Grand National preview

[Kop66]

Good luck all

I've only had a 20 minute look so ive done 6 to win and 6 to place, very small level stakes.

To win
Point Barrow @ 11
Numbersixvalverde @ 18
Simon @ 22
Eurotrek @ 24
Longshanks @ 28
Clan Royal @ 50 (Britney's riding it)


To place
Gallant Approach @ 24
Thisthatandtother @ 27
Celtic Son @ 27
Graphic Approach @ 27.97
Naunton Brook @ 28
The Outlier @ 38

[Kop66]

I've just had 3 other small bets on the Aintree card, Bob Hall would be my nap of the day.

1.45 Buster Hyvonen @ 13.5
3.25 Oscatello @ 10
5.00 Bob Hall @ 4.7

[DAN DAN]

Thank you Seen for a very good read and a shortlist too. I think I'll have Jack High E/W what with the poker connection.

[slick]

I've got mine down to three

Dun Doire @24
Homer Wells @ 50
and Point Barrow @ 11.5

10 squid on each

Odds Betfair

[jbgb007uk]

Mine are (without help from Seen, but with similar selection process):

Joes Edge
Billyvoddan - Just a hunch that it can run better than the weight suggests it will!!
McKelvey
Jack High
Zabenz

[mrmuzeman]

Unless betfair want to give me a free tenner to donk off on others (they gave me free money randomly on the golf last weekend) then its these 2 for me.

Point Barrow 11/1
Dun Doire 22/1

If one of Seens longshots wins then Ill be kicking myself

[Yen_Sid]

After saying I was steering clear this year too. Great read in here, have picked 2 based on all the stuff I've seen on this thread. Cheers guys.

Dun Doire - 18/1 SportingOdds
McKelvey - 14/1 SportingOdds

[mrmuzeman]

Point Barrow 11/1
Dun Doire 22/1

If one of Seens longshots wins then Ill be kicking myself

Fcuk it ill have some of Mckelvey at 16/1 as well then for a 3 pronged pincer attack

[oliver2ist]

After much thought I've settled on two. They both have to buck a trend or two though. BILLYVODDAN & L'AMI. Both are 20/1 or more. Both are at least 6.0 to place on b/f.

[Winrew]

Latest prices for the National......

Joes Edge 9/1

Point Barrow 10/1

Hedgehunter 12/1 10/1

Mckelvey 16/1 14/1

Numbersixvalver' 14/1

Simon 20/1 16/1

Eurotrek 20/1 16/1

Longshanks 22/1 18/1

Idle Talk 18/1

Billyvoddan 18/1

L'ami 18/1

Dun Doire 16/1 20/1

Bothar Na 20/1 22/1

Monkerhostin 22/1

Bewleys Berry 25/1

Ballycassidy 25/1

Jack High 33/1

Silver Birch 33/1

Liberthine 33/1

Slim Pickings 33/1

Clan Royal 33/1

Kelami 33/1

Homer Wells 40/1

Royal Auclair 33/1 40/1

Gallant Approach 100/1 50/1

Zabenz 66/1

Thisthatandtoth' 100/1 66/1

Le Duc 80/1

Philson Run 80/1

Naunton Brook 100/1

Puntal 100/1

Graphic Approach 100/1

Kandjar D'allier 100/1

Celtic Son 100/1

Knowhere 100/1

The Outlier 125/1

Livingstonebram' 125/1

Tikram 150/1

Cloudy Bays 150/1

Sonevafushi 200/1

[Jay]

Brilliant write up Seen Cheers for the info

[traeth]

my selections

Eurotrek @ 19.00

Mckelvey @ 15.00

L'Ami @ 21.00

[ONEDUNME]

Originally Posted by crowie

Aye, but don't let ODM hear you mentioning the French Bred trend as he doesn't believe in it. Or Santa Claus

I'm sure someone told me something about French bred horses not doing very well at Cheltenham


On a totally different subject, here's a reminder of the Gold Cup results

1st Kauto Star (Bred in France)
2nd Exotic Dancer (Bred in France)
3rd Turpin Green (Bred in Ireland)
4th Monkerhostin (Bred in France)


All these stats can be very useful if you want to narrow down a handful of selections but anyone who chooses to totally disregard a fancy because of previous stats is a prize tool.

[ONEDUNME]

I hope L'ami wins then you can shove your French bred stats for good. If a French Bred horse is good enough to finish second then it's not that difficult to imagine that one could win it.

Anyway, enough of talking to myself. I've got things to do.

[Seen]

Originally Posted by ONEDUNME

I'm sure someone told me something about French bred horses not doing very well at Cheltenham


On a totally different subject, here's a reminder of the Gold Cup results

1st Kauto Star (Bred in France)
2nd Exotic Dancer (Bred in France)
3rd Turpin Green (Bred in Ireland)
4th Monkerhostin (Bred in France)


All these stats can be very useful if you want to narrow down a handful of selections but anyone who chooses to totally disregard a fancy because of previous stats is a prize tool.

The Gold Cup is over 3m 2f, so the demands on stamina are considerably less that the gruelling 4m 4f Grand National trip.

I agree with what you say about stats only being a guide and that you should never disregard a horse purely on that (HEDGEHUNTER is a good example, he might go really close under a big weight but something with less pounds to carry should be too quick for him late on) but the French bred stat in the National is looking pretty strong and there is logical reasoning behind it.