Xanthi - Akratitos
Xanthi is 6th in the table, and with a win in this game they will seal an
Uefa Cup spot. They come from a surprising loss away vs Kallithea. Xanthi are good at home (9-5-0). This will be the last game of the season in front of the fans and Xanthi would like to finish with a positive result. In this game they will have important absents, influential regular Labriakos (F), also influential regulars Manso (M), Papadimitriou (D) that missed the previous game as well.
Akratitos is already relegated. They come from a loss at home vs Kalamaria. The morale is low, and many players will leave the team the summer. Coach Keoseian left the team, and temporary coach is his assistant. As travellers they have record 1-2-11. The team is in mediocre form lately, still they are unpredictable. Akratitos will have also many absents in the game. They will miss regulars Pipinis (D), also Badas (D), Goustavo (M), Skoufalis (M), Pagonis (M) that missed the previous game as well.
In the first round Akratitos - Xanthi 2-0
Xanthi are the big favourites at home vs relegated Akratitos. With a win they seal an
Uefa Cup spot, also they want a positive result in front of the fans. Still they have some impotant absents and they are not in very good form. Akratitos is in mediocre form and unpredictable, still the morale is low in the team. Predicions for o/u are difficult as Xanthi will miss their best striker. The home win is the more possible result. The odds are low but not far from fair, it can be a part of a combo.
Atromitos - Kallithea
Atromitos are 8th in the table, and can challenge a place at Intertoto Cup. They are good at home (7-4-3). They come from a loss at home vs Panionios something that caused big protests by the fans. Now the players would like to improve the climate with a win in this game, that is the last for the season in front of the fans. For this game regulars Mihailidis (GK), Koutsis (M) return in the squad, whereas influential regular Merino (M) is doubtfull.
Kallithea are already relegated. They come from a home win vs Xanthi. Still the morale is low in the team and some players will leave the summer. Their record as travellers is 0-3-10, and also have one of the worst defenses in the League. In this game they will have some absents. They will miss regulars Lazanas (F), also Koutsospyros (F), Tsiggas (F) that missed the previous game as well. Impotrant to note that Atromitos signed Koutsospyros this week.
In the first round Kallithea - Atromitos 2-3 in a game Kallithea have many complaints from the ref.
Atromitos are the favourites in this game. They are good at home, better team, and also have to return to positive results after the last loss vs Panionios at home. Kallithea are in rather good form, still they are relegated and the morale is low. A possible over given Kallithea mediocre defense. The home win is the more possible result, still the odds are lower than expected as dropped a lot. It can be a part of a combo.
My bet will be a double, Xanthi + Atromitos 1.30*1.55 = 2.01 at
Eurobet, stakes 6/10.
Few words for the rest of the games.
Many scenarios including the teams in relegation danger, some bookies have blocked the games, and the odds are very low. The motivation is very impotant factor at this stage, still bettingwise at such low odds some games are not very interesting.
Ionikos - Larisa
Ionikos is not far from relegation zone and need at least 1 point from this game. They are good at home, and are a team with good offensive line. In the worst scenario 1 point is not enough for them, so they will search for the 3 points if they can, as next round they face Olympiakos away. They will miss influential regular Da Kosta (M), also 3 other regulars that missed the previous game as well.
Larisa are 7th in the table and are interested for a place at Intertoto. They come from a home win vs Olympiakos. They are mediocre travellers anyway. In this game they will miss 2 regulars.
Ionikos are favourites in this game as they play at home and are much motivated. Still Larisa is a good team, and are also motivated for the Intertoto. A draw can suit both teams. Still in the worse scenario (Levadiakos win vs Olympiakos and some other results combinations) 1 point can be not enough for Ionikos. The home team have the quality to take the win, given also Larisa mediocre performances as travellers. 1x is a good coverage in the game. The draw looks the more possible result.
My bet will be the draw, 3.00 at
Bet365, stakes 3/10.
OFI - PAOK
A must win for OFI in their fight to avoid relegation. They are good at home in front of the fans (4-5-4). In this game they wlil miss some regulars that missed the previous game as well.
PAOK have secured an
Uefa Cup spot. They come from a home win vs Levadiakos another relegation candidate. Not conviencing travellers (3-5-6). In this game they will have many absents. Influential regulars Zagorakis (M), Sikabala (F), and other 3 regulars as well.
In the first round PAOK - OFI 2-0.
Motivation is huge for OFI, and they are good at home. PAOK is unmotivated for the game, and also have important absents. Still PAOK is better team, and they will fight in the game. The odds for the home win are very low and there is not value. Anyway its possible the fihgting spirit of the home team to give them the valuable 3 points.
Panionios - Iraklis
Panionios in relegation danger, and need points badly. Their record at home is 3-4-7, not very conviencing. This is very crucial game for the team, and the fans are expected to help the team. Panionios come from an away win vs Atromitos in a game the fans of the home team protested alot for their team performance. Not major absents for them.
Iraklis come from an impressive home win vs Panathinaikos. They have secured an
Uefa Cup spot and are unmotivated for the game. They are impressive at home but not so good travellers (2-5-7). A team with good offensive line and in good form. For this game influential regular Georgiadis (M) is doubtfull.
Motivation is huge for Panionios, still Iraklis is better team and in better form. The home ground will be an advantage for the hosts, and also the fact that Iraklis is unmotivated. The odds for the home win are way too low and those for the away win at 8.00 are tempting... Anyway Panionios will make their best to take the 3 points, and this looks the more possible outcome. Its hard to see Panionios relegated, and this is a key game, but still this is not a game to have much money involved.
My bet will be a combo OFI + Panionios 1.60*1.30=2.08 at
10bet, stakes 4/10.
GL2A
Greek football 30 April
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