Am I missing something here? Never one to be afraid of making a fool of myself, I'll ask the question.
Here are the current odds
Best prices
Ronaldo 8/13
Bluesq
Torres 7/1
Paddy Power
Gerard 9/1
bet365
Messi 10/1 365
boyles skybet coral
If I have it right, Messi is one goal behind Ronaldo.
I know the bookies are assuming that Ronaldo also has three games to play and Messi only has two at best (although as he started as sub on Sunday, he may be even less)
Assuming that there is no silly tie break criterion (and if it was, you'd assume it would be goals per minutes played which Messi would win anyway) then Messi only has to score one goal and Ronaldo none and you're paid out as a dead heat (i.e half your stake at 10/1).
It's always dangerous to back against Ronaldo scoring but considering United are no certs to even get through to the final, I think this is a fantastic opportunity to nail at least a dead heat at a decent price.
Unless someone can talk me out of it in the next 20 minutes I'm getting on it.