Cycling Bet's

[Cycling_Tipster]

Hello,

I bet many on cycling and now I will posted my bet in this section. Normaly, this bets are profitable.

PS/ Sorry for the bad English, is not my specialty (But Cycling yes!)

So, let's start with the end of Vuelta! This evening bookamker open a market for the Stage 11.

[Cycling_Tipster]

VUELTA - Stage 11

Poels > Taaramae @1.85 Pinnacle 2.4/5
Mollema > D Martin @2.45 Unibet 2.4/5
Seeldrayers > Poels @2.3 Unibet 2.4/5
Machado > Perget @1.95 Unibet 2.1/5
Cobo > Menchov @2 Sportingbet 2.1/5
Anton > Sastre @1.85 Bet365 1.5/5
Nibali > Mollema @2 Bet365 1.5/5
Kruijswijk > Monfort @2 Centrebet 1.5/5

[Cycling_Tipster]

Cobo Top 3 @6 Centrebet 0.9/5 -> Cobo is certainly unpredictable, but is able to make big performance! He was very strong in Covatilla and the TT. So the odds are definitely a value!

[rcgills]

Good luck Cycling_Tipster, and welcome to TDP

[Cycling_Tipster]

VUELTA - Stage 11

Poels > Taaramae @1.85 Pinnacle 2.4/5 -> Without escape for Rein it's very good
Mollema > D Martin @2.45 Unibet 2.4/5 -> Dan is inconstent, so 2.45 is high!
Seeldrayers > Poels @2.3 Unibet 2.4/5
Machado > Perget @1.95 Unibet 2.1/5 -> Machado increase with a good TT
Cobo > Menchov @2 Sportingbet 2.1/5 -> Menchov is limit on moutain
Anton > Sastre @1.85 Bet365 1.5/5 -> Tomorow, another condition (rain !?)
Nibali > Mollema @2 Bet365 1.5/5
Kruijswijk > Monfort @2 Centrebet 1.5/5
Cobo Top 3 @6 Centrebet 0.9/5 -> Cobo is certainly unpredictable, but is able to make big performance! He was very strong in Covatilla and the TT. So the odds are definitely a value!

----------------
+1.85 U
----------------

(Live
Moncoutié to Win @2.78 2.16/5
Moncoutié not Win @3.5 1.8/5
Vandenbroeck > Menchov @1.72 3/5)

[rcgills]

Yes, there's a limited amount of time after you post maybe an hour, I think, in which you can edit your post, after that it's not possible. Otherwise there would in theory be nothing to stop you from going back and editing your post to make it look like you had nothing but winners

[Cycling_Tipster]

Vuelta Stage 12

Sagan > Kittel @2.55 Sportingbet 3.6/5 -> I think the false flat under the red flame is used Kittel
Van Avaermaet > Lighart @1.85 Bet24 3/5 -> A perfect stage fot the Belgium rider!
Haussler > Martens @1.65 Pinnacle 3/5 -> With the abandonment of Farrar, Haussler is no longer blocked and should find a stage to his liking
Mondory > Reynes @1.85 Pinnacle 2.4/5 -> The bookmakers overestimate Reynes with his victory on the first stage
Boonen > Degenkolb @2.22 Pinnacle 2.4/5 -> Degenkolb seems to suffer on the Vuelta (not top)
Fuglsang > Mollema @2.59 Pinnacle 2.1/5 -> Lotery, so value….
Joaquin > D Martin @2.26 Pinnacle 2.1/5 -> Lotery, so value….
Scarponi > Van Den Broeck @2.56 Pinnacle 2.1/5 -> Lotery, so value….
Petacchi > Bennati @2.55 Sportingbet 1.8/5 -> Petacchi is surprising (in a good and not so good ...)
Martens > Reynes @2.40 Bet24 2.1/5 -> The bookmakers overestimate Reynes with his victory on the first stage
Haussler Top 3 @9 Unibet 0.9/5 -> With the abandonment of Farrar, Haussler is no longer blocked and should find a stage to his liking

Sorry for google translation

[Cycling_Tipster]

Vuelta Stage 12

Sagan > Kittel @2.55 Sportingbet 3.6/5 -> I think the false flat under the red flame is used Kittel
Van Avaermaet > Lighart @1.85 Bet24 3/5 -> A perfect stage fot the Belgium rider!
Haussler > Martens @1.65 Pinnacle 3/5 -> With the abandonment of Farrar, Haussler is no longer blocked and should find a stage to his liking
Martens > Reynes @2.40 Bet24 2.1/5 -> The bookmakers overestimate Reynes with his second place on the first stage
Boonen > Degenkolb @2.22 Pinnacle 2.4/5 -> Degenkolb seems to suffer on the Vuelta (not top)
Fuglsang > Mollema @2.59 Pinnacle 2.1/5 -> Lotery, so value.
Joaquin > D Martin @2.26 Pinnacle 2.1/5 -> Lotery, so value.
Scarponi > Van Den Broeck @2.56 Pinnacle 2.1/5 -> Lotery, so value***8230;. Bad bet!
Petacchi > Bennati @2.55 Sportingbet 1.8/5 -> Petacchi is surprising (in a good and not so good ...) 1 place...
Haussler Top 3 @9 Unibet 0.9/5 -> With the abandonment of Farrar, Haussler is no longer blocked and should find a stage to his liking

Sorry for google translation


-----------------------
+1.42 U
-----------------------

(Live:
Bennati > Kittel @2.87 2.8/5
Bennati > Kittel @2.4 4.5/5
Kittel not top 3 @1.5 2.4/5
Haussler > Degenkolb @ 2.45 1.5/5
)

[Cycling_Tipster]

Vuelta Stage 13



Today, it’s a stage for an escape! I think 95%. So the goal is to choose the good riders with good chance to be in front of the race). Behind, the leaders don’t attack. Tomorrow and Angliru is more adapted! So the bet with leader is a lottery:

Barredo > Taaramae @1.4 Sportingbet 3/5
Perget > Bonnafond @2.35 Pinnacle 2.1/5
Lagutin > D Martin @2.16 Pinnacle 2.1/5
Majka > Zaugg @2.35 Pinnacle 2.1/5
Luis Leon Sanchez > Chavanel @2.1 Centrebet 2.1/5
Cobo > Van Den Broeck @2.25 Sportingbet 2.1/5
Lastras > Chavanel @2.55 Bet24 2.1/5
Boonen > Petacchi @2.55 Unibet 2.1/5
Froome > CA Sorensen @1.7 Sportingbet 1.8/5
Wiggins > Zubledia @1.85 Unibet 1.8/5
Marge of win <= 1sec @2.7 Bwin 3/5

[Cycling_Tipster]

Vuelta Stage 13

Today, it's a stage for an escape! I think 95%. So the goal is to choose the good riders with good chance to be in front of the race). Behind, the leaders don't attack. Tomorrow and Angliru is more adapted! So the bet with leader is a lottery:

Barredo > Taaramae @1.4 Sportingbet 3/5
Perget > Bonnafond @2.35 Pinnacle 2.1/5
Lagutin > D Martin @2.16 Pinnacle 2.1/5
Majka > Zaugg @2.35 Pinnacle 2.1/5
Luis Leon Sanchez > Chavanel @2.1 Centrebet 2.1/5
Cobo > Van Den Broeck @2.25 Sportingbet 2.1/5
Lastras > Chavanel @2.55 Bet24 2.1/5
Boonen > Petacchi @2.55 Unibet 2.1/5
Froome > CA Sorensen @1.7 Sportingbet 1.8/5
Wiggins > Zubledia @1.85 Unibet 1.8/5
Marge of win <= 1sec @2.7 Bwin 3/5

--------------
+5.53U
--------------

(Live:
Roche > Moreno @2 3/5
Wiggins > Cobo @1.95 2.1/5
Capecchi Win @13 0.9/5 finish second with technical problem... unlucky :-(

[Cycling_Tipster]

Vuelta – Stage 14



The queen stage of the Vuelta ? Possible. The last km is very interessant with 2 hard mountain and a descent (maybe Nibali attack? But I think is not the good solution for today). Indeed the first km of last mountain is easy so a peloton organized control easy an attack! I see the battle with the leader in the last 8-5 km (avrerage -> 10%). The bookmaker fix odds with the 3 precedent stages, so no exceptional value but I took :

Nieve > CA Sorensen @2.06 Pinnacle 2.1/5
Brajkovic > Fuglsang @1.952 Pinnacle 2.1/5
Perget > Bonnafond @2.06 Pinnacle 2.1/5
Taaramae > Scarponi @2.69 Pinnacle 2.1/5
Nibali > Mollema @2.49 Pinnacle 2.1/5
Cobo > Kessiakoff @1.85 Bet24 1.5/5
Brajkovic > Roche @1.66 Sportingbet 1.8/5
Kessiakoff > Menchov @1.5 Sportingbet 1.8/5
Pardilla > Lagutin @1.85 Sportingbet 1.8/5
Cobo top 3 @5 Sportingbet 1.2/5

[Cycling_Tipster]

Vuelta - Overall

I think Cobo has a good legs for the end. 1'30 is little with the two next stage. Not many climbers front (They can explode on the high %).
Joaquin have 3 opportunities to win a stage (few chance to an escape) and the Sagan's stages are more open to an escape (so, less point to recolt!)

Cobo to win @21 Bet365 0.3/5
Joaquin Points Classification @2.2 Bet365 3/5

[Cycling_Tipster]

Vuelta Stage 14



The queen stage of the Vuelta ? Possible. The last km is very interessant with 2 hard mountain and a descent (maybe Nibali attack? But I think is not the good solution for today). Indeed the first km of last mountain is easy so a peloton organized control easy an attack! I see the battle with the leader in the last 8-5 km (avrerage -> 10%). The bookmaker fix odds with the 3 precedent stages, so no exceptional value but I took :

Nieve > CA Sorensen @2.06 Pinnacle 2.1/5
Brajkovic > Fuglsang @1.952 Pinnacle 2.1/5
Perget > Bonnafond @2.06 Pinnacle 2.1/5
Taaramae > Scarponi @2.69 Pinnacle 2.1/5
Nibali > Mollema @2.49 Pinnacle 2.1/5
Cobo > Kessiakoff @1.85 Bet24 1.5/5
Brajkovic > Roche @1.66 Sportingbet 1.8/5
Kessiakoff > Menchov @1.5 Sportingbet 1.8/5
Pardilla > Lagutin @1.85 Sportingbet 1.8/5
Cobo top 3 @5 Sportingbet 1.2/5

--------------
+3.54 U
--------------

(Live:
Cobo > Mollema @2.25 2.1/5 )

PS/ Very good stage for the LT with Cobo @21 (now trade...)

[Cycling_Tipster]

Vuelta - Stage 15



Today, the famous mountain (angliru). It's a very interessant race (the last big stage, in the 3 weeks, the opportinuties are more for an escape...). So, today it's the race of favory! It's interessant to see the Sky rider's (Froome and the leader Wiggins), I think, the high pourcentage (>20%!) can create surpise for not pur climber.

Seeldraeyers > CA Sorensen @2.2 Unibet 2.7/5
Zaugg > Sastre @1.72 Unibet 2.1/5
Mollema > Wiggins @1.85 Bet24 1.5/5
D Martin > Lagutin @2.01 Pinnacle 2.1/5
Froome > Menchov @2.25 Pinnacle 1.2/5
Kessiakoff > Bruseghin @1.562 Pinnacle 2.4/5
Van Den Broeck > Menchov @2.2 Nordicbet 2.7/5
Kessiakof > Roche @1.68 Nordicbet 2.1/5
Lagutin > Txurucka @1.55 Bet24 2.4/5
Brajkovic > Bruseghin @2.15 Centrebet 1.95/5
Kessiakoff > CA Sorensen @1.9 Sportingbet 1.95/5

[Cycling_Tipster]

Vuelta - Stage 15



Today, the famous mountain (angliru). It's a very interessant race (the last big stage, in the 3 weeks, the opportinuties are more for an escape...). So, today it's the race of favory! It's interessant to see the Sky rider's (Froome and the leader Wiggins), I think, the high pourcentage (>20%!) can create surpise for not pur climber.

Seeldraeyers > CA Sorensen @2.2 Unibet 2.7/5
Zaugg > Sastre @1.72 Unibet 2.1/5
Mollema > Wiggins @1.85 Bet24 1.5/5
D Martin > Lagutin @2.01 Pinnacle 2.1/5
Froome > Menchov @2.25 Pinnacle 1.2/5
Kessiakoff > Bruseghin @1.562 Pinnacle 2.4/5
Van Den Broeck > Menchov @2.2 Nordicbet 2.7/5
Kessiakof > Roche @1.68 Nordicbet 2.1/5
Lagutin > Txurucka @1.55 Bet24 2.4/5
Brajkovic > Bruseghin @2.15 Centrebet 1.95/5
Kessiakoff > CA Sorensen @1.9 Sportingbet 1.95/5


-----------
-15.77 U Lose 3 bets for 1 place (unlucky) and many errors (Kessiakoff, Brajkovic are empty after 2 weeks...). But Cobo maybe win the Vuelta (I have @21), so flat day (with a good b365 live) :-)
-----------

(Live:
Fuglsang > Kessiakoff @1.75 5/5
Monfort > Fuglsang @1.72 5/5
Anton Top 3 @4 1.8/5
Anton Win @7.8 2.49/5
Cobo Win @4.8 1.08/5 )

Tomorow, the rest day for riders and me...