Chiefs Tennis Thread 2011.

[Chief77]

Originally Posted by Chief77

Lay Stosur 2-0 @2.1- 2 Points (Liability 2.2 Points)
2.5 Points Over 23.5 games in the Soderling V Llodra match
3 Points Chela @1.63
2.5 Points Under 20.5 games in Del Potro V Russel match
2.5 Points Cilic @2.2
2.5 Points Fish @1.88
1 Point Monaco @2.92

Over 3 points profit from that lot. Mr Raonic laughing in the face of my suggestion that he could be feeling tired after so many games lately. He plays in his second ATP tour final in a row this evening. Amazing stuff from the Canadian. He faces Roddick tonight and is available @3.0. Very tempted to get back on the Raonic train but I'm gonna leave it. Wozniacki Kuznetsova doesn't really appeal to me so no bets today.



Winners/Bets: 19/34
Stakes: 83 pts
Profit:13.01

[Chief77]

Roddick beat Raonic 7-5 in the final set last night in the Memphis ATP final. . Very enjoyable match despite two huge servers on show. There were actually quite a few decent rallies. Raonic out-aced Roddick by about 32-20.

Here's match point where Roddick pulled out a spectacular dive to win it.

YouTube - Andy Roddick Vs Raonic Match Point.MOV

YouTube - Andy Roddick Vs Raonic Match Point.MOV

[Chief77]

Backing Kanepi @1.87 to beat Peng. Pengs no slouch on these hard courts but Kanepi's game is that little bit better in my opinion and despite her collapse against Jankovic last week I think she can make it through here today.

Oudin @1.92 to bt Tsurenko @1.92: Neither player clay court specialists but Oudin won two of her three clay court matches last year (two of them against top 100 players). Tsurenko had no notable victories last year on this surface.

Verdict:
2 Points Kanepi @1.87
2 points Oudin @1.92

[Chief77]

No joy yesterday with the Kanepi bet voided after a no show and Oudin retiring during the second set. Two point loss after that.

3 Points Davydenko V Berdych @1.97: Davydenko has a very good record against Berdych (8-1 I think) and although he's had a couple of dodgy results of late the same can be said of Berdych. Davydenko actually beat Berdych just a month ago in Koyong and also reached the final in Doha in January, losing to Fed. Should be a close match but Davy can edge it.

3 Points Hantuchova to bt Dushevina 2-0 @1.99: Dani was in fantastic form yesterday beating Azarenka in a really good match. She's on a roll at the moment having won Pattaya a couple of weeks ago. lost the first set yesterday but was really impressed with the way she came back. Served quite a few aces as well. She's played Dushevina twice before winning in straight sets both times. Actually gonna have a small bet on Dani to win outright. May be getting a tad carried away here as it's a quality field but if she can improve her 1st serve percentage she can go a long way.

0.5 Points Hantuchova to win Doha @22.

0.5 Points Zakopolova to bt Li @4.5: Price a bit big for me. No doubting Li's quality and she was very impressive during her Aussie Open run but she did lose to Wickmayer last week which suggests she may be slightly vulnerable against her Czech opponent.

Verdict:
3 points Davydenko @1.97
3 Points Hantuchova 2-0 @1.99
0.5 Points Hantuchova to win Doha @22.0
0.5 Points Zakapolova @4.5

[Chief77]

Originally Posted by Chief77

2 Points Kanepi @1.87
2 points Oudin @1.92
3 points Davydenko @1.97
3 Points Hantuchova 2-0 @1.99
0.5 Points Hantuchova to win Doha @22.0
0.5 Points Zakapolova @4.5

Ugh. Horrible day with Davydenko only getting going halfway through the second set and Hantuchova dropping the first set before edging through. Thankfully Zakapolova won at a decent price to scrape a couple of points back. Berdych-Davydenko match was awful today. Will be looking to take on Berdych next time out.

Bartoli is the bet tomorrow. She was fantastic against peer today and seems to be regaining the form she was showing in 09. Peng had a good win over Schiavone but it wasn't a great match truth be told. Hantuchova V Zvonereva is a match I'm looking forward to as they're two of my favourite players. Dani's odds are tempting (3.55) but I'm gonna leave it after her poor showing today. Will also probably have a bet on Giles Simon tomorrow against Gasquest. Price won't be great but he's in fine form and it's hard to see him losing against his fellow Frenchman.

Verdict:
3 Points Bartoli @1.76




Winners/Bets: 20/38
Stakes: 91.5 pts
Profit:7.26

[Chief77]

Originally Posted by Chief77

[B]Verdict:
3 Points Bartoli @1.76
3 points Simon @1.67

Day started off well with Bartoli crushing Peng and Simon taking the first set of fGasquet but went rapidly downhill after that with Gasquet playing great tennis (That backhand of his is stunning) to edge out Simon 6-4 in the 3rd set. Hantuchova also lost to Zvonereva in an epic battle, 7-5 in th e3rd. Hantuchova served for the match and played really well for 90% of the match. Just lost her way at the crucial points (Not for the first time)

Jankovic to bt Zvonereva @3.1: Today can be the day Jankovic can finally announce her return to the big stage. She's been getting better and better with every match and has cruised through to the semi's losing just 11 games enroute. As mentiond Zvonereva had a hell of a battle yesterday and definitely wasn't at her best. She's there for the taking for teh fresher Jelena I reckon.

0.5 Points Bartoli @5.2- Think Bartoli's price is a tad big here. She's playing great stuff this week and although Woznicki has cruised through to the semis this could be a much tougher test for her. Bartoli has won the last two meetings between the pair.

5 Points Ferrer @1.5: Thought Ferrer would be around the 1.35 mark for this. Dolgopolov has had some eyecatching results on clay recently but surely there's no way he can beat the Spanish terrier.

Verdict:
3 Points Jankovic @3.1
0.5 Points Bartoli @5.2
5 Points Ferrer @1.5


Winners/Bets: 21/40
Stakes: 97.5 pts
Profit:6.04

[rcgills]

Read earlier that Jankovic had problems with a knee injury in her 2nd set yesterday, Chief. I've backed her too, but with Bet365 who void if the match isn't completed, just in case she ends up retiring today.

[Chief77]

Originally Posted by rcgills

Read earlier that Jankovic had problems with a knee injury in her 2nd set yesterday, Chief. I've backed her too, but with Bet365 who void if the match isn't completed, just in case she ends up retiring today.

That bit of news totally escaped me rcgills. First I heard about it was at the end of the match when Zvonereva asked Jankovic if her knee was alright. In fairness I don't think it affected her too badly. After a poor first set she played really well and at 4-4 in the 3rd sets when she had three break points I was sure she was gonna see it out. But Zvonereva served fantastically well to get out of a hole. Very good match and Jankovic is definitely almost back to where she wants to be. The slump seems to be over (injured knee permitting)

Originally Posted by Chief77

[B]Verdict:
3 Points Jankovic @3.1
0.5 Points Bartoli @5.2
5 Points Ferrer @1.5

Hit the crossbar yesterday with Jankovic almost coming in at a nice price. Ferrer eventually cruised through after a scare in the first set and Bartoli was crushed by Wozniacki.

Two boring bets today.
3 Points Fed @1.66: Djokovic has been pretty average all week and struggled yesterday against an injured Berdych. He actually said after the game that it was his worst performance of the year.
4 points Wozniacki @1.33: Zvonereva has had two really tough battles in the last two days and is surely up against it here against the number one in the world.





Winners/Bets: 21/40
Stakes: 100 pts
Profit:6.26

[Chief77]

Originally Posted by Chief77

Two boring bets today.
3 Points Fed @1.66:
4 points Wozniacki @1.33:

A collapse of Fianna Fail proportions over the weekend for me. Disastrous doesn't even begin to describe how those two bets fared. Fed and Woz both crushed in straight sets leaves me reeling on the ropes unsure of what day it is and where to go next.

Ok, I now know where I'm going next. Kuala Lumpar.
WTA tomorrow and Jovanovski is way underpriced. Tanasugarn had a great run at the end of last year winning in Osaka and although she has lost her three matches this year she can run Jovanovski close tomorrow. Jovanovskis 17 wins in her last 20 matches seems impressive at first glance but if you look closer nearly all those matches were against players outside the top 100.

Verdict:
1.5 Points on Tarnasugarn @3.9.


Winners/Bets: 21/42
Stakes: 107 pts
Profit:-0.74