WTA 23rd -29th July - Clay Austria & Hardcourt Standford

[Wittmann 44]

Stanford (Hardcourt)

Bank of the West Classic

Bad Gastein (Clay)

Couldn't actually find a website for the event in Bad Gastein - its a small new event in the calender and the first main WTA tour event in Austria for a long time. Very weak looking field and with some of the seeds out of form expect some shocks/

[Wittmann 44]

Ladies in Austria

Salierni vs Camerin

Camerin in the mother and father of slumps right now. She has lost the last 6 and is 7-17 for the year. Salerni is on a nice little run – she has won a Challenger on clay in Italy in her last start (beating Palermo winner Errani) and made a final prior to that. She has made the SF stage of 7 events (1 WTA) this season and looks poised to make a breakthrough to the main ranks. She beat Camerin on a fast indoor hardcourt back in 2005 and this looks like it will suit her much more.

2 Units Salierni @ 1.54

Gallovits-Rezai

I opposed successfully Gallovits last week when she started an unjustified favourite in Palermo but I will support her as an underdog against the volatile Rezai today. Rezai is an Iranian with the father from hell who has sought asylum in France. Her father has been in trouble with the French tennis authorities and managed to get his daughter banned from Roland Garros training grounds for his antics and she currently is facing some sort of immigration proceedings so I’m not sure will she be 100% focused here. Gallovits is nothing special but isn’t as big a dog as she is painted here.

0.75 Units Gallovits @ 2.74

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Solid 3 set win for Gallovits at heavy odds against to come from behind to keep up an excellent WTA run I have been for the last few weeks. One or two tasty looking WTA bets at Stanford tonight.

Poutchokva-Srebotnik

Massive price on Poutchokva tonight IMO – due entirely to her wretched form during the clay and grass season - W3 L7 on grass and clay this year. Hardcourt is her best surface however and while she has been poor on hardcourt this year she went 24-8 last year and made 4 finals (2 Challengers). Among the scalps were Jankovic, Mirza, Kostanic and Ivanovic. She hasn’t become a bad player overnight. Srebotnik has hardly covered herself with glory either as a W17 L15 record shows – she has suffered hardcourt defeats to some very average players.

Lay Srebotnik @ 1.28 (0.75 Units Risked)
0.25 Units Srebotnik 2-1 @ 4.6 (Avg)

Craybas-Osterloh

The two Yanks have shared 4 games between themselves with Osterloh winning the sole outdoor game. This looks an even game to me. Form for the year favors Osterloh and Craybas was very poor in her last outing in Cincinatti.Osterloh was slightly better going out to semi finalist Amamurdova in the QF. A 50 : 50 game – value with the dog here.

1Unit Osterloh @ 2.36

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Some good results yesterday to show a nice little profit on the day. Tonight I'll be backing two underdogs who I feel offer a little value.

Lay Bammer @ 1.47 vs Sugiyama (1 Unit Risked)

1 Unit Shevdova to beat Vakulenko @ 2.96

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Shevdova a break up in the final set. Should have been two. Have hedged my stake at long odds when she was 3-0 up but hopefully she can close it out. I need some relief from the hammering the men are giving me .

A final Stanford bet for tonight.

Morigami-Mirza

Both are coming of execllent runs ins Cincinatti. Mirza made the SF and Morigami the final. Both were beaten by Chekevatdze en route to her winning but Moriagmi got demolisghed while Mirz lost a tight 3 setter. Morigamo has won 2 of the 3 meetings but I've never fancied her as a player and hardcourt kis definitely Mirzas best surface. Injury took her out of circulation for a while but I think she is on the road back.

1.25 Units Mirza @ 1.98

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Ladies results going very well this week like the last few weeks.

0.75 Units Gallovits @ 2.74 +1.24 Units
Lay Srebotnik @ 1.28 (0.75 Units Risked) -0.75 Units
0.25 Units Srebotnik 2-1 @ 4.6 (Avg) -0.25 Units
1Unit Osterloh @ 2.36 +1.29 Units
Lay Bammer @ 1.47 vs Sugiyama (1 Unit Risked) -1 Unit
1 Unit Shevdova to beat Vakulenko @ 2.96 +1.86 Units
1.25 Units Mirza @ 1.98 +1.16 Units

WTA Event Staked 6.00 Units
WTA Event Profit +3.55 Units

ATP Event Staked 19.00 Units
ATP Event Loss -6.47 Units

Just one from Bad GAstein today.

Pennetta to beat Cibulkova

1.75 Units @ 1.69

The Italian hitting a nice little run of form (2 Italian QFS). Cibulkova poor on clay this year

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Pennetta loses a tight 3 setter. Full update tomorrow.

2 from Stanford

Schynder-Shvedova

Had a nice 3/1+ winner on Shvedova as she beat the inconsistent Vakulenko in 3 the last night. She lost the first but numerous errors and a collapse of her serve by Vakulenko let her back into it. Schynder was n a great run this time last year but has been inconsistent of late. Her Cicinatti blog suggested her confidence was high but she exited tamely to Morigami, a loss that she was unable to explain. She has a great record here with Final, SF and QF in the last 3 years. This is a big leap up for Shvedova and having played 4 matchs in the last 5 days she could feel the pinch. She has had a few injury issues aftre playing a succession of games this year and I think this might be one too far.

2 Units Schynder @ 1.37

Mirza-Golovin

Golovin looks too short here at 1.42 - she has beaten Mirza twice in straight sets on hardcourt but Mirza has hit some form after her injury woes making the SF in Cincinatti last week and putting the finalist Morigami out here in the first round. Fatigue might play a part but I'll take my chances at the prices.

Lay Golovin @ 1.42 (0.75 Units Risked)
Golovin 2-1 @ 4.15 (Avg) 0.25 Units

[Wittmann 44]

Excellent couple of days with the ladies

1.75 Units Pennetta @ 1.69 -1 Unit
2 Units Schynder @ 1.37 +0.70 Units
Lay Golovin @ 1.42 (0.75 Units Risked) +1.70 Units
Golovin 2-1 @ 4.15 (Avg) 0.25 Units -0.25 Units

WTA Event Staked 12.75 Units
WTA Event Profit +4.98 Units

ATP Event Staked 35.25 Units
ATP Event Loss -3.10 Units

3 from Austria

Lino Dominguez – Meusburger

First WTA QF for Meusburger playing at home so the edge in experience very much with Lino who has been in 9 (W 4 L 5). Similar type of results this year but I’d rate Linos two wins here (over Salierni and Malek) as better than Meusburgers. At slight odds against she gets my shout.

1.25 Units Lino @ 2.02

Schiavone-Sazay

Sazay made her WTA breakthrough last week following her ITF win in Zagreb with a win in Palermo. She leads the H to H 2-0 (both comfortable on clay) but I feel she is very very short here against a player of Schiavone’s experience who has beaten some big guns on clay. Schiavone has a poor record at the QF stage of clay events (W2 L11) but she has competed on the full tour for most of her career and I’m going to chance small stakes on her here.

0.75 Units Schiavone @ 2.66

Sanchez-Knapp

Knapp looks very under-priced here. They met twice in 2006 and shared the games (both clay) – both went to 3 sets. Sanchez’s career stalled a bit this year with injury problems but she has come through qualifying impressively here to shock Groenfeld in the second round. Knapp made the SF in Palermo and in Biella prior to that bt shes played a lot of tennis this month and against a player who has run her close in both meetings I’d want more than 1.40.

Lay Knapp @ 1.40 (0.75 Units Risked)
0.25 Units Knapp 2-1 @ 4.15 (Avg)

[Wittmann 44]

Stand still today. Schiavone wins at odds against, Sanchez shuld have but ran out of steam.Lino loses.

1 bet from the Stanford QF

Hantchova-Govortosova

2 Units Hantchova & 1.37

Govortosova having a great run for the last two weeks but Hantchova rarely fails at these odds (W8 L1) and with Govortosova coming through qualifiers you'd have to fancy fatigue as an issue. Hantchova won in 4 & 2 on grass baxck in June and is having her best year since 2001 in terms of W L rations

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Finished with a winner at the QF stage

1.25 Units Lino @ 2.02 -1.25 Units
0.75 Units Schiavone @ 2.66 +1.18 Units
Lay Knapp @ 1.40 (0.75 Units Risked) -0.75 Units
0.25 Units Knapp 2-1 @ 4.15 (Avg) +0.75 Units
2 Units Hantchova & 1.37 +0.70 UNits

ATP Event Staked 48.25 Units
ATP Event Loss -1.22 Units

WTA Event Staked 17.75 Units
WTA Event Profit +5.62 Units

Total Staked 66 UNits
Total Profit ++4.40 Units (+6.68%)