2010 Tri Nations Rugby Union

[traeth]

odds for saturday's fixture from bet365

Hcap Australia +7.0 1.90 v New Zealand -7.0 1.90

Match Result Australia 3.20 Tie 23.00 New Zealand 1.36

previous results

Saturday, 24 July 2010
Australia 30 - 13 South Africa

Saturday, 17 July 2010
New Zealand 31 - 17 South Africa

Saturday, 10 July 2010
New Zealand 32 - 12 South Africa

[traeth]

The teams:

Australia:15 Adam Ashley Cooper, 14 James O'Connor, 13 Rob Horne, 12 Berrick Barnes, 11 Drew Mitchell, 10 Matt Giteau, 9 Will Genia, 8 Richard Brown, 7 David Pocock, 6 Rocky Elsom (c), 5 Nathan Sharpe, 4 Dean Mumm, 3 Salesi Ma'afu, 2 Stephen Moore, 1 Benn Robinson.
Replacements: 16 Saia Faingaa, 17 James Slipper, 18 Rob Simmons, 19 Matt Hodgson, 20 Luke Burgess, 21 Anthony Faingaa, 22 Kurtley Beale.

New Zealand:15 Mils Muliaina, 14 Cory Jane, 13 Conrad Smith, 12 Ma'a Nonu, 11 Joe Rokocoko, 10 Dan Carter, 9 Jimmy Cowan, 8 Kieran Read, 7 Richie McCaw, 6 Jerome Kaino, 5 Tom Donnelly, 4 Brad Thorn, 3 Owen Franks, 2 Keven Mealamu, 1 Tony Woodcock.
Replacements:16 Corey Flynn, 17 Ben Franks, 18 Sam Whitelock, 19 Victor Vito, 20 Piri Weepu, 21 Aaron Cruden, 22 Israel Dagg.

Venue: Etihad Stadium (Docklands Stadium), Melbourne
Referee: Craig Joubert (South Africa)

There have been doubts raised about the pitch , a common problem with the roofed stadia and I believe there is a AFL match being played there today.
Matches between these two sides in Australia have less than 1 score between them when New Zealand win but I think that The All Blacks will overcome the handicap so my bet will be
New Zealand -6 with Stan James @ evens

these are previous results between the two sides

2009: New Zealand won 32-19 @ Tokyo
2009: New Zealand won 33-6 @ Wellington
2009: New Zealand won 19-18 @ Sydney
2009: New Zealand won 22-16 @ Auckland
2008: New Zealand won 19-14 @ Hong Kong
2008: New Zealand won 28-24 @ Brisbane
2008: New Zealand won 39-10 @ Auckland
2008: Australia won 34-19 @ Sydney
2007: New Zealand won 26-12 @ Auckland
2007: Australia won 20-15 @ Melbourne
2006: New Zealand won 34-27 @ Auckland
2006: New Zealand won 13-9 @Brisbane
2006: New Zealand won 32-12 @ Christchurch

The All Blacks have the superior front row, if Joubert reffs the scrum properly I can see New Zealand dominating this match from the start , Australia tend to start well well at home but have difficulty in winning the matches . The All Blacks lineout was very effective against South Africa and I can see them doing the job against the aussies. It is in the back row that I believe that The All Blacks have the experience and guile to win the match . I was impressed with the performance of Pocock in the aussie back row last week but I think that it will not be so easy with McCaw . Cowans and Carter are much better 9/10 partnership than Genia and Giteau . The New Zealand centres have more experienced and can see this being the area where The All Blacks will exploit . The All Blacks back three are much better so I'm hoping that they get enough ball to show their class.
I'm hoping that The All Blacks prevent the Aussies from getting a quick start which in their recent meetings has limited the gap between the two sides when the two sides are not playing in New Zealand