Draw-No-Bet system

[jtw1]

XANTHI 0-1
MARITIMO 0-0


BET 1 - +15.26 PTS
BET 2 - +3.30 PTS
BET 3 - -10 PTS
BET 4 - +12.68PTS
BET 6 - -10PTS
BET 7 - -10PTS
BET 8 - -10PTS

A disappointing weekend there , going to have a look a one other possible filter involving the current league positions and see if there can be a positive upturn.

[jtw1]

Obviously with the EURO qualifiers being played this week-end we have to look at the lower leagues and here's a D-N-B double to consider -

burton v ALDERSHOT - H2H = 0-0-4 , odds = 2.2 , league points = 30 - 34
SP GIJON v r ferrol - H2H = 1.36 , odds = 1.36 , league points = 17 - 13.

Added the league points gained this season and only teams are on at least level points or above will qualify for selection

[smk415]

this system has legs jtw, its good, if u can insert other filters maybe u can get rid of the losing results and concentrate on winning, but what do i know i am learning an dlosing everyday

[jtw1]

Thanks for the comment SMK415 , going to be trying some new filters as from SAT
so it'll be

[jtw1]

CRITERIA

Home's ONLY .
The selected team must have played at least 4 games in the corresponding fixture and have a record of at least 4 clear wins in recent season's.
Home side must be on LEVEL points OR ABOVE the away side in the league.
SAT-MON games only.
Leagues must have played at least 6 games this season.
BEST priced 3 will make up the selected TREBLE bet.

This weekend see's only 3 games stand out over SAT - MON and they are -

SAT - MAN CITY v b'ham - h2h = 5-1-0 , league points = 19 - 8 , odds = 1.22
SUN - ANDERLECHT v aa gent - h2h = 6-1-0 , league points = 16 -14 , odds = 1.14
MON - M'GLADBACH v koln - h2h = 7-0-0 , league points = 20 - 14 , odds = 1.44

STAKE 10PTS

[jtw1]

MAN CITY 1-0
ANDERLECHT 2-1

Fingers crossed for those MUNCHENGLADBACHER'S

[jtw1]

MAN CITY 1-0
ANDERLECHT 2-1
M'GLADBACH 2-2

RETURNS to a 10pt stake = 14.28

Disappointing about the draw but we got a return and hopefully there will be more games to consider this weekend and therefore better odds

[jtw1]

Quite a few with decent h2h form but not many sitting above the opposition in the league , in fact only 2 to be precise and they both play tomorrow [Friday]

TRANMERE v huddersfield - h2h = 6-1-0 , odds = 1.33
VITESSE v willem - h2h = 5-1-0 , odds - 1.22

A wee change in the the staking , due to the lack of selections i'm putting on last weeks returns on the double , so thats 14.28pts on the draw-no-bet double

[smk415]

gl j

[jtw1]

TRANMERE 3-0
VITESSE 1-0

RETURNS = 23.17PTS

[jtw1]

Only one team meets the criteria today , however i'm also picking a side which although 4pts behind todays oppsition in the league is available today at backable odds and hasn't lost at home for a wee while.

MK DONS v stockport , 4-0-0 , league pts = 28 - 13 , odds = 1.14
CHELSEA v man city , 5-1-0 , league pts = 18 - 22 , odds = 1.17

Again we'll stick the winnings on the double - 23.17 pts

[jtw1]

MK DONS 0-2
CHELSEA 6-0

Mmmmmm that was a surprise , thankfully still a paper trail but going to go with real money next week as i feel it can return a profit if i can minimise the losses .
The question is do i go for doubling the stake before banking, go for an even higher amount and bank , go for a certain number of winners then stop or just place the bet on Friday and sit back until the weekends over ??
Any suggestions welcomed

[jtw1]

I i were to stick with the original criteria there would only be 1 selection over the whole week-end , so i've done yet another bit of tweaking and i am now considering games where at least 6 games have been played with no or 1 away win only considered.

This gives us -

SOUTHAMPTON v charlton - h2h = 3-3-0 , pts = 19 - 19 , odds = 1. 61
BRISTOL ROVERS v b'mouth - h2h = 3-3-1 , pts = 13 - 9 , odds - 1. 4
NICE v sochaux - h2h = 3-3-1 , pts = 18-11 , pts = 18 - 11 , odds = 1. 5
TOULOUSE v metz - h2h = 5-1-0 , pts 15 - 6 , odds = 1. 3

So it's wait and see time

p.s all odds from STAN JAMES

[jtw1]

MINCE

[jtw1]

Going for a 4-some over the week-end
If this fails i'm calling it a day

ROCHDALE v mansfield - 8-1-0 , odds = 1.44
HEERENVEEN v graafschaap - 7-1-0 , odds = 1.16
PAOK v panionios - 5-1-0 , odds = 1.44
ATH MADRID v valladolid - 6-0-0 , odds = 1.14