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Old 11-03-2010, 18:26
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Bangles v England tests - Bit of value ??

Starts tomorrow in the early hours, around 3 to 3-30 I think, on the old Sky.

Didnt think there'd be much angle in this tbh, as you'd normally expect it to be a bit one sided, but I certainly wouldnt be tempted to take England on the the odds on offer.
I didnt take too much notice of the ODIs as that type of game bores me senseless out there tbh, but the gist of it was that Bangladesh flattered to deceive & dont stand too much chance here.
The thing is that while being pretty well unbackable, the Bangles do have decent sessions but just cant back it up, theyve proved that against both India & Australia in recent times. Can they worry a depleted England ? Probably not but there are too many questions to lump on the visitors.
Englands bowling will look strange. No Anderson, Sidebottom, Onions, all for different reasons. Broad has been injured but the smart money is a 4 man attack with him & Bresnan, big gamble IMO, & then Swann & Tredwell. Presumably they'll need some overs from Collingwood & potentially Bell & KP, although Bell hasnt bowled recently.
The market that attracts my attention is the man of the match. I cant see any of those bowlers bar Swann winning it, although admittedly hes the big danger, which leaves the batsmen.
The likely line up is Cook, Carberry, Trott, KP, Colly, Bell, Prior.
KPs been in awful form, against left arm spinners particularly & the Bangles have 2, & whilst I'd never back against him I'm not sure this contest has the edge to inspire him, which means theres no value in the odds. Cook has a lot on his plate being captain, Carberry if he plays is on debut & is not likely to storm the game IMO. Trott & Colly are runners but are only 10's, whereas Belly is 20's @ Hills
This is massive IMO, well over priced. Yes hes number 6 but even though I think he turned the corner in SA, this lot are his type of oppo. Back in 2005 pre-Ashes he scored 175 against this lot cementing his place for the summer. in those games Vaugh declared early to get it done whereas Cook wont have the confidence for that, meaning possibly 2 & a 1/2 days batting & only batting once. Bell shouldnt be double the price of the rest.

I've backed him in this & also series runs, currently 6.4 on Betfair, & also 1st test HS in Englands 1st innings @ 6/1 Laddies, 1/5 the odds first at Laddies as well
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Old 11-03-2010, 20:23
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Re: Bangles v England tests - Bit of value ??

great spot Swoops , I'll be on and I am looking forward to waking up and forgoing my.. ahem morning ritual to tune into test cricket.
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