Beanie's In Running Golf Bets - Page 3 - Betting Forum - Betting Tips

**Beanie** · #31 (**permalink**) 01-02-2008, 21:37

Dubai

0.1pts McDowell @ 140

That's it

**Beanie** · #32 (**permalink**) 03-02-2008, 00:16

Decent round from McDowell - into 3rd.

So a quick rundown of the runners and riders:

Will start by saying that given the experience at the top of the leaderboard, I don't think any of the player well off the pace(-6 and worse) can make a charge to win.

That said, everyone has their price and Broadhurst looks the only puntable prospect from that bunch. He has had his sloppy moments, including a triple bogey, but is perfectly capable of cutting that out and if he does could have an outside chance. Deffo worth a nibble @ 700.

Tiger could easily hunt down these leaders but after a sparkling first round he's not looked comfortable. Ever strong mental game just doesn't look to be tuned in tho his price isnt as bad as i'd have expected and I may keep him onside.

McGrane's mental game isn't there I fear - too many big names in there for him to cope.

Kaymer I like - when he's on song he can really motor and this week he hasn't looked troubled at all - a couple of early birdies and he could be right back in the mix.

Kapur nope - see McGrane.

Hedblom = headcase - as shown today will self destruct in this company if he gets anywhere near the front.

Garcia just can't seem to sort his head out this week - one minute brilliant, the next woeful. Not this time IMO.

McDowell I still quite like, but already have. That'll do for him.

Stenson doesn't look like he's reacting well to pressure this week. When he has momentum he seems unstoppable, but all it will take is one birdie tomorrow and it could be round over.

Els - not to be trusted these days. Could tear the course up again and win this by a mile but with the class in the chasing pack he's got to overcome a demon or two to do it. Not at that price for me.

Westwood - the only one of the big names I like. He's inconsistent, but since he's a bit off the pace that's whats needed here, and has looked confident all week.

Sooooooooooooooo...........

2pts Westwood @ 13.00
0.5pts Kaymer @ 60
0.5pts Tiger(saver) @ 5.7
0.2pts Broadhurst @ 700

**Beanie** · #33 (**permalink**) 03-02-2008, 13:30

Woods wins, Kaymer 2nd.

Some from the PGA:

1pt Byrd @ 8.6
0.5pts Crane @ 19.5
0.5pts Snedeker @ 29
0.2pts Elkington @ 260

**Beanie** · #34 (**permalink**) 08-02-2008, 13:12

Trialling using the system during the 1st round at the mo - results look ok so far so may start including that from next wee.

For this week, a few picks from the Indian Masters.

3pts McGrane @ 6.60
1.5pts Atwal @ 12.00
0.2pts Barham @ 65
1pt Clarke @ 26
0.3pts Wakefield @ 170
0.3pts Nystrom @ 120

**Beanie** · #35 (**permalink**) 10-02-2008, 22:53

Oh man - I forgot to post my PGA system picks which had 1pt on Lowery at 44.00!(didn't press the post reply button on here in a rush but they did exist - see Bash-The-Bookmaker - Login for 3:17pm post. )

Quote:

1pt Hart @ 7.40
1pt Johnson @ 17
1pt Quinney @ 26
1pt Lowery @ 44

Gerrin you beaut!

**Beanie** · #36 (**permalink**) 15-02-2008, 17:08

Let's try for another big result as there are some tempting odds in the Indonesian Open...

2pts Wiegele @ 17.50
1pt Phadungsil @ 85
0.4pts Ter Cheng Wang @ 290
0.3pts Que @ 320
0.2pts Griffiths @ 740

Press reply this time...

**Beanie** · #37 (**permalink**) 16-02-2008, 08:16

Tricky to get a read on that event - there's so many birdie opportunities that it negates a bit of the wobble factor.

Will sign off this week with a lay of Phil in the US...4 shots clear after 2 rounds but he's shown enough to suggest that he's more than capable of chucking in a big score when out on his own.

Risk 3 pts Lay Mickelson @ 1.53

**Beanie** · #38 (**permalink**) 18-02-2008, 20:29

No joy last week...update time:

Staked: 74.48pts
Returned: 124.02pts
Yield: 66%

Should be some good opps this week in the matchplay.

**Beanie** · #39 (**permalink**) 21-02-2008, 23:10

Ok, Matchplay, not any liquidy in the match markets yet so will have to play it throught the outright and lay off after.

All odds against(Cink may be just under) - lets look for 2 outta 4!

Pampling to beat Singh
2pts Pampling @ 46

Cink to beat Monty
2pts Cink @ 28

Stricker to beat Cabrera
2pts Stricker @ 23

Casey to beat Choi
2pts Casey @ 28

**Beanie** · #40 (**permalink**) 23-02-2008, 08:44

Add in:

Stenson @ 9.40
Leonard @ 13.50

**Beanie** · #41 (**permalink**) 23-02-2008, 15:35

2pts each I meant.

**Beanie** · #42 (**permalink**) 01-03-2008, 23:17

Ok let's have a look at the Indian open.

-8 or better only still in with a shout I think - the course is leaking birdies and it's possible to shoot -8 but the winning score should make -16 without too much trouble - plenty birdie opps round here.

It's all set up for a Randhawa victory - he has blown leads before but this is his home course and he isn't in the final pairing - pressure should be off.

However, I'm not sure he'll keep it together, but I might throw in a saver at the prices. Can't see Kiyota keeping it together so will avoid, altho he fits the selection criteria so far.

Could be a big score incoming from just off the pace, so will go with 3 players capable of posting it.

0.50pts Bland @ 250
1.5pts Vanscik @ 29
2pts Storm @ 15
2pts Chalmers @ 20
2pts Randhawa @ 4

**Beanie** · #43 (**permalink**) 02-03-2008, 16:57

Nae joy there, read that one slights wrongly but for Chalmers finishing T2.

From the PGA tonight...

1pt Mallinger @ 50
2pts Jones @ 12
4pts Calcavecchia @ 6.00

**Beanie** · #44 (**permalink**) 07-03-2008, 22:12

Jones and Calc ran it close before some poor closing holes.

Off to Amsterdam on hols for a few days so have to do 2 days punting in one here by covering both those I think will progress well tomorrow, and those that should have the mental steel to win if in contention in round 4 in the Malaysian Open...

2pts Kjeldsen @ 8.80
1pt Hedblom @ 16.00
1pt Dyson @ 13.50
0.5pts Lara @ 26
0.3pts Derksen @ 38
0.1pts Ghei @ 320
0.1pts Webber @ 350
0.2pts Clarke @ 90
0.2pts Storm @ 90
0.2pts Schwartzel @ 90
0.1pts Lynn @ 350
0.2pts Lawrie @ 100
0.1pts Steel @ 670
0.2pts Zhang @ 140

**Beanie** · #45 (**permalink**) 15-03-2008, 20:12

Sore one last week - Hedblom 2nd after a playoff, Dyson 3rd after playing a flawless 15 holes before the strom break, and Webber 4th and close at big odds

Onto the PGA Euro Tour tonight.

This is a tricky one - I don't think McDowell is in a particularly good frame of mind as a front runner, as his Double bogey at the last showed today, and I think Jeev Milka Singh will start much the better. But JMS has a poor record of closing these out, and I think he will wobble over the closing holes, and itll be a question of who falls over the finishing line. Its on overnight tho, which causes problems with trading.

Edfors the only one of the chasing pack who can shoot low enough to pip the front two IMO.

So what I'll go for...

5pts Milka Singh @ 2.60
0.5pts Edfors @ 18.00

Lay Milka Singh @ 1.50 to win 5.5pts (unmatched)

I've left this one up on betfair, including it to be kept when the market goes in running, as I hope JMS will trade at this or lower if/when he hits the front.