Thursday 19th May

[Pete89]

Originally Posted by Pete89

Today I'm seeking out horses which are down in class by at least 2 classes on the flat. flatstats has this info for free although you will have to go race by race.

At Haydock there are two qualifiers. In the 505 Sunday Bess last ran in the Cheshire Oaks and has droped 4 to class 5 Maiden stakes. Currently avalible at just under 10/1 on Betfair. The other qualifier is Chester Aristocrat, in the 220 however it makes no appeal.

At Sandown in the 620 Musawama looks the likely favourite. It was beaten favorite LTO in a Derby trial when it drifted from 11/10 to 15/8. Aciano in the 655 also qualifies but doesn't appeal. In the 730 both Malthouse and Aldwick Bay qualify. Boston Court in the 805 drops 3 classes and finished near the back on both starts both over 200 days ago no again no appeal.

On the All Weather La Estrellia (315 Sothwell) drops down in class despite landing a 6th in a row last time. If as the Sporting Life suggests the price is Evs the its Christmas 6 months early. In the 350 Dreamweaving qualifies but is easily dismissed.

Haydock
2.20 Chester Aristocrat 7/13 -1pt
5.05 Sunday Bess 2/10 @5/1 -1pt
Sandown
6.20 Musawama 6/7 -1pt
6.55 Aciano 8/12 -1pt
7.30 Malthouse 1/8 BSP: 6.6 +5.37pt ISP: 5/1 +5pt and Aldwick Bay 7/8 -1pt
8.05 Boston Court 8/12 -1pt
Southwell
3.15 La Estrellia 1/6 BSP: 1.26 +.247pt ISP: 1/4 +.25pt
3.50 Dreamweaving 4/5 -1pt

Backing all of them would have made a loss of BSP: -1.383pt ISP: -1.75pt being more selective though [those with the bold] and we make a nice profit of BSP: +2.617pt ISP: +2.25pt over 50% on BSP.

Boston Court stinks to me of a horse thats being ran to get a favourable HC mark if it's up in tripmit could well be a winner NTO

[Seen]

Originally Posted by Yequan

This is the race, color, I do not mind betting may dominate in. Have you seen the top 2 that a chance, but the game is a fun little bet time is ripe...

Racist