36% ROI system, free for the end of season

[skavorn]

Hi guys, just thought i'd let you know I'm running a new football betting system.

Created from back-tested data and forward tested for authenticity.

Being independently proofed and I'm offering my tips out free for the rest of this season.

Anyone interested, i'm offering my tips out FREE for the remaining couple of weeks for free. Anyone interested, email me at:
Apologies if I've posted in the wrong place, just trying to offer you all some free tips.

[Frodo]

Here's a novelty. How about you post them on here, if you're that good you'll get more interest. Also I thought it was customery to pay for advertising.

[skavorn]

Fine....here is the e-mail I sent out yesterday to current members (I can't promise to post all messages, I have here as I'm busy but i'll do my best)

The earlier kick-off for the German games starting at 2:30PM on Saturday meant Hertha Berlin would have the chance to open our account for the weekend and things got off to a great start as the 9/1 rank outsiders alone would have made our weekend and things got off to a flier as they lead after just 12 minutes. However the stats pointed firmly towards Leverkusen and were finally undone in the 2nd half, eventually drawing 1-1.

Elsewhere Morecambe got off to a flying start leading 2-0 after 15 minutes and although Shrewsbury pulled a goal back to make it 2-1 and Southampton went 1-0 down, the other result Torquay @ 9/2 were also winning 1-0 approaching Half Time.

Whilst Leverkusen equalised against Hertha Berlin, things then got worse as Morecambe also threw away a 2-0 lead as Shrewsbury levelled 2-2 (3rd time in a row a 2-0 lead was squandered) and Gillingham pulled 2-0 ahead of Southampton.

However Morecambe pulled off a late goal to nab the victory as we finally got a bit of luck go our way. Torquay also got 2 late goals to win the match 3-0.

A good evening got better with 1 win out of 2 from the later kick-offs in Spain as Zaragoza beat Deportivo 1-0. Almeria could feel they were relatively unlucky not to beat bottom club Xerez, drawing 1-1 right up until the end when Xerez got a winner.

Sunday started well with Watford cruising to victory with a 4-0 demolition of Coventry.

Our two big priced selections (Atletico Madrid & Nancy) were up next and both got overwhelmed, eventually losing 3-1 to; Sevilla & Lille respectively.

The weekend was rounded off with Lyon winning 1-0.

Overall a great weekend and finally we got a fairer set of results go our way.

Here are the official results from since the last message.

LG1 – Gillingham - SOUTHAMPTON @ 2.63
LG2 – Bury - TORQUAY @ 5.50 **win**
LG2 – Shrewsbury - MORECAMBE @ 2.63 **win**
GER – Bayer Leverkusen – HERTHA BERLIN @ 10.00
SPA – Deportivo La Coruna – ZARAGOZA @ 3.10 **win**
SPA – Xerez – ALMERIA @ 3.00
CHAMP – Coventry – WATFORD @ 3.50 **win**
FRA – Lille - NANCY@ 11.00
FRA – Montpellier – LYON @ 2.25 **win**
SPA – Sevilla – ATLETICO MADRID @ 8.00

10 bets = +6.98

With the English Championship finishing on the weekend and the Blue Square Premiership already over, there isn’t many leagues left to pick from. Although there is action from French Ligue One and Spanish Primera, none of the matches qualified. Neither did any from the unofficially covered leagues English Premier League and Scottish Premier League. Just one unofficial bet this midweek.

Next update: Thursday 3rd May (weekend bets) – 5PM

No official bets this midweek.
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(unofficial) Almeria - VILLAREAL @ 2.30 (coral/eurobet, noxwin, sunmaker, tipico, unibet, betclic, bets4all, circlebet)
(also available @ 2.36 ~ pinnacle)
(also available @ 2.33 ~ canbet, SBObet)

This is well overpriced as is an over-qualifier. My system would call this value over 1.84 however this strong away bet is so strong it doesn't qualify. Werder Bremen (priced at over 2/1) was the last over qualifier which comfortably won 4-2. This even stronger bet, I'd love to make this an official bet, but we must stick to the strict rules set it place and not let opinions affect our judgments. One word of caution would be that although over-qualifiers have performed extremely well in the past 9 seasons (comfortably over 40% ROI), this season has bucked the trend and has made a loss. Also this is based on a small sample size so we don’t have enough bets to be confident this trend definitely holds value for the future.

FREE SMS alerts for next season
After doing some research into an SMS facility, the good news is that I will be able to offer SMS alerts during the week and weekend COMPLETELY FREE to paying members. Although they will cost me money to set-up, I feel there will be no need to pass on these costs to subscribers, therefore the facility will be possible for all members to enjoy for next season.

What’s the future hold for Sport-Tipster?
I’ve always felt I could really help punters to make money and this is why I created Sport-Tipster. Taking my great understanding of mathematics, statistics and manipulating numbers and then applying it to gambling has proven successful for me. Contrary to popular beliefs from outsiders, you can make money from sports betting and my goal is to make myself and others as much as we possibly can.

As this season is coming to the end and the World Cup starts, I will spend the months researching and working towards developing further systems. Additionally I’m always working with others and trying to create a team of experts to help us all get the best sports tips available. I know it can be frustrating for you to follow services with false claims or tipsters who change their approach and end up costing us money. I’ve been there.

I’m currently about to research a further football betting system taking my knowledge from this successful system and improving on it even further. This could be false work and fall flat, only time will tell, but as soon as I have something I feel is very strong and of genuine value, then I will pass it onto you guys.

I also hope to educate you and help any of you planning on creating your own systems or services. When we find a service of genuine value where we can make money from, we can all benefit.

Since the abolition of gambling tax and with the number of new online bookmakers almost growing daily, let us work together towards making actual profits from sports betting easier and more obtainable.

Any further questions please let me know and I’ll do my best to help.

Regards,

Steven Sedgwick

[ONEDUNME]

Originally Posted by skavorn

However Morecambe pulled off a late goal to nab the victory as we finally got a bit of luck go our way.

Mmmmm, so you're relying on luck are you? I prefer the 100% guaranteed winners that we usually get spammed on here to be honest.

[skavorn]

There's no such thing as a guaranteed winner. If your looking for guaranteed winners, you will lose.

Barcelona to win the Champions League was a guaranteed winner and look how that one went.

The only way to beat the bookmaker long-term is to search for value. By that I mean is when the bookmakers have under-estimated a team's chances and therefore the odds are higher than they should be.

My tips need luck, just like any other do in the short-term. However if you have an edge, then you will profit in the long-term and luck will have less of a part to play.

[ONEDUNME]

Originally Posted by skavorn

Barcelona to win the Champions League was a guaranteed winner and look how that one went.

.

Yeah, last year you mean? I was on it man. Great result

That's what I'm talking about.

Have you got any like that?

[7HEGR1MR3AP3R]

Originally Posted by skavorn

There's no such thing as a guaranteed winner. If your looking for guaranteed winners, you will lose.

Barcelona to win the Champions League was a guaranteed winner and look how that one went.

The only way to beat the bookmaker long-term is to search for value. By that I mean is when the bookmakers have under-estimated a team's chances and therefore the odds are higher than they should be.

My tips need luck, just like any other do in the short-term. However if you have an edge, then you will profit in the long-term and luck will have less of a part to play.

What ya on about ya monkey !! Get on Conservatives to win South Ribble, 1.20 , and you should be paying them !!

[skavorn]

I'm not sure whether you guys are serious or not, LOL

If you want genuine good value tips for the next couple of weeks (until the end of the spanish, french, german, league one/two seasons), sure I'll post here.

If you only want very very very short priced bankers, perhaps I've come to the wrong place

[7HEGR1MR3AP3R]

Get on a well hung parliament @ 2.00, theres a stonking value bet for ya Skav

[skavorn]

I don't know about politics enough to bet on that. Tories are well up in the polls anyway, 36/28/28 so it looks like Tories to get in is your "banker". Politics is very dodgy to bet on though because it's based on public opinion which can change very quickly.

Liberal's to come 3rd in the polls was a banker until the 1st election poll....and then suddenly they came out of nowhere after the 1st TV debate.

[Winrew]

The polls had Kinnock down as an easy winner once upon a time ...
Tories with 290 , Lab ( f**k knows ) and Cleggs lot with around 78 , i shouldnt be far off...

[skavorn]

This was sent out yesterday to my members......



Although we had no official midweek selections, the midweek wasn’t short of drama. Motherwell and Hibernian were involved in an incredible 6-6 draw. Embarrassingly for Hibernian, they were 6-2 up away from Home. Elsewhere Tottenham managed to get a 1-0 away win against Manchester City, which has guaranteed them fourth. Tottenham could also move up to 3^rd if they win and Arsenal lose.

Following the English Championship and Blue Square Premier League; the English Premier League, League One and League Two, German Bundesliga and Scottish Premier League all end on the weekend.

Next week I’ll include an article on portfolio management. If you’re using various services, how should you organise them? How do you know how much to stake on each bet?

Next update: Monday 8th May (midweek bets) – 5PM

Saturday 8^th May
LG1 – Exeter - HUDDERSFIELD @ 3.00 (betsafe, skybet)

LG2 – Barnet - ROCHDALE @ 3.25 (betsafe, skybet)

LG2 – Chesterfield - BOURNEMOUTH @ 3.25 (betfred)
(also available @ 3.30 ~ betUS)

GER – Mainz - SCHALKE @ 2.40 (bet-at-home, betclic, betphoenix, circlebet, coral/eurobet, noxwin, sports-1, sunmaker)
(also available @ 2.55 ~ interwetten)
(also available @ 2.50 ~ bets4all, digibet, tipico)
(also available @ 2.48 ~ 5dimes)
(also available @ 2.46 ~ pinnacle)
(also available @ 2.45 ~ bet770, betklass, mybet)
(also available @ 2.42 ~ betchronicle)Sunday 9^th May

SPA – Deportivo La Coruna – MALLORCA @ 2.25(circlebet, noxwin, paddy power, skybet, sunmaker)
(also available @ 2.30 ~ luxbet)

SPA – Xerez – ZARAGOZA @ 2.50(bet365, betclic, betoto, digibet, jetbull, mybet, paddy power, sports interaction, william hill)
(also available @ 2.60 ~ tipico)
(also available @ 2.55 ~ luxbet, world sports exchange)
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(unofficial) PREM – Aston Villa – BLACKBURN @ 6.50 (188bet, 24bet, bet365, bet770, betinternet, circlebet, coral/eurobet, expekt, jetbull, mybet, noxwin, skybet, stan james, sunmaker)
(also available @ 7.00 ~ betway)
(also available @ 6.75 ~ betUS)
(also available @ 6.60 ~ betsafe, Canbet, SBObet)
(also available @ 6.55 ~ 10bet)
This is the last English Premier League unofficial bet of the season this weekend. So far the unofficial Premier League bets have done relatively well with two winners out of four. Winning bets of Burnley @ 4/1 and Manchester United @ 6/4. However, Blackburn have already been an away qualifier before and they only managed a draw. On paper, Aston Villa are the better side and Blackburn have done very poorly away from home, they’re on form and high off the victory against Arsenal. Certainly not a banker, but Blackburn’s confidence is high and Aston Villa doesn’t have much to play for now.


(unofficial) LG1 – Wallsall – MILTON KEYNES DONS @ 4.50(888 sport/blue square, betsson, victor chandler)

This was a “near miss”. My value filter requires a price ABOVE 4.50. So although this is an unofficial bet, if you can beat 7/2 in the future, it’s worth backing. The 7/2 price probably has value however only being a borderline bet, the value won’t be significant.

(unofficial) LG1 – Wolfsburg – EIN. FRANKFURT @ 4.33(888sport/blue square, coral/eurobet, eurosportbet, paddy power, victor chandler)
(also available @ 4.55 ~ betsson)
(also available @ 4.51 ~ pinnacle)
(also available @ 4.50 ~ 188bet, betUS, bwin, players on, sports, sportsbook)
(also available @ 4.46 ~ 5dimes)
(also available @ 4.45 ~ digibet, expekt)
(also available @ 4.40 ~ betinternet, unibet)
(also available @ 4.35 ~ bet770, doxxbet, mybet)

An identical “near miss” to the MK Dons bet. Again, my value filter requires a price ABOVE 4.50. Here this price is achievable at Betsson. We don’t use betsson officially as they’re a small bookmaker, so we stick to bets that qualify with the big names. Since this is a borderline bet, the value won’t be as significant as other bets; however it’s worth taking that price at Betsson while it lasts.

SMS Facility (Extra Details)
Just to clarify some questions. All SMS’s will contain the bets and the prices. It won’t contain the list of bookmakers.

Here is an example from last weekend’s bets

“(LG1)Gillingham - SOUTHAMPTON @ 2.63, (LG2)Bury – TORQUAY @ 5.50, (LG2)Shrewsbury – MORECAMBE @ 2.63, (GER)Bayer Leverkusen – HERTHA BERLIN @ 2.63, (SPA)Deportivo – ZARAGOZA @ 3.10, (SPA)Xerez – ALMERIA @ 3.00, (CHAMP)Coventry – WATFORD @ 3.50, (FRA)Lille – NANCY @ 11.00, (FRA)Montpellier – LYON @ 2.25, (SPA)Sevilla – ATLETICO MADRID @ 8.00”
Any further questions please let me know and I’ll do my best to help.

Regards,

Steven Sedgwick