USPGA (US Tour) Live On Sky

[FC Basher]

To Win Outright


2007 USPGA Book Closes 9 Aug 13:30


Each-way 1/4 1-2-3-4-5

Tiger Woods 3.20 Bet
Phil Mickelson 21.00 Bet
Ernie Els 21.00 Bet
Vijay Singh 23.00 Bet
Jim Furyk 23.00 Bet
Sergio Garcia 29.00 Bet
Padraig Harrington 31.00 Bet
Justin Rose 31.00 Bet
Luke Donald 41.00 Bet
Adam Scott 41.00 Bet
Retief Goosen 46.00 Bet
K.J. Choi 41.00 Bet
Stewart Cink 51.00 Bet
Hunter Mahan 56.00 Bet
Andres Romero 56.00 Bet
Angel Cabrera 56.00 Bet
Tim Clark 56.00 Bet
Rory Sabbatini 61.00 Bet
Zach Johnson 67.00 Bet
David Toms 67.00 Bet
Paul Casey 67.00 Bet
Geoff Ogilvy 67.00 Bet
Kenny Perry 67.00 Bet
Chris DiMarco 67.00 Bet
Scott Verplank 71.00 Bet
Steve Stricker 71.00 Bet
Henrik Stenson 76.00 Bet
Niclas Fasth 81.00 Bet
Trevor Immelman 91.00 Bet
Lee Westwood 91.00 Bet
Stuart Appleby 91.00 Bet
Davis Love 101.00 Bet
Mike Weir 101.00 Bet
Aaron Baddeley 101.00 Bet
Sean OHair 101.00 Bet
Ian Poulter 111.00 Bet
Nick O'Hern 126.00 Bet
Rod Pampling 126.00 Bet
Robert Allenby 126.00 Bet
Jerry Kelly 126.00 Bet
Colin Montgomerie 126.00 Bet
Boo Weekley 126.00 Bet
Arron Oberholser 126.00 Bet
Justin Leonard 126.00 Bet
Stephen Ames 126.00 Bet
Carl Pettersson 151.00 Bet
Richard Sterne 151.00 Bet
Richard Green 151.00 Bet
Chad Campbell 151.00 Bet
JJ Henry 151.00 Bet
Lucas Glover 151.00 Bet
Miguel Angel Jimenez 151.00 Bet
Jonathan Byrd 151.00 Bet
Brandt Snedeker 151.00 Bet
Steve Flesch 151.00 Bet
Anthony Kim 151.00 Bet
Thomas Björn 176.00 Bet
Paul McGinley 176.00 Bet
Bubba Watson 176.00 Bet
Charles Howell 176.00 Bet
Pat Perez 176.00 Bet
Mark Calcavecchia 176.00 Bet
Brett Wetterich 176.00 Bet
Ryan Moore 176.00 Bet
Jose Coceres 176.00 Bet
Bo Van Pelt 176.00 Bet
Nick Dougherty 201.00 Bet
Heath Slocum 201.00 Bet
Charley Hoffman 201.00 Bet
Steve Elkington 201.00 Bet
Troy Matteson 201.00 Bet
Bart Bryant 201.00 Bet
Tom Pernice 201.00 Bet
Rocco Mediate 201.00 Bet
Shaun Micheel 201.00 Bet
Darren Clarke 201.00 Bet
John Rollins 201.00 Bet
Anders Hansen 201.00 Bet
Peter Hanson 201.00 Bet
Michael Campbell 201.00 Bet
Joe Ogilvie 201.00 Bet
John Senden 201.00 Bet
David Howell 226.00 Bet
Nick Watney 226.00 Bet
Billy Mayfair 226.00 Bet
Bernhard Langer 226.00 Bet
Tom Lehman 226.00 Bet
Woody Austin 251.00 Bet
Markus Brier 251.00 Bet
Charl Schwartzel 251.00 Bet
Robert Karlsson 251.00 Bet
Soren Hansen 251.00 Bet
Ben Curtis 251.00 Bet
Fred Funk 251.00 Bet
Gregory Havret 251.00 Bet
Bradley Dredge 251.00 Bet
Jose Maria Olazabal 251.00 Bet
Tim Herron 251.00 Bet
Vaughn Taylor 251.00 Bet
Corey Pavin 251.00 Bet
D.J. Trahan 251.00 Bet
Will MacKenzie 251.00 Bet
Camilo Villegas 251.00 Bet
Ken Duke 251.00 Bet
Joe Durant 251.00 Bet
Johan Edfors 251.00 Bet
Ryuji Imada 251.00 Bet
Brett Quigley 251.00 Bet
Jeff Quinney 251.00 Bet
Dean Wilson 251.00 Bet
Jyoti Randhawa 251.00 Bet
Nathan Green 251.00 Bet
Raphael Jacquelin 251.00 Bet
Jeev Milkha Singh 301.00 Bet
Bob Tway 301.00 Bet
Daniel Chopra 301.00 Bet
Rich Beem 301.00 Bet
Mark Wilson 301.00 Bet
Kevin Sutherland 301.00 Bet
Jeff Sluman 301.00 Bet
Simon Dyson 301.00 Bet
Frank Lickliter 351.00 Bet
Shingo Katayama 351.00 Bet
Toru Taniguchi 351.00 Bet
Thongchai Jaidee 351.00

Top American Without T Woods


2007 USPGA Book Closes 9 Aug 13:30


Each-way 1/4 1-2-3-4

Jim Furyk 8.50 Bet
Phil Mickelson 8.50 Bet
Zach Johnson 19.00 Bet
Hunter Mahan 19.00 Bet
Stewart Cink 19.00 Bet
Kenny Perry 19.00 Bet
Chris DiMarco 23.00 Bet
Steve Stricker 23.00 Bet
Scott Verplank 23.00 Bet
David Toms 26.00 Bet
Sean OHair 41.00 Bet
Justin Leonard 41.00 Bet
Brandt Snedeker 41.00 Bet
Davis Love 41.00 Bet
Lucas Glover 41.00 Bet
Jonathan Byrd 41.00 Bet
Anthony Kim 46.00 Bet
Jerry Kelly 51.00 Bet
Arron Oberholser 51.00 Bet
Boo Weekley 51.00 Bet
Steve Flesch 51.00 Bet
Bo Van Pelt 51.00 Bet
Pat Perez 56.00 Bet
JJ Henry 56.00 Bet
Chad Campbell 56.00 Bet
Ryan Moore 61.00 Bet
Brett Wetterich 61.00 Bet
Bubba Watson 67.00 Bet
Mark Calcavecchia 67.00 Bet
Charles Howell 67.00 Bet
Shaun Micheel 67.00 Bet
Heath Slocum 67.00 Bet
John Rollins 71.00 Bet
Rocco Mediate 71.00 Bet
Woody Austin 71.00 Bet
Ken Duke 71.00 Bet
Charley Hoffman 71.00 Bet
Joe Durant 71.00 Bet
Joe Ogilvie 71.00 Bet
Bart Bryant 71.00 Bet
Troy Matteson 71.00 Bet
Tom Pernice 71.00 Bet
Billy Mayfair 71.00 Bet
Ben Curtis 81.00 Bet
Vaughn Taylor 81.00 Bet
Tom Lehman 81.00 Bet
D.J. Trahan 81.00 Bet
Tim Herron 81.00 Bet
Nick Watney 81.00 Bet
Brett Quigley 81.00 Bet
Jeff Quinney 81.00 Bet
Fred Funk 81.00 Bet
Dean Wilson 81.00 Bet
Will MacKenzie 81.00 Bet
Corey Pavin 81.00 Bet
Rich Beem 101.00 Bet
Jeff Sluman 101.00 Bet
Mark Wilson 101.00 Bet
Kevin Sutherland 101.00 Bet
Bob Tway 101.00 Bet
Frank Lickliter 126.00 Bet
Paul Goydos 126.00 Bet
John Daly 151.00 Bet
Eric Axley 176.00 Bet
Brian Bateman 176.00 Bet
Denis Watson 201.00

Top European


2007 USPGA Book Closes 9 Aug 13:30


Each-way 1/4 1-2-3-4

Justin Rose 6.50 Bet
Padraig Harrington 7.00 Bet
Sergio Garcia 7.00 Bet
Luke Donald 9.00 Bet
Niclas Fasth 15.00 Bet
Paul Casey 17.00 Bet
Henrik Stenson 19.00 Bet
Ian Poulter 21.00 Bet
Lee Westwood 21.00 Bet
Colin Montgomerie 29.00 Bet
Carl Pettersson 29.00 Bet
Miguel Angel Jimenez 29.00 Bet
Thomas Björn 34.00 Bet
Paul McGinley 34.00 Bet
Nick Dougherty 41.00 Bet
Anders Hansen 41.00 Bet
Peter Hanson 41.00 Bet
Darren Clarke 41.00 Bet
Bernhard Langer 46.00 Bet
Soren Hansen 46.00 Bet
Robert Karlsson 51.00 Bet
David Howell 51.00 Bet
Raphael Jacquelin 51.00 Bet
Markus Brier 51.00 Bet
Jose Maria Olazabal 51.00 Bet
Gregory Havret 56.00 Bet
Bradley Dredge 56.00 Bet
Johan Edfors 67.00 Bet
Daniel Chopra 67.00 Bet
Simon Dyson 67.00 Bet
Anthony Wall 101.00 Bet
Graeme Storm 101.00 Bet

Top Rest Of World


2007 USPGA Book Closes 9 Aug 12:00


Each-way 1/4 1-2-3

Ernie Els 3.75 Bet
Retief Goosen 7.50 Bet
Andres Romero 7.50 Bet
Tim Clark 8.00 Bet
Angel Cabrera 8.00 Bet
Rory Sabbatini 8.50 Bet
Stephen Ames 15.00 Bet
Trevor Immelman 15.00 Bet
Mike Weir 15.00 Bet
Richard Sterne 17.00 Bet
Jose Coceres 26.00 Bet
Charl Schwartzel 29.00 Bet
Camilo Villegas 34.00 Bet

[pydoom]

Stewart Cink each way @ 67 at Ladbrokes is my 1st bet as he has been solid all summer and has a good record at this course.

All my other outright bets are at Paddy as they are again paying out on 6 places.

It's pretty much the same names that have served me well over the last few months: -

Sabbatini, Mahan, Fasth & K J Choi - all are still in good form, although Fasth maybe coming off the boil now.

[mrmuzeman]

First thing when betting on the PGA is you may as well rule out any Europeans to win as none have ever won this before. In a sport with such a load of horses to look at thats a pretty nice stat and it cuts out a lot of players to look at. Obviously a european could win but since none have in 85 years or whatever im not gona try and pick one out!

Ive gone for VJ Singh (33/1), Zach Johnson e/w (66/1) and Geoff Ogilvy (113/1). All look good value to me at those prices. This is VJs favourite, hes won the PGA twice before and its about time he pushed for a major again, hes in good enough form to do it in general. Johnson after a bit of an injury halted his excellent form is looking good again now I think. I think he might actually be an awesome player but only time will tell whether he wins more majors but I think he will. Ogilvy is just long for a very good player who has won a major recently, hes not a 1 hit wonder as such hes done well in a few of them.

Im sticking with 3 bets I made for the US Open exactly the same which are all Top 5 bets, Justin Rose (7/1), Tim Clark (11/1) and Chris Di Marco (12/1). All have continued or furthered their form since that and have good major pedigrees. Tim Clark has finished 2nd, 2nd, 6th in his last 3 events. Rose has just been quality this season (4 top 5s from 11 events this season) finishing right up there a lot without actually winning. Di Marco looks to have got his game back again lately.

One Top 10 bet ive made is Steve Stricker (6/1). I dont see why hes that big at all. After returning after a few years of nothingness hes been top notch the last 2 seasons. For the last 2 seasons in all events has finished 13/35 finished top 10. His last 5 majors have gone 6th, 7th, missed cut, 13th, 8th. It shouldnt be 6/1 going on all that form over the last 2 years or so.

[mrmuzeman]

The reason why I havent backed any of the Top 5/Top 10 players to win is because they seem to have a few issues with actually winning events and thus dont represent value to actually take a title. Im mainly talking about Di Marco and Rose though. Rose although capable for sure, does NOT represent value at about 30/1 or so that really is too short. I think he will win one day but still you cant look past the fact hes not won even 1 single time on the PGA tour in over 100 tournaments. Di Marco has just had an appalling amount of 2nds and 3rds throughout his career. It must be a mental thing with him cos hes had 3 wins but 20 times has come 2nd or 3rd, pretty mad. Tim Clark is a bit bottlery as well I reckon cos hes never won an event but has finished in the top 5 a whole load of times. Steve Strickers just a bit of a steady eddy really.

[Chief77]

Paddy Power - Horse Racing, Football, Cricket, Golf, Big Brother and more.

Gonna be a little bit controversial and rule out all the Europeans myself. Yep, every last one. They never ever do well in this tournament and despite all the talk of Harringtons British Open win opening the floodgates I'm not convinced.

Obviously Tiger is the man to beat this week, so cunningly I've decided to use the betting without Woods market! Ingenious eh?

That leaves me with Els, Furyk, Mickleson, Singh, Choi, Scott,Goosen, Romero, Clark, Cink, Perry, Di Marco, Verplank, Cabrera,Sabattini, Johnson, Toms, Stricker, Ogilvy, Appleby, Pampling, Immelman, Baadely, Glover, Love and Weir from the players 100/1 or lower.

From the remainder I've picked out Olazabal Rollins Wetterich Kelly Micheel Snedeker all of who have performed well in various PGA events this year. I left out Boo Weekely as with only 2 par 5's on the course and an emphasise on placement rather than power I don't think it'll suit him.

Going back to my original list I've taken out Els, Goosen, Mickleson Scott Clark Cink Toms Ogilvy Appleby Immelman Love and Weir. None of whom I reckon are in great form coming into this event.

So that leaves me with a shortlist of Furyk, Singh, Choi, Romero, Perry, Verplank, Cabrera, Sabbatini, Johnson, Stricker, Glover, Olazabal, Rollins, Wetterich and Kelly.

Furyk is going to be my main hope this weekend and I reckon he has a great chance. He's 2nd in the Driving Accuracy stats and thats important for a tight course like this. He's in magnificent form of late and won the Canadian Open 2 weeks back. He didn't start last week due to a minor injury but is apparently fighting fight again now.

KJ Choi is my 2nd hope and again he's in good form and should give me a run for my money. He's won 2 tournaments in the past month and finished a respectable 7th last weekend in the WGC.

The rest of my shortlist I shall put a few quid on E/W at decent prices. I'll also chance my arm with the Hunter Mahan to be leading after 1st round bet which came up for me last week. 40/1 again this time.

Verdict:
25 Points E/W on Furyk @18/1
15 Points E/W on Choi @25/1
7.50 Points E/W on Singh @20/1, Verplank @45/1, Cabrera@50/1, Sabbatini@50/1, Johnson@50/1
7.50 Points Each on top 10 finish for Stricker@11/2, Glover@8/1, Olazabal@16/1, Rollins@16/1, Wetterich@16/1 and Kelly@12/1.
5 Points on Hunter Mahan to be 1st round leader @40/1
5 Points Petterson to be top European player @28/1

[Chief77]

1st Round 3 ball picks:
John Rollins @Evens V Small and Dougherty. Dougherty hasn't played too much on the PGA and I reckon he could struggle this weekend. I've never heard of Small and i'm just gonna assume hes crap!

Jerry Kelly @11/8 V McGinley and McKenzie: Nice price here for Kelly as I reckon McGinley will definitely struggle this weekend. McKenzie is nio mug but hopefully he'll have one of his off days.

Charles Howell III @7/4 V Westwood and Katayama: Westwood has gradually getting back to his best over the past couple of years and hes nota million miles away from challenging again but Howell III has had a good year and although his form has dipped lately i'm gonna take him at 7/4.

Jim Furyk @13/10 V Byrd and Donald: Donald has been playing terribly the last few months and looks set for another disappointing weekend. Furyk is usually pretty quick out of the blocks and 13/10 looks a great price to me.

[Bigkegman]

Originally Posted by pydoom

Stewart Cink each way @ 67 at Ladbrokes is my 1st bet as he has been solid all summer and has a good record at this course.

i thought you had mentioned he was 40/1 so speaking to a guy in the bookies and on the back of Lads USPGA tour coupon he is 40/1 but on the screen (just happened to be on when I went in) he was quoted at 66/1.

Ended up doing him EW cause I thought you had backed him at 40's and this was a bit of value anyway I'm sorry pydoom but I'm gone and spooked your bet as I'm on as well

[FC Basher]

Well after reading everyones excellant posts,ive gone for
All of Chiefs 3 balls in trebles @ paddypower
Stricker -Top 10 finish @ 11/2 @ paddypower
In the outrights ive gone for betting w/o Woods all @ paddypower
Stewart Cink 33's
Vijah Singh 20's
Geoff Ogilvy 55's

goodluck all

[pydoom]

I'm sorry pydoom but I'm gone and spooked your bet as I'm on as well

You've got yourself a winner there, I am very confident about this bet - come sunday we'll be counting the cash

I must admit that I missed steve stricker, so thanks for pointing him out and I've added him each-way to my portfolio.

Just read in the RFO that of the 6 previous USPGA's & US Open's played at the course 5 of them have produced wire-to-wire winners - is that just a useless fact or something important

[traeth]

after reading the posts here i've gone for the following e.w.
Singh
Cink
Mahan
Perry this is my selection

Thanks everyone for the advice

[Beanie]

Nice work team - can't disagree with any thoughts posted so far.

Well worth ignoring most of the Euro/Euro Tour mob...even someone like Romero should struggle this week despite recent good form. Like muze says that helps thin the field a lot - one of them could win but in terms of value they don't really have any.

Strong US Tour players or those in good nick should show well here...I think we're along the right lines with Di Marco, Verplank, Cink, Stricker, Mahan and the like.

Chief...was gonna say that Pettersen to be Top European bet @ 28/1 was an unbelievable price given he's one of the few Euros on the US Tour and has been playing very consistently over there, but I see he's pulled out Damn shame as that would have been a price to charge in on.

Back in a mo with my bets.

[Graham0573]

This year I've gone for

Poulter - hoping to get on at 200.0
Chris DiMarco - hoping to get on at 80 but odds seem to be shortening at the moment
Andres Romero at 60.0

and for a sneeky outsider

Monty at 290.0. I still have faith in the old dog and if he's going to ever win a major it will either be the Open or the USPGA. He ballsed it up last year but he's not been playing that bad and I'm hoping at worst, it will give me a trading opportunity.

[Beanie]

Ok...Southern Hills...nice fairways and greens, but you have to make sure you stay on them...by all accounts the rough is going to be fairly penal this week - not tricky to recover from but tricky to progress the ball too far, so driving accuracy important.

Another point to consider is the heat - another reason to avert eyes from the Europeans...could struggle.

Anyway, onto the betting...will go through the 3 balls to make sure I dont miss anyone...

Heath Slocum v Sterne/Rudosky @ 2.26 - dodgy spell a few months ago but played well last two tournaments...T22 and T6...and is v accurate off the tees. Plays well around tight courses...price looks generous as Sterne went into the open with all the form in the world (3 top 5s in 4 tourneys) and played pretty poorly. Did ok last week but nothing to suggest he can outdo Heath here.

Lay John Daly v Elkington/Micheel @ 4.3

Short odds selection but I like both his opponents here and think Daly should be 7s or worse. His driving is erratic at best and he wont like this tight course...up against two very handy players who like this type of course in this 3 ball and looks way too short to me.

Mahan v Choi/Stenson @ 2.88

Mahan usually starts at 100mph as Chief has noted and driving is v solid. Stenson is a bit of a mess at the mo and Choi is solid and should post a steady round, but I'll take the Hunter to have a wee birdie fest tomorrow and set off stronger.

Perez v Milka Singh/Jaquelin @ 2.56

Solid US Tour player who finished 4th round Colonial(a similar course) earlier this season, against a couple of Euro Tour players who are in indifferent form after occasional flashes of promise. Perez should enjoy this one.

Glover v Casey/Appleby @ 3.30

Cracking price here - shouldn't be the outsider. Casey has been up and down since his lay off, and won't fancy the midday heat too much. Appleby is inconsistent at the moment and has been v unreliable of late...Glover comes in from 4 top 12s in 5 tournaments, and plays well on these tight tracks. Should start well and I'd have him fav here.

[Beanie]

Onto the Tourney Matchbets:

Langer v Daly @ 1.70

Just can't see Daly getting anywhere near making the cut...he misses fairways far too often to get in amongst things around this course. Langer is getting on a bit but has still been consistent on the US Tour and knows how to keep his rounds together, something Daly cant do, and I fancy him to make the cut here.

Erm...thats about it. The 'other' markets...

Hole in One @ 2.66

I think we'll see one...the greens here are pretty receptive and the players should be spinning the ball towards the hole nicely...Par 3s offer some decent opportunities.

Need to oppose some Europeans who could struggle with some miss the cut punts:

Lay Stenson To make the Cut @ 1.60 - as above, bit of a mess at the mo.
Lay Monty to make the cut @ 1.90 - dont think he'll enjoy it this week. The heat could get to him and he's been awfully grumpy of late when off to a bad start.

20 or more players under par @ 4.3

Field is strong, greens offering up plenty of birdie chances for those that drive well. I think a lot of the field will tame this course come rounds 3 and 4.

Bjorn Top Nordic @ 9.2

Not in great form hence the price, but has shown ability to deal with sky high temperatures in the past which his Skando friends could struggle with.

[Beanie]

Onto the Outrights/Top5/Top 10:

Outright:

Mahan @ 75
Johnson @ 80
Perry @ 85
Verplank @ 95

Not convinced by the market leaders, there's a -ve beside most of them whether it be injury, form, or a dislike for this type of course. Keeping it simple with some tidy drivers who are in consistent form.

Top 5:

Di Marco @ 15

When he gets a bit of momentum going he can be unstoppable which is why I'll have him top 5 rather than top 10, and seems to love the big occasion...but as muze says his ability to close out a lead is suspect so no appeal on the outright.

Top 10:

Stricker @ 6.6
Johnson @ 6.6
Perry @ 6.8
Verplank @ 6.6
Glover @ 12
Micheel @ 13
Elkington @ 16

That's my fleet for this one...all steady eddys who have shown a liking for this type of course in the past. Perry bet a tad bigger than the others in this market.

And that's my lot...phew! Generally an anti-Euro, anti-big gun, pro-solid, unspectacular American stance, which I reckon is a decent line for this one, but the proof will be in the pudding. Or the golf. Whichever takes your fancy. It's late.

Good luck all