Heineken semis

[traeth]

the two semis being played Saturday and Sunday.
these are the win odds
15:00 Leicester (1.5) Llanelli Scarlets (3) Draw (23)
I think this is a good price for Llanelli who I would have had at evens . Leicester were one of the favourites before the comp started I wonder if the bookies are trying to get some money as I expect them to be losing a lot if Leicester win the cup.This is only a thought as to why Llanelli are so high in the betting. Because of this price the handicap of Llanelli +6 looks good value to me.
I've had two bets Llanelli straight win and a Llanelli +6 handicap win

Sunday 15:00 Wasps (1.36) Northampton (4.5) Draw (26)
My bet of the weekend is Wasps -8 @1.9
I can see Wasps putting on a big score against Northampton who have relegation on their minds.Northampton pulled off a surprise win against Biarritz in the quarters , that was an abysmal performance by Biarritz.
These two side played each other last weekend and the score was
Wasps 35-29 Northampton

The report below for Saturday's match from the bbc covers more than I could

Leicester v Scarlets (Sat 3:00)

Leicester Tigers have made five changes to the side that won the EDF Energy Cup for Saturday's Heineken Cup semi-final with Llanelli Scarlets in Leicester.
Forwards Alex Moreno, Lewis Moody and Louis Deacon and backs Andy Goode and Geordan Murphy all come into the side.
The Scarlets have named the same side that beat defending champions Munster in the quarter-finals.
Captain and flanker Simon Easterby is one of 12 players returning to the side after being rested last Saturday.
Two of Leicester's changes are enforced, with a knee injury to fly-half Paul Burke giving Goode his chance, and prop Moreno replacing hamstring victim Martin Castrogiovanni.
Prop Marcos Ayerza remains suspended, although his three-week ban was reduced by three days on Friday after an appeal.
Martin Corry says Leicester's chances rest on his players learning lessons from Sunday's EDF Energy Cup final win over the Ospreys.
Leicester let a commanding 28-9 lead slip, but did come back to win 41-35.
"They pose similar problems from open-field situations. Luckily there's only one Shane Williams," the Tigers captain told BBC Radio Leicester.
"We've been working on it. Hopefully we'll eradicate the mistakes which let the Ospreys back in the game."
Corry said he had been impressed by the Scarlets' run to the last four of the tournament, knocking out last year's winners Munster on the way.
"The Scarlets have been an exceptional side in Europe this season," said Corry.
"They're a very good attacking side. Their result and performance against Munster encapsulated their form in the Heineken Cup - it was a tremendous victory.
"We know they've got some outstanding individuals but they play even better as a team."
The Scarlets are the only unbeaten side left in this year's competition, beating Toulouse and Ulster away in the group stage.
Victory will see the Scarlets become the first Welsh side to reach the final since the inaugural final 11 years ago, but Easterby says they will need to "raise the bar" again against the Tigers to progress.
"When you beat a side like Toulouse, who are one of the best teams in Europe and have won the tournament on three occasions, then you realise it could happen for you this time," said Easterby.
"We've raised the bar this year, and we will be looking to raise the bar again on Saturday.
"We realise the enormity of the occasion and of the test. Leicester are well used to winning tournaments - they won one last weekend against the Ospreys.
"Tigers are very good at getting ahead and then strangling you and squeezing the life out of you, so we have to make sure we start well and are competitive from the off."
We are going to need an 80-minute performance and we haven't done that for a long time
Former Llanelli and Wales fly-half Jonathan Davies believes the Scarlets' flair will help them beat Leicester on Saturday.
Davies noted how the Ospreys had troubled Leicester in the second half, and suggested the Scarlets could find a similarly attacking approach to their advantage.
"Leicester will be confident after the win, but they struggled when the Ospreys played with high intensity in the second half," said Davies.
"That is exactly the sort of game that the Scarlets love to play."
The sides meet at the Walkers Stadium, with the winners advancing to a 20 May final against either Northampton or Wasps at Twickenham.
Leicester remain on course for a trophy treble after their Ospreys triumph, with the Heineken Cup and English Premiership still square in their sights.
"We are going to need an 80-minute performance against Llanelli, and we haven't done that for a long time," said coach Pat Howard.
"At times, we are very dangerous, like we showed in the EDF final at Twickenham.
"We switch on when we need to, but that 80-minute performance is going to be vital against the likes of Llanelli because they have been playing very well all year."


Leicester: G Murphy; T Varndell, D Hipkiss, D Gibson, A Tuilagi; A Goode, H Ellis; A Moreno, G Chuter, J White, L Deacon, B Kay, L Moody, S Jennings, M Corry (capt).
Replacements: G Hickie, M Holford, L Cullen, B Deacon, F Murphy, S Vesty, S Rabeni.

Llanelli Scarlets: B Davies; D James, R King, G Evans, M Jones; S Jones, D Peel; I Thomas, M Rees, D Manu, V Cooper, S MacLeod, S Easterby (capt), G Thomas, A Popham.
Replacements: K Owens, J Davies, I Afeaki, N Thomas, L Davies, C Thomas, M Watkins.

Referee: Alain Rolland (Ireland)