Kentucky Derby 5/6

[sdsponger]

Odds to win the 132nd Kentucky Derby 5/6 @ Churchill Downs - Louisville, KY from bodog.com

1 Jazil 30-1 Fernando Jara
2 Steppenwolfer 30-1 Robby Albarado
3 Keyed Entry 30-1 Patrick Valenzuela
4 Sinister Minister 12-1 Victor Espinoza
5 Point Determined 12-1 Rafael Bejarano
6 Showing Up 20-1 Cornelio Velasquez
7 Bob and John 12-1 Garrett Gomez
8 Barbaro 4-1 Edgar Prado
9 Sharp Humor 20-1 Mark Guidry
10 A.P. Warrior 15-1 Corey Nakatani
11 Sweetnorthernsaint 10-1 Kent Desormeaux
12 Private Vow 50-1 Shaun Bridgmohan
13 Bluegrass Cat 30-1 Ramon Dominguez
14 Deputy Glitters 50-1 Jose Lezcano
15 Seaside Retreat 50-1 Patrick Husbands
16 Cause to Believe 50-1 Russell Baze
17 Lawyer Ron 4-1 John McKee
18 Brother Derek 3-1 Alex Solis
19 Storm Treasure 50-1 David Flores
20 Flashy Bull 50-1 Mike Smith

[sdsponger]

Any of you guys gonna get in on this? After the Super Bowl, this is probably the 2nd most bet on event in the US.

Brother Derek is the fav and Alex Solis is a master. I've seen him numerous times out here at Del Mar. Gonna be tough for him starting so far outside though.

Here are the other horses I like:
Steppan Wolfer
Sinister Minister
Sweetnorternsaint
Point Determined

[ONEDUNME]

Sorry SD, I hate to see you talking to yourself but I really know nothing about US racing.

Erm.... anyone?

[Keith]

No......me neither.

Breeders Cup day before I cast my eye over them over there.

[sdsponger]

No worries guys, just thought I'd see if there was any interest

You talking about the Kentucky Oaks Was?

[trickrick]

A mate of mine who is a big US racing fan tells me to fill me boots on Sinister Minister... I ain't got an idea about racing, and I ain't condoning anyone following this advice, but he is quite bullish about it's chances and I will be having a small each way dabble on it methinks at 12/1..

[Beanie]

Good luck fellers - racingpost.co.uk preview says:

Sweetnorthernsaint primed for Derby glory

by Dan Farley (May 6)

THE forecast for today at Churchill Downs is cool and dry, but it’s likely to be anything but when the two starting gates open and let loose the 20 runners seeking Classic glory.



There are so many angles to this Kentucky Derby that one could go blind in search of the winner.

There is Brother Derek, trained by a man wheelchair-bound after a motorcycle accident and ridden by a jockey whose career – and ability to walk – was nearly ended in a spill last season. Dan Hendricks and Alex Solis are the stuff of which movies are made.

Brother Derek has been made the 3-1 morning line choice for the race after dominating the Derby preps run at Santa Anita, the most recent of those outings coming in the Santa Anita Derby four weeks ago.

Hendricks is very much to the point: “He’s doing fine. I have to be happy with the way things are coming along.” He said of his outside draw (18 of 20): “The only real fear from out there is that you’re going to get forced wide and lose a lot of ground.”

It could be that favouritism may go to the unbeaten Barbaro, whose connections are also represented by Showing Up, similarly unbeaten.

Michael Matz, trainer of Barbaro, is another hero worthy of the movies, having survived a plane crash and saved other passengers in the process. He said of his Florida Derby winner: “Since he’s come from Florida, he’s done very well. I couldn’t ask him to be any better.”

Showing Up, trained by Derby-winning Barclay Tagg and winner of the Coolmore Lexington Stakes two weeks ago, did not run at two – and the only such Derby winner was Apollo in 1882.

Lawyer Ron comes into the race having won his last six starts. “This is a pretty good horse,” said trainer Bob Holthus, “and I don’t think I’ve gotten to the bottom of him yet, so hopefully he has got one more gear to get by them.”

Sweetnorthernsaint comes into the Derby a solid contender off his Illinois Derby victory and is my idea of the winner, while Bob Baffert has a three-pronged attack in search of a fourth Derby score. Santa Anita Derby runner-up Point Determined is the best of the three, and is backed up by Wood Memorial winner Bob And John and Blue Grass Stakes winner and likely pacesetter Sinister Minister.

AP Warrior, winner of the San Felipe Stakes from Point Determined and Bob And John before falling victim to a lack of pace when third inthe Santa Anita Derby, has gained popularity during the week. He is trained by John Shirreffs, who last year saddled 50-1 shock winner Giacomo.

Steppenwolfer and Jazil are strong finishers who could get a piece of the action with the benefit of a clean trip, and locally based Sharp Humor, a determined runner-up to Barbaro in the Florida Derby, could stick around to figure in the finish after racing prominently early.

DERBY 1-2-3
Dan Farley: SWEETNORTHERNSAINT, Barbaro, Sharp Humor
Nicholas Godfrey: BARBARO, Point Determined, AP Warrior

[Teekay]

Bob and John 12-1


I like look of this.

[Beanie]

Welcome to TDP Teekay Could do with a few more racing enthusiasts around here so make yourself at home.

[Teekay]

Cheers for welcome, im not the best tipster by no means mind you.

[jtw1]

After having a look at the official website , i've gone for POINT DETERMINED to place at 4.2 , reading the opinions of how the race will probobly pan out it appears that any horse that can come from just off the pace must have a good chance and POINT DETERMINED fits the bill , especially with a couple of the favs not having the best of draws.

[trickrick]

Wow Barbaro destroyed them !!