Backing Over 2.5 goals at 80%+

selectabet · #31 (**permalink**) 13-04-2008, 10:32

Right, I'm gonna try to get back into this over the next few weeks. I might even subscribe to BetDevil to make things a wee bit easier.

I make it that when I last looked at this there was a 68.2% success rate (45 wins out of 66). I don't really think thats good enough to make it a viable system.

The Dutch Leagues have been good for overs. Of those game tested back in Jan there was an 80% success rate which is much better. I've also punted on few other Eredivisie games over at my blog with a fair bit of success so maybe I need to concentrate on certain Leagues.

I'll have a look at whats fitting the system today.

selectabet · #32 (**permalink**) 13-04-2008, 10:36

Going to try to get back into this. When I left it there was a 68.2% success rate - not good enough to make it viable.

Some leagues were better than others though, especially the Dutch - it had an 80% success rate - much better.

Lets see whats fitting the system today...

selectabet · #33 (**permalink**) 13-04-2008, 10:37

Sorry! Thought I'd dropped that first post somewhere

selectabet · #34 (**permalink**) 13-04-2008, 10:40

OK, 4 games in the Eredivise today;

NEC v Vitesse 81%. Overs 4/6
Groningen v Ajax 83%. Overs 1/2
Willem II v Feyenoord 82%. Overs 8/13
Sparta v Heerenveen 89%. Overs 9/20

selectabet · #35 (**permalink**) 13-04-2008, 11:18

Some more games today...

Skive v Koge (Danish Division 1) 82%. Over 2.5/3 17/20
Ivanc Gorc v Koper (Slovenian Division 1) 87%. Over 2.5 6/17
River Plate v Central Esp (Uruguay Primera) 81%. Over 123/200
Olimpia Asu v Sol de America (Paraguay Professional) 82%. No odds avail.
Cobreloa v Santiago Morni (Chilean Primera) Over 4/7
KB Kobehavn v Slagelse (Denmark Division 2 East) 80%. No odds avail.
SJ Oruro v Bolivar LP (Bolivia Primera) 87%. No odds avail.
Botafogo RJ v Flamengo (Brazilian Carioca) 83%. Over 2.5/3 4/5
3 Febrero v 12 Octubre (Paraguay Professional) 92%. No odds avail.
Jorge Wilster v Blooming SC (Bolivia Primera) 86%. No odds avail.
Real Mamore v Strong La Paz (Bolivia Primera) 89%. No odds avail.
Liverpool M v CA Penarol (Uruguay Primera) 80%. Over 4/6

selectabet · #36 (**permalink**) 13-04-2008, 14:41

Originally Posted by selectabet

OK, 4 games in the Eredivise today;

NEC v Vitesse 81%. Overs 4/6 1-0
Groningen v Ajax 83%. Overs 1/2 Postponed
Willem II v Feyenoord 82%. Overs 8/13 3-1
Sparta v Heerenveen 89%. Overs 9/20 4-2

I didn't really fancy NEC/Vitesse for overs as I said here but the others looked good.

Thats another 2 out of 3.

selectabet · #37 (**permalink**) 13-04-2008, 23:37

Originally Posted by selectabet

Some more games today...

Skive v Koge (Danish Division 1) 82%. Over 2.5/3 17/20 1-0
Ivanc Gorc v Koper (Slovenian Division 1) 87%. Over 2.5 6/17 1-2
River Plate v Central Esp (Uruguay Primera) 81%. Over 123/200 3-0
Olimpia Asu v Sol de America (Paraguay Professional) 82%. No odds avail. 0-1
Cobreloa v Santiago Morni (Chilean Primera) Over 4/7 3-4
KB Kobehavn v Slagelse (Denmark Division 2 East) 80%. No odds avail. 1-2
SJ Oruro v Bolivar LP (Bolivia Primera) 87%. No odds avail. 4-3
Botafogo RJ v Flamengo (Brazilian Carioca) 83%. Over 2.5/3 4/5 3-0
3 Febrero v 12 Octubre (Paraguay Professional) 92%. No odds avail. 4-0
Jorge Wilster v Blooming SC (Bolivia Primera) 86%. No odds avail. 2-2
Real Mamore v Strong La Paz (Bolivia Primera) 89%. No odds avail. 1-3
Liverpool M v CA Penarol (Uruguay Primera) 80%. Over 4/6 4-3

10 out of 12 finish overs. Shame there weren't odds available on a lot of them.

selectabet · #38 (**permalink**) 13-04-2008, 23:40

Running total is 57/81. 70.1% success - starting to look a bit better.

There's no games for the system tomorrow

selectabet · #39 (**permalink**) 15-04-2008, 07:00

Todays games;

Gloucester v Cheshunt (English Southern League) 81%
AaB Aalborg 2 v Hjorring (Denmark Division 2 West) 80%
Ashford (Mx) v Carshalton (English Rymans League) 80%
AB 70 v Aarhus GF 2 (Denmark Division 2 West) 85%

selectabet · #40 (**permalink**) 15-04-2008, 22:06

Originally Posted by selectabet

Todays games;

Gloucester v Cheshunt (English Southern League) 81% 4-0
AaB Aalborg 2 v Hjorring (Denmark Division 2 West) 80% 0-2
Ashford (Mx) v Carshalton (English Rymans League) 80% 3-0
AB 70 v Aarhus GF 2 (Denmark Division 2 West) 85% 0-1

selectabet · #41 (**permalink**) 16-04-2008, 10:41

Thats 59/83

Todays' games;
Sibir Novosibi v Dinamo Briansk (Russian Div 1) 85%
Holbaek v Sollerod (Denmark Division 2 East) 86%
Ikast v Naesby (Denmark Division 2 West) 91%
Kendal v Matlock (English Unibond League) 80%
SAC Moscow v KamAZ Chally (Russian Div 1) 82%
Varde v FC Fyn (Denmark Division 2 West) 85%
FC Groningen v Ajax (Dutch Premier) 83%

selectabet · #42 (**permalink**) 16-04-2008, 10:49

PS - I wouldn't touch the Russian games - I don't know where they've gotten the high %ages from.

selectabet · #43 (**permalink**) 16-04-2008, 22:06

Originally Posted by selectabet

Thats 59/83

Todays' games;
Sibir Novosibi v Dinamo Briansk (Russian Div 1) 85% 3-1
Holbaek v Sollerod (Denmark Division 2 East) 86% 0-1
Ikast v Naesby (Denmark Division 2 West) 91% 5-1
Kendal v Matlock (English Unibond League) 80% ?
SAC Moscow v KamAZ Chally (Russian Div 1) 82% 0-0
Varde v FC Fyn (Denmark Division 2 West) 85% 1-2
FC Groningen v Ajax (Dutch Premier) 83% 1-2

Another 4/6, so thats 63/89.

selectabet · #44 (**permalink**) 17-04-2008, 09:36

Today's Matches - just 2 of 'em

Dalian Shide v Albirex (Singapore S-League) 87%
Zurich v Young Boys (Switzerland Super) 80%

selectabet · #45 (**permalink**) 17-04-2008, 19:54

Originally Posted by selectabet

Today's Matches - just 2 of 'em

Dalian Shide v Albirex (Singapore S-League) 87% 1-2
Zurich v Young Boys (Switzerland Super) 80% 1-2

2/2