Bets Placed

[Beanie]

3pts Israel e/w @ 9.00 with Skybet
1pts Israel to win Semi 2 @ 5.00 with Skybet

Reasoning in Israel thread...

[Beanie]

Originally Posted by Beanie

5pts Germany not to place in the Top 4 @ 2.02 average with Betfair

Have laid this off for a small profit for now. The outright odds cant shift much more without this nudging southwards too, and as they continue to show up well in polls I think this will go odds on again soon.

However, still think her live performance will scupper its top 4 chances so will lay the same bet again nearer to the contest.

[Radoslav]

Beanie do you still think that Croatia bet is so strong....cuz i consoder betting it top4 though at betfair...

[Beanie]

Not sure about that one Rado - its doing well in polls but that doesnt necessarily mean too much. There isnt much interest in it in the betting markets so I dont think the price is going anywhere(infact waiting a little longer might net you a better price than currently about) so maybe worth waiting until hearing a couple of live rehearsals nearer the contest.

Guaranteed to score very well in the Balkans but it will need more than that for top 4.

[squallsquall]

I think the market generally tends toward the favourites (given the predictability of the recent year's contests). That would mean shortening of Azer/Ger, and lengthening of other entries.

[Gavster]

Originally Posted by Beanie

Not sure about that one Rado - its doing well in polls but that doesnt necessarily mean too much. There isnt much interest in it in the betting markets so I dont think the price is going anywhere(infact waiting a little longer might net you a better price than currently about) so maybe worth waiting until hearing a couple of live rehearsals nearer the contest.

Guaranteed to score very well in the Balkans but it will need more than that for top 4.

Feminem has stated that they won't be doing any tours. Very strange when your song is a good as their's clearly is. Lack of money I suspect.

[Gavster]

2pts speculation on Belgium to win semi 1 @ bwin. Currently @ 8.00

Already have Slovakia as my favorite and Portugal as my massive outsider.

[Beanie]

Originally Posted by gavinalwaysright

Feminem has stated that they won't be doing any tours. Very strange when your song is a good as their's clearly is. Lack of money I suspect.

Cheers - had missed that. Would have thought the broadcaster would have stumped up some cash given it was initially received well. Disappointing - and a big blow to any hopes of winning I think.

[Beanie]

3pts Belarus Not To Qualify @ 2.75 with Betfred

[Beanie]

4pts Poland Not To Qualify @ 1.53 with Betfred

[Akebono]

Belgium - Greece 1, 2.30, semi 1, Bwin
Finland E/W 67.00 (17.50 top 3) in semi 1, Boylesports

Ukraine NOT to qualify, 2.63, Betfred

Norway - Denmark 1, 2.40, final, Bwin
Sweden - Greece 1, 2.30, final, Bwin


In my opinion Finland should have a better chance of finish top 3 in semi 1 then finish top 10 in the final. Third place in semi 1 is equal to a 14th place according to my calculations

[Gavster]

Betfred are allowing doubles, trebles and accumulators in the To Qualify and Not Qualify markets.

They weren't allowing this last month, so I'd jump on ASAP!

[Gavster]

Accumulator NTQ @ Betfred

Cyprus 1.67
Ukraine 2.63 (thought I'd throw Ukraine in just to please Ake)
Netherlands 1.13
Switzerland 1.22

Treble NTQ

Poland 1.53
Belarus 2.38
Latvia 1.67


Accumulator to qualify @ Betfred

Albania 1.22
Belgium 1.25
Slovakia 1.20
Iceland 1.53
Greece 1.05

Double NTQ @ Betfred

Poland 1.53
Latvia 1.67

[MickeyPaul]

Betfred are allowing doubles, trebles and accumulators in the To Qualify and Not Qualify markets.

Those poor bastards won't know what hit them. Candy from a baby. A particularly weak and vulnerable baby.


"Bring it on motherfuckers. I'll bust you good. Losers."

[Gavster]

Accumilator - Top 10 @ Skintfred

Slovakia 2.20
Croatia 1.53
Azerbaijan 1.14
Israel 1.25
Denmark 1.53
Belgium 3.50