www.help2bet.net

[Beanie]

Good to see you back zonker You gonna get signed up for the Tipster challenge?

[zonker84]

Not got time really Beanie. Got a million other things to do each week, so even though it would only take a minute, it's one more thing I could do without having to do

[zonker84]

Final bets for this free trial. I'll be back later to summarise everything


Recommended bets:


5pts Andrew Johnson to score any time – Crystal Palace v Hull
@ 2.00 Bet365
1.57 William Hill (not a good bet at those odds)


5pts Southampton @ 1.67 Centrebet, Betdirect.net, Ladbrokes


5pts Kilmarnock @ 1.70 Betdirect.net
1.67 Centrebet, Paddy Power


5pts Stenhousemuir @ 2.20 Bet365, Pinnacle, Skybet, Totesport


5pts Berwick @ 2.38 Stan James
2.25 Bet365, Blue Square, Skybet, Totalbet, UK Betting


0.25pts Andrew Johnson to score any time – Crystal Palace v Hull / Southampton / Kilmarnock / Stenhousemuir / Berwick
@ 25.13 Bet365
18.07 William Hill


As usual, the best 3 prices at the time of writing are quoted (unless otherwise stated). Links to all of these bookmakers can be found at the www.help2bet.net homepage. Any further questions or comments you may have regarding these bets can be e-mailed to support@help2bet.net . We will try our best to answer any queries before kick-off. For any new members, the staking plan uses a scale of 0-20 points, with 20 being a (rarely advised) maximum bet. We recommend a starting bank of around 200 points.


Crystal Palace v Hull (The Championship)
Johnson is priced at 2.00 by Bet365 to score at any point during this game. This is a good bet once again, just like it was two weeks ago when Crystal Palace played Stoke. Given that he takes all of the penalties, and has a very good scoring record over the past two seasons this bet looks good. Hull are likely to finish around the middle of the league, so in a game like this the chances of Johnson scoring seem higher than the 50% implied by the odds. Johnson has scored 63 goals in 109 league starts for Crystal Palace, with several of those games in the Premier League. William Hill offer much lower odds on the same bet.


Southampton v QPR (The Championship)
Southampton have looked in decent form all season, while QPR were well beaten in their last game at Wolves. Southampton are of a similar standard to Wolves, and look to have a particularly strong midfield for this level. QPR are not a terrible team, but look to have a lot of mediocre players. This should be a home win.


Kilmarnock v Dunfermline (Scottish Premier League)
Dunfermline have only picked up a couple of draws this season, and look set for a struggle all season. Kilmarnock have been playing quite well, and look like scoring goals, especially at home. They beat Dunfermline three times at home last season, and should do so again here.


Arbroath v Stenhousemuir (Scottish Division Three)
By all accounts Arbroath are defending very poorly at the moment, which is not a good sign for this game, given that Stenhousemuir probably have the best strikers in this division. Stenhousemuir have won all of their league games so far and look a good bet here. This is especially true as usually there are almost as many away wins as home win in this league. Arbroath suffered the same number of home defeats as away defeats last season.


Cowdenbeath v Berwick (Scottish Division Three)
There have been a lot of changes at Cowdenbeath this season, both managerial and on the playing side. They have not had a settled team, and it may take them a while to show signs of improvement. Berwick have been scoring goals for fun and have looked very impressive all season. Cowdenbeath may well do alright this season, but at the current time, Berwick are on much the better form, so have to be the bet in this game.


Summary: The cricket bet on Northants will be settled today, with Northants having a fair chance of winning providing there is no rain. Any bets for Sunday will be sent in good time as usual.

Best of luck with any bets you decide to place,

Help2Bet.net

[zonker84]

Can't complain today after the late goals from Johnson and Kilmarnock. Unfortunately it rained at Taunton, so no play was possible, therefore Northants drew when they looked like winning, and the bet was void. I shall post more later tonight.


Bets: 40 (17 won, 18 lost, 5 void) (11 other bets pending)
Staked: 178.25
Returned: 191.89
Yield: + 7.65%

[zonker84]

Right, I felt I had to post about this, but not because I'm bitter (well I am but never mind!), but I thought I'd draw attention to my astonishingly bad luck with the toss at cricket. It plays such a crucial part in the game very often, so it's very good to win the toss. Since I started posting these bets up in June, here is a summary of the coin toss statistics in games that I bet on before they started:

1st June: Essex Toss=Won (draw)
1st June: Sussex Toss=Lost (draw)
20th July: Nottinghamshire Toss=Lost (won)
20th July: Sussex Toss=Lost (lost)
20th July: Worcestershire Toss=Lost (lost)
26th July: Nottinghamshire Toss=Lost (draw)
3rd August: Kent Toss=Won (won)
3rd August: Essex Toss=Lost (won)
10th August: Nottinghamshire Toss=Lost (draw)
10th August: Northamptonshire Toss=Won (won)
14th August: Essex Toss=Lost (lost)
16th August: Essex Toss=Lost (won)
24th August: Essex Toss=Lost (lost)
7th Sept: Northamptonshire Toss=Lost (draw)


So there it is, 3 tosses won and 11 lost. I just wish it could've been 50% and the profit would've been a lot better. This toss losing on my bets has gone on for 2 years, and I can't work it out

[zonker84]

Right, just to wrap this up for now, anyone who wants to subscribe to my service can do so with a one-off special offer.

I'm going to do 3 for the price of 1 until the end of this month. Therefore subscribe for 1 month and get 3 months, subscribe for 3 months and get 9 months, and even 1 year and get 3 years

Just go to http://www.help2bet.net and subscribe in the normal way, then send me an email from the email address that you used to register, with "The Daily Punt" or "TDP" in the subject line to claim the special offer.

I'll run this offer until the end of September, and it applies to all existing members too. To be even more fair, if there isn't a profit made from September 1st 2005 until 31st May 2006, I'll refund double your membership fee Can't say fairer than that really.

In effect, you can subscribe for the rest of the football season for £18. I shall post up my selections here once again the next time I offer a free trial period.

I shall be offering NBA bets when the season starts free to all, so shall post them up here as well

[Swooperman]

Thats a good offer Zonk, & well worth taking up on folks

[zonker84]

Thanks Swooper

As I have said before, I'm not in the tipster website business to make a fortune, just gives me something to do and hopefully helps people win. The small subscription fees just cover my expenses and compensates me slightly for the time I take to do it all.

I will probably be offering Janaury or February as a free trial as well, and will also be offering my NBA bets free when the season starts there

[rene]

hey zonker, excellent thread mate ...but you said that you stake 1,20 only

only a joke my friend

[zonker84]

Actually I didn't All I did say is that bets priced at those sort of odds shouldn't be ruled out simply because of the odds

Take a look through the thread, you'll find virtually all of the bets at higher odds than this