Tennis 12-18 May (Men: Hamburg Masters, Women: Roma)

[Toadface]

GAME OVER!!!!!!!!!!!!!

7-5 6-2 Verdasco


now left with Monaco to beat Seppi

Monaco leads 2-1 second set, adv Seppi

[Toadface]

Monaco 5-2 down in the second set and Seppi now serving for the match!!!!

I give up on tennis!!

[Toadface]

Think ive jinxed the Monaco game by betting on it, sorry to those of you on Monaco to win!

I hope he makes a come back, not looking great though

5-3 down in the second set and needing to hold serve then break sevre to stay in the match

[Toadface]

GAME OVER!!!!! 6-3


WHO SAID MONACO AND FERRER WERE BANKERS TODAY!!!!!!

[rcgills]

Originally Posted by frank69

Hi friends,

What do you think of Radwanska against Chakvetadze? the Russian player is not in great form and yesterdayshe has won a match with a lot of difficulties.

Hi Frank. Tough one to call I think, Chakdvetadze had problems yesterday, but Radwanska wasn't much more convincing either, getting past Vinci in 3 sets. If I had to choose a winner I'd say Radwanska, but at the price I don't really need much persuading to just leave this one alone. Good luck if you go with Radwanska.

[rcgills]

One final bet for me as I touched on earlier. I've mentioned these stats a few times in recent months, but worth mentioning again. Wozniacki is a very promising player, but every time she comes up against the very top players, she falls apart. Since October she's met what I'd consider top players 7 times (Venus 3 times, Sharapova, Ivanovic, Kuznetsova and Davenport). Outcome? 7 defeats, 0 sets won, 14 sets lost, and none of them have even been close - she's always lost by at least 5 games overall. Sharapova hammered her 6-0 6-1 in their meeting, at Doha in February. Clay might not be Sharapova's favourite surface, but it's certainly not Wozniacki's either (4-4 for the year, and 16-11 for her WTA career).

Sharapova had a tough game last time out against Cibulkova, eventually pulling through in 3 sets, but she'll be the better for a work-out like that after nearly a month off.

The handicap has been set a bit too close for my liking (+/- 5.5 games on Sporting Odds), although that handicap was cleared in 6 of the 7 matches I've mentioned, and the total games market (+/- 18.5 games) is dodgy given that Wozniacki took Ivanovic to a tie-break (after losing the first set 6-1), and Venus to a 7-5, so she's capable of keeping one set close at times. So I'll go for the 2-0 Sharapova option instead.

Sharapova 2-0 @ 1.62 5pts

[frank69]

Originally Posted by rcgills

Hi Frank. Tough one to call I think, Chakdvetadze had problems yesterday, but Radwanska wasn't much more convincing either, getting past Vinci in 3 sets. If I had to choose a winner I'd say Radwanska, but at the price I don't really need much persuading to just leave this one alone. Good luck if you go with Radwanska.

Thanks rc I will make a small bet on radwanska and then I will look for all green on betfair

[rcgills]

Originally Posted by rcgills

Sharapova 2-0 @ 1.62 5pts

That very nearly went badly wrong Wozniacki was 5-1 up and serving in the 2nd set, got broken 3 times in a row to leave Sharapova 6-5 up and serving for the match, broke back to go to a tie-break, and eventually lost. Still, a winner's a winner I guess.

[frank69]

Originally Posted by rcgills

That very nearly went badly wrong Wozniacki was 5-1 up and serving in the 2nd set, got broken 3 times in a row to leave Sharapova 6-5 up and serving for the match, broke back to go to a tie-break, and eventually lost. Still, a winner's a winner I guess.

Compliments rcgills. You are not fortunate but very competent. You also compliment to the good engineer.

This is a great forum.

[engineer]

Originally Posted by rcgills

That very nearly went badly wrong Wozniacki was 5-1 up and serving in the 2nd set, got broken 3 times in a row to leave Sharapova 6-5 up and serving for the match, broke back to go to a tie-break, and eventually lost. Still, a winner's a winner I guess.

Managed to stick some money on Sharapova 2:0 @3.1, when she was down 5:2 in the second set, but it wasn't surprising that Wozniacki couldn't handle the pressure.
Good job yesterday, RC

[engineer]

Cheers, Frank.
I think TDP's tennis forum is one of the best in the world of betting forums, although there are not that many posters (but readers mainly )
It used to be even better when Wittmann was around, hope he'll be back rather sooner than later, but still we are doing a decent job here.

[engineer]

Just spotted a HUGE price for Roger Federrer to win the tournament in Hamburg.

Centrebet are offering 4.25 for Big Rog. A monstrous price indeed! He can be laid @3.50 at betfair now. I have an account with the Australians but don't use it as I can't make a withrawal without sending them a bunch of documents (interesting why they don't require any document when you make a deposit )
So, if anybody's interested in some easy money, try the bastards

[engineer]

And from what I've seen, it looks like Roger is back on the right way. Didn't have to sweat much against Nieminen and Soderling, don't think Verdasko and Kiefer/Seppi can stop him to make the final. Obviously Nadal will be there too, but I believe Federrer has every chance to defend his title from the last year. Nadal is making a bit more errors than usual and that can be punished by the gaining confidence no.1

[rcgills]

I'm going against Federer today I'm afraid, Engineer

Been impressed with the posh (so I'm reliably informed ) Verdasco so far this week. Has a fairly high unforced errors count, but you can put that down to the fact he tends to go for his shots. If it's his day, and he hits the lines with his shots, I think he's well capable of an upset in this one. Federer's been up and down this week, looked good in places, but he looked shaky at the start of the 2nd set v Nieminen for example, if I remember rightly he was broken twice in a row in that set.

Lay Federer 2-0 @ 1.57 to win 4pts
Lay Federer @ 1.17 to win 10pts

Also gone with Djokovic -5 games against Montanes. Montanes going OK so far, but against either poor, out-of-form or non claycourt opponents. Djokovic with an eye on moving up to 2nd in the rankings will want to get this one finished off as soon as possible ahead of a scheduled semi-final v Nadal, and I really can't see any reason why he shouldn't be able to do so.

Djokovic (-5) @ 1.833 4pts

No bets for me in the other 2 semis, Kiefer v Seppi looks too tough to call, and I can't see Moya troubling Nadal in the other one, but I don't back favourites at that short a price.

[rcgills]

For the women:

Venus v Jankovic > 22.5 games @ 1.833 4pts

6 past meetings between these two, they've won 3 each, and 5 of them have gone to a 3rd set. If they go the distance again here, the bet is near enough guaranteed to come in (barring a 6-0 0-6 6-0 or similar )

Cornet (+4.5 games) v Serena @ 1.833 4pts

These two met last month in the Charleston semi on green clay, and Serena only just cleared a 5 game handicap. Cornet has been in superb form here in Rome, coming through qualifying and the first 3 rounds here without dropping a set, including beating Kuzntsova. Not sure she can beat Serena here, but I do think she'll run her very close. Definite dark horse for Roland Garros too.

Pironkova @ 2.62 4pts

No time left now to write more. Good form, beat Ivanovic, decent price. That'll do for now.