portugal 30 april

[igor5]

Sunday 30 April 2006 (16:00h)

Amadora v Penafiel 1.30 4.50 9.00
Belenenses v Acádemica 2.00 3.40 3.75
Benfica v Setúbal 1.36 4.75 9.00
Marítimo v Paços Ferreira 2.30 3.40 3.75
Nacional v Boavista 2.37 3.25 3.00
Naval v Uniao Leiria 2.05 3.25 3.75
Porto v Guimarães 1.89 3.50 4.00
Rio Ave v Sporting Lisbon 3.75 3.40 1.90
Sporting Braga v Gil Vicente 1.83 3.50 4.33



very intresting round ,no more friday and monday football ,thats gonna be big blow for me ,i am gonna put some money on something else, maybe nba,hfl,mlb

porto-guimaraes

porto is alredy a champion ,they celebrate last round with 0-1 win against penafiiel,after 8 wins without conceeding a goal!!so maybe something for guimaraes?? they need the points for salvation,but h2h is very bad for guimaraes ,only one point for them ,last year 0-0,but porto gonna be drunk,maybe gonna paly with youngstres ,so i am goonna go with guimaraes just for fun

guimaraes@ 4.00 1.5 points



Nacional v Boavista

game for the last place for uefa. nacional won just 1 game aginst belelenses in last 6 home games ,boavista without a win in last 8 games(drawn five) , in h2h boavista won 2 from last 3 games on nacional ground so maybe under is sure thing for this game ,and draw is good for boavista ,they cannot score a goal ,tahts something stange for them lately so .........

under 2,5@ 1.65 4 pts
draw@3.25 2 pts


Benfica v Setúbal

this should be a banker,but benfica put too much suprise this year and for this odds-big fat NO BET ,maybe over is better for this game,setubal without motiv, benfica in fighting with sporting for second place ,they recive goal last round in 88 minute for 1-1 awat with week nacional and fuck up very good chance for that second place,so maybe they already give up ,so no way that i gonna put on home win ,just over for me........
h2h is on benfica side 6-1-0 ?!?!?!?

over 2,5 @ 1.75 4 pts


Rio Ave v Sporting Lisbon

rio need poinst for salvations ,sporting need points for that 2 pl,sporting recive just 1 goal in last 10 games (porto 0-1) they've also now gone 3 without scoring,pinto is suspended,couple of players is injured , red card in last round,but a think this is the game that gonna decide for that cl place ,rio ave this year is very week and its time for sporting to score some goal,i don`t expect to recive

h2h 1-2-3 last win for sporting 2000 ?!?!?!?

sporting@1.9 6 pts


Sporting Braga v Gil Vicente

braga is save in 4 th palce ,they already on vacation ,they produce some upset for academica last roud ,but this time my money gonna go for gil vicente ,they have much biger motiv ,they are not save yet ,
h2h 5-2-0 for braga,tehy are best home side but lets not forget that lost last game home from very veak ferreira 2:3


gil vicente@4.33 3 pts

GOOD LUCK

[Napoleon Solo]

Imo Porto are too big at evens or above. I know they've got the title wrapped up but they've won eight in a row without conceding a goal, are 12-3-1 at home and should be putting out a full strength squad. Porto haven't been priced above 2.00 all season, not even against the likes of Benfica, Sporting or Boavista.

Guimaraes are 3-5-8 away from home and 2-4-2 in their last eight games, 1-3-1 in their last 5 away games. I'd say the draw was a possibility but the 3 reccent away stalemates have come at mid- or low-placed teams. Guimaraes also need a win to realistically have any chance of staying up so they're going to have to attack, rather than being content to defend.

Porto @ 2.15 stinks of value imo!

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Also, the Sp.Braga v Gil Vicente is a similar type of game, Braga don't need the points anymore as they're just about assured of 4th place and are just about out of reach of 3rd. They suffered a suprising defeat at home to Pacos in their last home match and the players are determined to make up for it apparently. Not sure of any team news just yet but this is a very heated derby contest and i'm sure Braga would have no qualms about helping GV into a relegation place.
Gil Vicente could do with the points to move them away from the relegation zone, but are 1-1-3 for their last 5 away games, the points coming at Naval and Penafiel (both in the relegation zone). Again, not found any team news yet.

You can pick the home win up for 2.39, but an equally attractive proposition may be the AH(-0.25) available at around 2.11.