Ivan Ljubicic (CRO) Vs Andy Murray (GBR)
Murray physically is fresher regarding Ljubicic
Total time in the court: 5.39h the British - 6.35h the Croatian
Last Two days: 2.67 Murray - 4.59h Ljubicic
Also psychologically the croatian has spent many more energies reguarding the Scot, two tiebreaks match in the lasts two days.
The key of the match is on the service of Ljubicic and on the returns of Murray.
If Ljubicic does not make at least 1/2 ace and at least 1/2 winnings services every game, difficultly he will win, because Murray is more effective after the service with the ball in play and he is the much most regular of the two players.
Until the past year the great problem of Murray were the % on the services in the court, the average was of the 47%.
Here in Doha the average is of 62% and this is a number a lot important in this match, because Ljubicic on the first service has many difficulties to make the return, on the second service he can manage the game. (I.Ljubicic 1st service returns points won 30% - I.Ljubicic 2nd service returns points won 58%) (The stats of Murray are much near reguarding that of Ivan, more of the 40% in the 1st services returns).
The value of Ljubicic in a normal first round would have been between 60% and 65%, but in this match the conditions are much various and our favorite is the British(Andi Murray).
Our blackboard to 100% in this match is 1.80-2.25 (A.Murray-I.Ljubicic)
The max. odds in this moment is of 17 points higher regarding the value of the match (1.97, Excange with TAX) (1.93 Bookmaker)
The average odds in this moment is of 7-10 points higher regarding the value of the match Idea
H2H: 1-1
2006 ATP Masters Series Madrid Spain Hard R32
Murray 6-4 3-6 6-3
2006 Zagreb Croatia Carpet R32
Ljubicic 4-6 6-2 6-3
1-1 the h2h.
In the first match Murray was not still the player that is now is, was the Pre-Gilbert and now he worth very more and moreover the match was played in Zagabria...... where to beat Ljubicic is much difficult.
In the second (Post-Gilbert) Murray has played a tennis of a good level, even if today physically the British is more is prepared and Ljubicic in that match was much tired, as probably the Croatian player will be today.
Tip on Andy Murray
1.97 (Now on
Betfair, without Tax)
4/10 of Budget 400units
(Mailinglist) Sent to 10.56 a.m. GMT Time, Match start to 06.00 p.m. Local Time (03.00 p.m. GMT Time)
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