Penny pinching, 11602/1 and my ego

[Quandram]

This may lack the hard fast manic nature that so endears Rags to Riches threads to us all but it has a quality to it which I feel makes this its natural home as opposed to the systems thread(if anyone disagrees feel free to move it ).

Allow me to elaborate…

Last week on the predictions league I scored 5 correct scores and it got me thinking what the odds were of doing that.

If you take the normal shortest odds for a correct score (6.5) in a 5 game accumulator it gives you odds of 11602/1 (roughly).

There are 252 combinations of 5 games from 10.

Stan James accept 1p bets

Anyone see where this is going?

I only need to hit 5 games once a year to make a profit and that’s if I pick the shortest odds each time (I will not be).

If I’ve done 5 correct scores once my ego tells me I should be able to do it about once a month

So…

Charlton 0 - 1 Portsmouth
Bolton 1- 1 Middlesbro
Everton 2 - 0 Wigan
Sheff Utd 0 - 1 Reading
Watford 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Chelsea 2 - 0 Liverpool
West Ham 1 - 0 Newcastle
Tottenham 1 - 0 Fulham
Blackburn 0 - 0 Man City
Man Utd 3 - 1 Arsenal

Bring it

[Quandram]

Just 1 last week, try again
Liverpool V Tottenham : Correct Score Draw 1-1 6.50
Arsenal V Sheff Utd : Correct Score Arsenal 3-0 8.00
Aston Villa V Charlton : Correct Score Aston Villa 1-0 7.00
Man City V West Ham : Correct Score West Ham 1-0 8.00
Wigan V Watford : Correct Score Wigan 1-0 7.00
Middlesbrough V Blackburn : Correct Score Draw 0-0 9.00
Fulham V Chelsea : Correct Score Chelsea 2-0 6.50
Reading V Man United : Correct Score Man United 2-1 8.00
Newcastle V Everton : Correct Score Everton 2-0 13.00
Portsmouth V Bolton : Correct Score Draw 1-1

[Frodo]

Bloody hell mate. 2 correct so far and a solitary goal out on 4 matches.

A Man U comeback would be handy now.

[Frodo]

Bosh! That'd be the equaliser.

[Quandram]

Alas it was not to be and i'll fall short again, still i am as yet not put off

[Quandram]

Another week, another shot at instant glory

Bolton Liverpool 1 2
Chelsea Aston Villa 1 0
Charlton Arsenal 0 2
Everton Man. City 2 0
Sheff Utd Middlesbrough 0 1
West Ham Reading 0 1
Blackburn Wigan 1 1
Man. United Newcastle 3 0
Tottenham Portsmouth 1 1
Watford Fulham 1 0

[k33nan]

See how i would have done

Liverpool 1 - 1 Bolton
Charlton 0 - 2 Arsenal
Chelsea 2 - 0 Aston Villa
Everton 1 - 2 Man City
Sheff Utd 0 - 2 Middlesborough

Blackburn 1 - 0 Wigan
Man Utd 2 - 0 Newcastle
Spurs 2 - 0 Portsmouth
West Ham 1 - 0 Reading
Watford 1 - 1 Fulham

[Quandram]

week 4 and i still haven't learnt despite the piss poor effort last time (thankfullu k33nan didn't show me up too badly )

Wigan 0 - 2 Man Utd
Arsenal 2 - 0 Watford
Aston Villa 1 - 1 Tottenham
Liverpool 0 - 1 Blackburn
Man City 2 - 0 Sheff Utd
Middlesbro 1 - 2 Everton
Portsmouth 1 - 1 West Ham
Reading 1 - 3 Chelsea
Newcastle 1 - 2 Bolton
Fulham 0 - 0 Charlton

[Quandram]

Week 5
Wigan v Man City
Correct Score Draw 0-0 9.00
Charlton v Watford
Correct Score Charlton 1-0 8.00
Chelsea v Portsmouth
Correct Score Chelsea 2-0 6.50
Everton v Sheff Utd
Correct Score Everton 2-0 6.50
Aston Villa v Fulham
Correct Score Draw 1-1 6.50
Man United v Liverpool
Correct Score Man United 2-0 8.00
Blackburn v Bolton
Correct Score Bolton 1-0 8.00
Middlesbrough v Newcastle
Correct Score Middlesbrough 3-1 15.00
Tottenham v West Ham
Correct Score Tottenham 1-0 7.00
Reading v Arsenal
Correct Score Draw 1-1 6.50

[Quandram]

First winner of the season - 5 correct

1p bet returns £189.28

Total P/L - +£176.68

[MickeyPaul]

Great stuff, Quandram.

[Quandram]

Cheers MP - that's the seasons bets paid for, now for the profit

If i even get close with this set of fixtures it'll be a miracle

Sheff Utd 0 - 2 Chelsea
Arsenal 2 - 1 Everton
Bolton 0 - 2 Man Utd
Fulham 1 - 1 Wigan
Liverpool 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Portsmouth 0 - 1 Reading
Watford 1 - 2 Tottenham
Newcastle 1 - 1 Charlton
West Ham 1 - 0 Blackburn
Man City 0 - 0 Middlesbro

[k33nan]

Well Done Quandram!!!!

[traeth]

congrats quandram

must admit i was sceptical of your system - i was wrong and good luck next month and every month mate

[Graham0573]

lol great going Quandram