football 12th - 15th May

Amkar - Rostov
Rostov is typical away team. Quick wingers, solid defence and Rostov likes to play on counters. Amkar is one of the poorest team of division and they aer weaker than Rostov but due to home advantage I expect them to atack so good chance to Rostov to play their favorite soccer.
No important missings.
My pick Rostov 3.90 Expect
AH pick 2(+0.5) 1.62 GB
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  #20 (permalink)  
Old 13-05-2006, 12:40
archaeus's Avatar
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Re: Eastern European Football 12th - 15th May

tFC Farul Constanta v Poli Aek

Pointbet missed the handicap on this game, setting the line to -0.25 instead of -0.5 or even -0.75. Poli has some big misses for today, PLesan, Simek, Mansour, Silvasan, Zimmermann, Constantinescu, all injured and Coman suspended. They are in a clear downtrend and all the hopes the fans put behind them are now lost. Poli has nothing to play for in the remaining rounds, only for pride. Farul on the other hand wants to get the Intertoto spot. They made a good game last round away to Rapid, 0-0, with GK Curca MOTM. They will miss only Lungu, who was sent to 2nd squad for disciplinary reasons. I will have my money on Farul on the AH as i feel it is set up wrong, and also think that some goals will be scored as both teams love to play attacking football.

Bet Farul -0.25 odds 2.06 @ pointbet 5/10
Bet over 2 goals odds 1.90 @ bet365 6/10







Pandurii v Arges Pitesti

Some strange things happened on the market with the odds on this game. Every bookie dropped the odds on the home win because of some rumours about this game having some dirty things arround it. Tbh, i was couple hours ago at my local bet shop and the odds were the same as yesterday and believe me that if something is strange arround some game in Romania, they know it and either the game is out of the list or the odds drop like sh1t. The second reason the odds dropped is because of Arges. They have nothing to play for in the remaining rounds, the team is in deep crisis after coach Cartu was sacked 2 rounds ago, they lost with a humiliating 5-0 at home last round vs Otelul, they have a new owner who's only goal is to beat Dinamo . (Every one hates Dinamo in Romania so i understand them.) Pandurii sit on the 15th place, first one that goes down. They are 4 points behind Vaslui, but they have an easier finish and they have a good chance to avoid the drop ONLY if they win today. This is a win or die for them so i expect the players to be fully focused on the game and get all the points. I will have my money on the home team, medium stake though.

Bet Pandurii odds 2.00 @ sportingbet 6/10








FCM Bacau v Sportul Studentesc

This is last place vs 2nd place. Bacau is 99% relegated and the hopes to remain in the 1st league are dead. They play very bad and only pride and character can make the players continue to fight, but i doubt they stand many chances against Sportul. Sportul is the only team who does not depend on the other's teams results to win the title. If they win all the remaining games they are champions. The first game is today at Bacau and the young team of Sportul can make the first step towards the biggest shock and surprise in Romania. They have the full squad available and i am confident they will win with at least 1 goal difference.

Bet Sportul -1 odds 1.93 @ bet365 8/10








Dynamo Bucuresti v FC Vaslui

Can't see any other result than a confident Dinamo win. They gained some self confidence after the win at Petrosani, 3-1 and they still hope they can win the title. Only defender Galamaz is out injured for Dinamo, Vaslui is with full squad. I do not have many things to say about this game other than i can only see Dinamo beating Vaslui with at least one goal difference. The value difference is big and although Dinamo didnt play the best football lately, they are title contenders and a win can make them climb the ladder.

Bet Dinamo -1.5 odds 2.12 @ pointbet 5/10









Otelul Galati v National Bucharest

This game is played today, not tomorrow as the odds comparison suggests.
Otelul is such a strange team. Check out the results at home:
13157
8:19
8
only one win
Check out the results away from home:
13634
21:17
21

Tbh i am unable to understand this, the fans are with them, they have a new pitch that is one of the best in the country, they play with the same team yet the results ore so opposite. National is safe in the middle of the table, they will play in the Cup final with Rapid and they don't have what to play for in the championship. Still i will not bet on the home side as you saw what are Otelul's results at home. I will have a medium stake on the over 2 goals because the final part of the championship brings us some nice scorelines and both teams can score at least one goal.

Bet over 2 goals odds 1.92 @ pointbet 6/10










good luck with your picks in Romania today
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  #21 (permalink)  
Old 13-05-2006, 12:54
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Posts: 116
Re: Eastern European Football 12th - 15th May

Zilina v Ruzomberok is the game I am going to tonight! Zilina still have a chance to win a UEFA Cup spot, but their chances are only theoretical. Ruzomberok certainly have a very strong motivation to win here tonight, they have a two point lead at the top of the table and I am sure they will want to maintain that. I small wager on Ruzomberok at 2.60 (Expekt) might not be such a bad idea.
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  #22 (permalink)  
Old 13-05-2006, 13:04
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Re: Eastern European Football 12th - 15th May

Quote:
Originally Posted by kompressaur
Dukla Banska Bystrica look ok to me in the slovenian leagues. Unbeaten in at least their last 10 to the other team. They're about 5/2 too anyone any info on that? I know the draws the worry but surely the price is too big. Dukla Banska Bystrica are in form and the other team arent by the stats.
Dukla Banska Bystrica are such a high price because it might take them some time to adapt to the new league after being relocated to Slovenia. Also, Puchov need points very badly to avoid relegation... with Inter returning to their shite form, perhaps there is still hope for Puchov. Banska Bystrica have nothing to play for, that is my main concern when betting on this game.
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  #23 (permalink)  
Old 13-05-2006, 13:07
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Re: Eastern European Football 12th - 15th May

Plzen lead 2:0 at Sparta, while MB lead 1:0 in Liberec after a penalty. Nothing like a bit of match fixing.
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  #24 (permalink)  
Old 13-05-2006, 13:09
A.M.P's Avatar
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Re: Eastern European Football 12th - 15th May

Great posts Arc - but I can't find that Panduril at Sportingbet/sportingodds or Betandwin now!
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  #25 (permalink)  
Old 13-05-2006, 13:18
archaeus's Avatar
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Re: Eastern European Football 12th - 15th May

Well they put the game off the market, but you can still get 1.90 @ bet365. Probably they fear the game could be fixed but i doubt it.
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  #26 (permalink)  
Old 13-05-2006, 17:01
archaeus's Avatar
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Re: Eastern European Football 12th - 15th May

16:00FTFarul Constanta 4 : 2 Poli AEK Timisoarah2h
17:00FTBacau 1 : 2 Sportul Studentesch2h
17:00FTPandurii 1 : 0 Argesh2h
17:00FTOtelul 2 : 0 Nationalh2h



17 points proffit so far, money back on Sportul and Otelul. Let's hope Dinamo makes this day perfect.
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  #27 (permalink)  
Old 13-05-2006, 17:15
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Re: Eastern European Football 12th - 15th May

Top work. I didn't take the om Panduri in the end but I'm glad you had a good return.
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  #28 (permalink)  
Old 13-05-2006, 17:18
archaeus's Avatar
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Re: Eastern European Football 12th - 15th May

I am sorry you didnt take them AMP, i am also sorry that i don't post my previews earlier but i am waiting for news with 1-2 hrs untill the games start.
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  #29 (permalink)  
Old 13-05-2006, 17:33
IsovitisGR's Avatar
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Re: Eastern European Football 12th - 15th May

Quote:
Originally Posted by mord
Slovan Liberec - Mladá Boleslav

Odds on MB are going down so don´t wait - for Liberec will be better if would end on second place Boleslav, so it means they must lose, because then they will be in better pot in CHL draw. Boleslav is strong team and Liberec have no motivation so i would bet on them even if i don't know this new situation.
My punt: Away win - now is 2,04 Betfair, but locals are going down - many of them have @1,85 now
Good tip Mord!
I took them on 2.20@Ladbrokes last night!

Keep up the good work mate!
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  #30 (permalink)  
Old 13-05-2006, 18:38
mord's Avatar
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Re: Eastern European Football 12th - 15th May

Boleslav [2-3] FT
Sparta [1-3] FT

I hope everybody earned some money
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