Monty Hall Paradox Lay (draw)

[Monty H.]

Right, i been doing this for a while and been pretty successful, well over 80%, but as you know, failing these Lay bets can be pretty painful as they carry a hefty liability fine, so this is recommended to the wealthier

punters among us that can afford this type of bets. be careful!


Lay draw picks for Monday July 17th


AFC
Qatar - U.A.E. (1)
Thailand - Australia (1)


Fifa Under-19
Greece - Portugal (2)
France - Serbia (2)


Finland Ykkonen
Atlantis - Hameenlinna (1)


Finland Veikkausliiga
TPS Turku - KooTeePee (2)


Sweden Allsvenskan
Brommapojkarna - Gefle IF (1)
Malmo FF - Djurgarden (1)


Sweden Superettan
Falkenbergs - Mjallby AIF (2)
Osters IF - Enkopings (2)




The () number is the pick i come up with with this system, but it doesn't always work, what does always work is the lay X.
There are more but this is enough

[Beanie]

Nice one Monty - what's the criteria here?

[Monty H.]

Finland Ykkonen
Atlantis - Hameenlinna (1) 2:2

Sweden Allsvenskan
Malmo FF - Djurgarden (1) Post.?

Sweden Superettan
Osters IF - Enkopings (2) 0:0

7/9
full list is 14/17

I just choose the matches for that day, no criteria..

Originally Posted by Beanie

Nice one Monty - what's the criteria here?

[Monty H.]

Lay draw picks for Tuesday July 18th

Pre Season Friendlies
Dag and Red v Fulham (2)
Hartlepool v Newcastle (2)
W Bremen v Liverpool (2)


UEFA Champions League
APOEL Nicosia v BATE Borisov (1)
FK Khazar Lenkoran v Dinamo Zagreb (1)
SS Murata v Tampere United (1)


Irish Eircom Premier League
Cork City v Waterford Utd. (1)


International Peace Cup
Bolton Wanderers v Racing Santander (1)
Seongnam Ilhwa v Guadalajara (2)

[Martens]

Originally Posted by Monty H.

Lay draw picks for Tuesday July 18th

Pre Season Friendlies
Dag and Red v Fulham (2)
Hartlepool v Newcastle (2)
W Bremen v Liverpool (2)


UEFA Champions League
APOEL Nicosia v BATE Borisov (1)
FK Khazar Lenkoran v Dinamo Zagreb (1)
SS Murata v Tampere United (1)


Irish Eircom Premier League
Cork City v Waterford Utd. (1)


International Peace Cup
Bolton Wanderers v Racing Santander (1)
Seongnam Ilhwa v Guadalajara (2)

murata v tampere @1.14 away win, what do you bet here mate, i dont understand

[Martens]

or perhaps you mean that this great murata is similar to milan or roma and might win tonight.....

[Monty H.]

These are lay draw bets, anything else for me is pure speculation, including murata.

[Monty H.]

Just realized i pasted the wrong match and it was Zeta vs Kaunas - too late

Originally Posted by Monty H.

These are lay draw bets, anything else for me is pure speculation, including murata.

Ah Tampere has just scored, no Meteors.. Phew, i didnt even bet on this

[Monty H.]

Originally Posted by Monty H.

Lay draw picks for Tuesday July 18th

Pre Season Friendlies
Dag and Red v Fulham (2)
Hartlepool v Newcastle (2)
W Bremen v Liverpool (2)


UEFA Champions League
APOEL Nicosia v BATE Borisov (1)
FK Khazar Lenkoran v Dinamo Zagreb (1) 1:1
SS Murata v Tampere United (1) Actual bet was Zeta vs Kaunas

Irish Eircom Premier League
Cork City v Waterford Utd. (1)


International Peace Cup
Bolton Wanderers v Racing Santander (1)
Seongnam Ilhwa v Guadalajara (2)

8/9 for today

Since the Malmo match was today, yesterdays results is now 7/10 and total 14/18 not the 80% and up which i promised - but still should offer good enough profit on an equal stakes.

Note that i got all the 1X2 correct aswell part from Khazar - Zagreb
the Murata - Tampere was on a different bet..

[Monty H.]

Right, after yesterday theres a need to be extra careful.
As for the Pan American U-17, i couldnt find any history.

Lay draw picks for Wednesday July 18th

AFC
Saudi Arabia vs Baharain
Malasya vs Iran


Denmark SAS Ligaen
AGF vs AC Horsens
Esbjerg fB vs Brøndby IF


Fifa PAG U-17
Jamaica vs Argentina
Honduras vs Ecuador


Uefa Champions League Qualification
Pobeda vs Levadia Tallinn
Dudelange vs Zilina
Marsaxlokk FC vs FK Sarajevo
Domzale vs KF Tirana


EURO U-19
Russia vs Serbia
Austria vs Greece


Ukraine 1. Division
Chernomorets O. vs FC Kharkiv


Brazil Campeonato
Atletico PR vs Juventude
Internacional vs Corinthians

Postponed due to disaster, condolenses..

[Monty H.]

Turns out matches in Brazil were played after all
14/15

[Monty H.]

Turns out matches in Brazil were played after all
U-19
Austria - Greece 1:1
14/15

[Monty H.]

Looking through all of yesterdays results there weren't too many draws, only 4 actually.
Three in the Under 19 and one in the CL qualifiers Derry v Yerevan match.
I still picked the Austria v Greece match not to draw, now i consider myself to be unlucky..

[Monty H.]

Right, today i cant reiterate this enough, be extra extra careful.


Lay draw picks for Thursday July 19th

UCup Qualification
Dinamo Tbilisi v Vaduz
Vojvodina v Hibernians
MyPa v EB/ Streymur
FK Aktobe v Mattersburg
Metalurgs Liepaja v Dinamo Brest
Buducnost Podgorica v Hajduk Split


Brazil Campeonato
Goias v Gremio
Palmeiras v Santos

[Monty H.]

Originally Posted by Monty H.

UCup Qualification
Metalurgs Liepaja v Dinamo Brest 1:1


Brazil Campeonato
Goias v Gremio 0:0
Palmeiras v Santos 2:2

5/8 will improve