Newcastle 4.50 - 08/08

[jbgb007uk]

The lucky last has another shortish price fave in Potentiale. This horse has some good form on the book but has been failing to win recently when sent off at shortish prices. The horse is also rising in the handicap (up another 2lbs today) and looks the one to beat at 11/8.
The second top weight is the one that interests me, Cheshire Prince has some form in the book and is recieving weight from the favourite (plus he has the important jockeys claim) which could prove the difference in this apprentice race. Potentiale has to give 6 lbs away to this one and is only rated 1 point higher in the handicap.

[pydoom]

I have to agree with Cheshire Prince - I think you can eliminate everything else apart from Potentiale & probably Chip n Pin,but Cheshire Prince is the value.

Probably should say why I would discount all the others - mainly it's the poor record of horses with under 3 runs in similar races, plus a couple of other minor trends to take care of the rest - I won't bore with all the gory details

[ONEDUNME]

Beautiful gents

Thought the fav was going to glide past it near the finish but it held on to win.

Nice one