Hot insider tips

[collette]

Originally Posted by collette on 24th Jan @ Huntingdon

".............He also said to keep an eye on the Curley horse in the 1.0 - a scopey ex Godolphin horse but looks like it will need another run."

the source was a from a form expert, not inside info - the horse ran to expectations and Faith and Reason goes again today in the 3.10 @ Stratford and is 16/1 with Ladbrokes.

He will qualify for handicaps after today's run - so how hard he will try today remains to be seen. Also entered in a better race @ Market Rasen on Tuesday.

This horse is a Saad bin Suroor cast off from the flat who achieved a bhb rating of about [80] on the level over 10-12 furlongs and has better ground today. One to keep an eye on anyway - i think i'll put it in the Competition:

http://www.thedailypunt.com/forum/sh...ad.php?t=17358

Why not have a go in it Notdisgraced? there's plenty of time to enter..

My source has also had a look at your NATOUMBA and he says it has every chance if as good as his first run suggests - that race produced some hurdle winners.

[Notdisgraced]

Originally Posted by Notdisgraced

Today:

Sandown 3.15 ROYALS DARLING 1 point e/w. This MUST be an each-way bet to nothing, they're shouting for this one from the rooftops, at 11/2 or even a possible 6/1 you can't lose on this bet. Or you certainly shouldn't, even given my luck lately. Material World may be a non-runner according to Morning Line announcement just before they went off air, in which case Royals Darling's price should contract.

Lingfield 3.25 AJIGOLO 1 point e/w, currently 12/1 with Betfred and Bet Direct. The same people from Mick Channon world who told me Waqaar was going to win (lost badly) now tell me the same about Ajigolo, what do I know. I'm still keeping the faith.

Stratford 2.0 NATOUMBA 1/4 point e/w. Currently 61/1 Betfair, 40/1 Betfred. An absolute lunatic has given me the nod for this one, trouble is he sometimes pops in winners and placed at outrageous prices, and when he's not talking rubbish off the top of his head and says 'the stable expects', that's when it gets interesting. 'The stable expects' a good chance of a place at least this time, and at these odds we might as well risk 1/4 point e/w.

The market confidence in Royals Darling (6/1 when I tipped it, sent off at 4/1) was evidently misplaced, but I don't think that this was the true form of a horse only narrowly beaten by Detroit City on one occasion.

Ajigolo ran on well in the final furlong but was 3/4 length out of the placings, would have been a nice placer given the odds of 14/1. This should now be backed until it wins.

Natoumba was up with the first 3 but weakened badly.

4.5 points loss on day, 9.9 points loss over 4 days.

3 days to go, lads - place your bets now - is he going to get out of the mire? (Thanks for helpful loan of manure wheelbarrow).

[collette]

i see you had a 14/1 4th too - sods law when you try to proof info. Curley's horse didn't run today (above) can anyone who reads the RP find out why for me?

[ONEDUNME]

Still waiting for a winner

[collette]

Originally Posted by ONEDUNME

Still waiting for a winner

bloody hell ODM be a bit more patient wontcha?

i bet you he gets one next week..

[Notdisgraced]

DAY OFF today.

[ONEDUNME]

I would normally be a bit more supportive Collette but anyone who claims to have inside information and will only be posting selectively (quality over quantity were his words), then goes on to post about ten horses in four days - most of whom wouldn't even beat me over two miles and ran like next week's dog meat - deserves everything they get.

Yes he probably will have a winner next week. A blind monkey with a knitting needle and a copy of the Racing Post will eventually pick a winner by the law of averages. Even MickeyPaul has been known to get lucky every now and again.

So far, the only good thing I can say about these tips is that the bloke has had a day off today.

[Notdisgraced]

Previously, I've tried to give the best of all the info available, and have thus missed out on winners like Tiptoes 9/1 (which I thought had too much good opposition in the race).

This time I'm giving you the lot:

Wolves 1.50 PAPARAZZI 1 point win ( expected to go one better than last time for the powerful Fahey/Hanagan combo).

Lingfield 2.40 MYSTIC MAN 1 point win (blinkered first time, and after 4th in handicap last time should take this).

3.40 LOUPHOLE 1 point win (Seb Sanders up, expected to follow up a good win last time out).

4.10 AUGUSTINE 1 point win (Back on winning mark, win expected following last week's 2nd place).

4.40 COMPETITOR 1 point e/w (29/1 on Betfair seems an unbelievable price, this is visored first time, course and distance winner 3 times, won 7 days ago, it is crafty handicap coup merchant Akehurst's only runner of the day, and he has got Seb Sanders as pilot - a whisper tells me that all this is not to go unnoticed).

[collette]

Good Luck today


don't forget there's loadsa time to enter this fun comp:

http://www.thedailypunt.com/forum/sh...8&page=1&pp=40

[Notdisgraced]

Can you believe the appalling ride J.Crowley gave Mystic Man? Dropped in stone last, the race was just about over by the time he unleashed a storming run to come from nowhere to take 3rd.

Our other selection was also 3rd. The appalling run of luck continues.

Well, I still have to pass on a strong word for EVOLVE in the 4.20 Wolverhampton. It is Oscar Urbina's only ride of the day, and he has piloted more coups than many in this world have had hot breakfasts.

At the 13/1 currently available on Betfair, and the 10/1 available in 4 places with bookmakers (note Ladbrokes only go 8/1), this is a 1 point e/w advice. Also last advice of the day.

[Notdisgraced]

2.5 points loss on day. 12.4 points loss over 5 days.

Louphole won 9/2, 2 placed at 13/2 and 5/2, the others were prominent but faded in the last furlong. Blooper of the day was not spotting Akehurst's other runner- having been told that Akehurst was out to win this race, I concentrated on Competitor and didn't even see his other runner, Blu Manruna, which was 2nd at 20/1. Competitor did run well, however, at a very big price - as did Evolve.

[collette]

nice winner ND

[Notdisgraced]

Before sending out a number of emails about a week ago, and starting to proof on one forum, I had already been quietly emailing a few clients and proofing to allthebets for many weeks. In fact the service started on December 28th (there has also been a website since that time, which I have hardly publicised).

In that time I had a number of successes, including The Outlier W 8/1 (10/1 easily obtainable when advised), which was the sole advice on a Saturday. The very first day started with Capital Lass W 11/1, Networker u/p, Kilgary W 11/8.

However, since going more public, it's been a disastrous 5 days. There have been a number of near-misses, any one of which could have put us well in profit.

But I have realised that I am not prepared to punt out a losing run like this to clients at any stage. It doesn't matter for my personal betting, since I know I'll get a long-priced winner or a number of
shorter-priced winners, like Louphole yesterday, which will put me back in front.

So I'll call off the idea of punting these out as a service, and keep them for my personal betting.

[ONEDUNME]

That's the most sensible thing you've said so far

[collette]

Originally Posted by Notdisgraced

Sandown 3.15 ROYALS DARLING 1 point e/w. This MUST be an each-way bet to nothing, they're shouting for this one from the rooftops, at 11/2 or even a possible 6/1 you can't lose on this bet.

Someone should have told the horse - cos he obviously hadn't read the above post

Originally Posted by Notdisgraced

The market confidence in Royals Darling (6/1 when I tipped it, sent off at 4/1) was evidently misplaced, but I don't think that this was the true form of a horse only narrowly beaten by Detroit City on one occasion.

Great, well personally i think a 6/1 loser is better value that a 4/1 loser (in the long run).

You went eeeasy on NotD, Onedunme... are you going soft?