ATP 16th-22nd June - Stuttgart & Amersfoot (Clay) , Los Angeles (Hard)

[Wittmann 44]

3 Mens Events this week


Stuttgart Draw (Clay)

http://www.mercedescup.de/fileadmin/...eld_Einzel.pdf

Amersfoot Holland (Clay)

Nieuws - Dutch Open Tennis

Los Angeles (Hardcourt)

2007 Countrywide Classic

[Wittmann 44]

In terms of outrights I'm not going to even bother looking at Stuttgart. Nadal if he is trying will surely romp this - he won in his last outing in 2005 without dropping a single set. Hes had a tough Wimbeldon though and at 3/10 best price (Boylesports) only the big hitters need apply. Wretchedly there isn't even a chance of e/w value with all bookies going 1/3rd the place. If he did slip up in the top 1/2 Ferrero at 33/1 e/w with Bet 365 might be the best priced to take advantage.

In the bottom 1/2 last year's winner Ferrer must be tired after his exertions in altitude at Gstaad and I will be opposing him (ditto the likes of Monfils). Robredo looked disnterested in Sweden last week defending his title and makes no appeal. Canas has a great record here (won and 2 finals appearances) but 9/1 e/w 1/3rd is a joke.

Amersfoot is a traditionally much weaker event (boasts less than 1/2 the prize money of Stuttgart) so I'm surprised to see Davydenko (Last appearance 2002) and an obviously injured Youznhy. I suppose they are both on appearance money so don't be surprised to see a 2nd or 3rd round exit. A number of players who went deep into events last week might be fatigued (MOya, Volandri). For value I'm having a small e/w punt @ 16/1 (Bet365) on Massu the 2003 winner and finalist from last year. Better e/w terms at 1/2

[kompressaur]

[Wittmann 44]

Thanks Komp. I'm fairly clueless with anything remotely fancy on a pc. How do I do that ?

[Wittmann 44]

Limited games in ffice:smarttags" />Stuttgart today. Of the 5 games the only ones that appeals are:
fficeffice" />
Mayer-Verdasco

The tricky lefty Mayer is on homesoil and boasts a 3-0 (7-0 sets) h to h over Mayer. Hes never gone particularly well here but neither has Verdasco and the Spaniards mental frailty was on display in Sweden again last week when he squandered a break lead in the decider against Soderling (hardly a mark of stability himself).

1.5 Units Mayer @ 2.10

Becker-Cilic

Becker looks very gig at 3s against Cilic as well given the big Croat seems happier on slow surfaces and I’ll have a very small nibble.

0.50 Units Becker @ 3.00


There looks a better selection of games in Holland

Korolev-Hrbaty

Hrbaty never the happiest on clay to begin with seems in a never ending slump at the moment (1 from 10 and sole win against a player ranked outside top 200). Korolev a player on the upswing even if he is having a tough first full year on the ATP circuit should have a bit too much. Korolev has won 4 of his 7 challenger titles in Germany.

Korolev 1.75 Units @ 1.51

Mantilla-Haase

Mantilla after over a year of from skin cancer seems to be finding some form. He plays local wildcard Haase who has never done anything on clay. Mantillas experience should carry him over the line here.

1.75 Units Mantilla @ 1.50


Simon-Ramirez Hidalgo

Simon pulled off a mini shock last week in beating Monaco (I tipped that so it can’t have been that much of a shock ) but Hidalgo easily beat him on clay back in April and I think is a better claycourter than the Frenchman (he is ranked 11 on clay). The Spaniard the value.

1.25 Units Lay Simon @ 1.64

[kompressaur]

Thanks Wittmann. I just thought about doing it a few hours ago. I just put 2 and 2 togther from using it in something else and thought 'hold on this could work' and it half did. Its as easy as posting a link Wittmann and feel free to use it at your leisure. More details here
http://www.thedailypunt.com/forum/wo...aily-punt.html

Your welcome to edit my post's anytime Wittmann if you want to just copy the code onto another post (later in a thread for example) Change the url too to something else also. i like it. we could do a lot with it if i can sort out a few issues.

[rcgills]

Am on Ramirez Hidalgo and Mayer myself, Wittmann. Only other 2 bets for today are a lay of Vanek v Navarro Pastor, and a lay of Delic v Berrer.

[Wayne]

Although I don't do accys very often, I've started to do a Tennis 1st round accy each week of 4-5 selections with total odds of 2.5 to 3.5 and had a bit of success with it. Quite simply, the only real criteria is the overall quality of the selections against the opponent. Not rocket science to be honest. I know shocks happen and that's part and parcel of the betting game, but at least it's worked so far (Kiss of Death!).

Gone with this today;

Calleri - Montanes - Mantilla - Lopez

Pays out 3.3 with Stan James

[Wittmann 44]

A few from ffice:smarttags" />Los Angeles
fficeffice" />
Berrer-Delic

Delic’s top 100 ranking is a mystery to me – based solely it seems on playing lots and lots of challenger events. At least Berrer is making an effort to pit himself against decent ATP players recently. The German has a big serve which should at least keep him close. Delic is another big server but that’s about it and the German looks a big price here.

1 Unit Berrer @ 2.94

Kim-Lee

Kim leads the all hardcourt h to h 2-1 and is fresh from a challenge win in Yuba city> Lee has exited in the first round in each of his five appearances here (although against generally better opposition) and with his last outing at Wimbeldon he must be rusty on the surface.

1.25 Units Kim @ 2.46

[Cinny]

Mayer,Becker, Mantilla good luck

[Wayne]

Originally Posted by waynemcke

Although I don't do accys very often, I've started to do a Tennis 1st round accy each week of 4-5 selections with total odds of 2.5 to 3.5 and had a bit of success with it. Quite simply, the only real criteria is the overall quality of the selections against the opponent. Not rocket science to be honest. I know shocks happen and that's part and parcel of the betting game, but at least it's worked so far (Kiss of Death!).

Gone with this today;

Calleri - Montanes - Mantilla - Lopez

Pays out 3.3 with Stan James

Kiss of Death! All fooking 4 favourites lost!

In fact, if I'd backed against each of my selections, it'd been an 80-1 accy!

[rcgills]

Originally Posted by waynemcke

In fact, if I'd backed against each of my selections, it'd been an 80-1 accy!

That would've been quite some accy. Still, I find it makes it easier to swallow in some ways when all the bets lose, rather than just one costing you.

Unlucky anyway, it's the famous TDP kiss of death. It's a well known fact, you know, posting your bets on here inevitably leads to them losing One of mine's already down today, and Navarro Pastor has just lost the first set 6-1 which doesn't bode well.

[Cinny]

dont know much about tennis but backed a few there today to see them simply wiped out

[Wayne]

Seems like one of those days.......

[Martens]

Originally Posted by Cinny

dont know much about tennis but backed a few there today to see them simply wiped out

it is not wise to bet on tennis events when soccer options are very atractive, tennis is a sport of a single man or woman, nobody knows if he/she wake up with mood to play, if injured, if unmotivated, if whatever...

and also i have to say that i am very dissaponted by the way Nadal "offered" the match in wimbledon's final, i can not understand the under the table rules and deals, "mafia" boys, Nadal should easily win against scared federer, but...refused the title for unknown to me reasons, if i am correct, if my theory is correct, then you will NEVER see again federer to beat nadal on any surface, as from that final, i stopped dealing with "dirty" tennis, i am on soccer

have a nice week anyway