Election 2010

[Pete89]

Ok lets start with when? (all odds Ladbrokes)

January 2010	100/1
February 2010	25/1
March 2010	2/1
April 2010	16/1
May 2010	4/9
June 2010	16/1

Now the Pre Budget has led many (politicalbetting.com) to think that March 25th will be the date of teh next election the 2/1 on marcg looks more interesting than 4/9 for may so could be worth an interest.

Now to win the most seats (not majority)

Conservatives	1/12
Labour	6/1
Liberal Democrats	100/1

Nothing there looks even remotely interesting IMO

Majority betting:

Conservative Overall Majority	4/11
Labour Overall Majority	12/1
Liberal Democrat Overall Majority	200/1
No Overall Majority	11/4

No majority at 11/4 looks interesting. As I'm wondering if the Torys might do a little worse than expected.

Total SNP seats

0-5 Seats	12/1
6-10 Seats	2/1
11-15 Seats	13/8
16-20 Seats	5/1
21-25 Seats	10/1
26-30 Seats	14/1
31+ Seats	16/1

Currently the SNP have 7 MP's, but I dont see them holding on. They are in power and not making popular decisions. I'm going to say 0-5 at 12/1 for an intrest

Conservitive seats in Scotland

0-3	2/1
4-6	13/8
7 or more	7/4

Currenltly having just 1 MP, They are likely to have a small gain, however 0-3 at 2/1 is where I'll be looking

Now some party specialities:

Green Party to win a seat	6/4
Green Party NOT to win a seat	1/2

UKIP to win a seat	2/1
UKIP NOT to win a seat	4/11

English Democrats to win a seat 10/1

BNP to win a seat	3/1
BNP NOT to win a seat	1/5

I'd consider a treble at 2.45 on the three no's there. Theres a whole lot more markets and I'll probably update later.