[Snodser]

Originally Posted by redroar

Yeah I expected more from ulster myself. I hope i did'nt talk you out of munster -10 ! I was sweating a bit on my points total bet just about got there in the end.

No worries , my treble more than covers that bet.
I chickened out of Munster -10 after reading the Irish sites, they were even hinting at an upset.

Hope you've got some good gen for tomorrow

[redroar]

I'm going to have to work hard to keep up with your french strike rate but I'll do my best.

[Snodser]

Don't worry about strike rates mate,

" only print it if you believe it"

thats my motto, you can't go too far wrong with that .

Bets of luck

[redroar]

This is definetely a bet i will be taking tomorrow: Quins -8 at evens. Big fan of deano and what he's achieving with quins. Quins are pushing hard for a top four finish and you'd have to question newcastles motivation as they cant be relegated and cant win anything either. Change of management at newcastle may pay off long term but at the moment they seem to be seriously lacking in confidence.

QUINS - 8 @ evens

[Snodser]

As you know I'm not on expert on these leagues but after a bit of reading here goes ,
for what its worth

Scarlets v Leinster

Worcester v Gloucester

Harlequins v Newcastle

& a treble, Gloucester/ Harlequins/ Bourgoin

[Snodser]

Originally Posted by Snodser

Worcester v Gloucester

I'm assuming these are real places, as in , they exist
Bad news for me W 17-14 G

Originally Posted by Snodser

Harlequins v Newcastle

As unlikely but good news this time ; H 15-9 N'ctle


there goes my treble

[Snodser]

Originally Posted by Snodser

Scarlets v Leinster

10-24

[Doc]

Connacht +13, Glasgow -3 and Cardiff -3 for me tonight

[Snodser]

From the continent, a conservative punt:

Ulster -8 4/7 PP

Glasgow 4/6 PP

Cardiff 4/7 PP

[Snodser]

Sat 18.30

Leinster v Munster

Anyone got team news?

I've heard O'Driscoll is out & O'Driscoll is in , for O'Connell who's on the bench.

Stringer for O'Leary, Contepomi at 13, Foley for Wallace.

Confused , you should be

That said, IF O'Gara plays, Munster +4 evns BS looks good value.

[Doc]

Leinster: G Dempsey, S Horgan, L Fitzgerald, F Contepomi, R Kearney, J Sexton, C Whitaker, O Le Roux, B Jackman, S Wright, L Cullen (capt), M O'Kelly, S Jennings, K Gleeson, J Heaslip.
Replacements (from): B Blaney, C Healy, S Knoop, T Hogan, S Keogh, C Keane, E O'Malley, M Berne, G Brown.

Munster : D Hurley, D Howlett, L Mafi, R Tipoki, I Dowling, R O'Gara (capt), P Stringer, T Buckley, J Flannery, J Hayes, D O'Callaghan, M O'Driscoll, A Quinlan, D Leamy, A Foley.
Replacements: F Sheahan, F Pucciariello, P O'Connell, N Ronan, T O'Leary, P Warwick, K Lewis.

[Snodser]

Originally Posted by Snodser

From the continent, a conservative punt:

Ulster -8 4/7 PP

Glasgow 4/6 PP

Cardiff 4/7 PP

Ulster 18 - 6 Connacht

Glasgow 23 -14 Edinburgh

Cardiff 35 -26 Llanelli

So a good night all round, for DOD (see a few posts back), myself, and all who followed 4/4 if you include the Top14.

.

[Snodser]

He who hesitates etc etc etc

never mind

Munster +3 @ evns

Munster to win 11/8

[redroar]

Kidney has nonsensed any suggestions that this was a nothing by feilding a full strenght team. There was talk over here that with lienster out of sight in the league and Magnificent Munster in the semi's again that he might rest 6/7 players. With that painful defeat in cork in november still on the brain the red machine will be hungry for revenge. Leinster have been very impressive in the league of late and in a very unlikely leinster way they have been winning it through their forwards.
I'm extremely biased so the only neutral bet I have is points total under 38 @ 10/11. The forecast for dublin is poor and historically these games have been tight.

[Doc]

not sure about that redroar

It'll be close on the scoreboard I'd say, but maybe not low-scoring.

In the last 3 years they've met 7 times and only 3 have been under 38 points - the 10-3 in Musgrave park in the storm in November last, the 25-11 from Musgrave the previous year, and the 30-6 from the HEC 2006 semi.
Most of the matches with Leinster at home have been the higher-scoring ones too. You have to go back to 2004 and 2003 (when the clashes were fairly toothless affairs between 2nd string sides at the start of september) for lower scoring ones (i.e. below 38). Full stats here
The forecast isn't that bad and the ground is firm, so I think the over would be better value there. Bet 365 have +35 @ 1.91