Non League Midweek 20/21/22

[bromsgrovegreen]

cambridge city in turmoil,folding end of season so will the players be THAT up for it anymore? noticed they lost to a poor,winless sutton side on saturday so can lightening strike twice against an admittedly pretty average hayes side? odds of 9-2 at skybet if anyone has any feedback? hayes at least gained their 1st win for yonks against eastbourne away on saturday

[Bishop of Southport]

Not that I am trying to put you off, but Hayes did actually lose on Saturday 2-0 at home to struggling Eastbourne. A match I will be leaving alone. However, Alfreton at 7/4 away to Leigh RMI strikes me as a pretty good price.

[bromsgrovegreen]

thanks for putting me right!! i will be leaving alone as well now!!!hayes aint won for ages then

[A.M.P]

Yeah, hayes are shite at the moment.

I was on Cambridge City at the weekend. It appears Suttons manager resigned at 2pm on Saturday and told the players who then put in an "inspired" performance. He's now the "caretaker" manager until the end of season.

Emotions are running high amongst City fans and they are now on my avoid list, but I'll be willin gthem on for whats happened and mainy as I've got them E/W for the league. Unscrupulous like that. See my Wrexham bet last season..

Saturday's odds are out and it's a cracking coupon with some price discrepencies which need to be brought up.

Yate Town 2.2 Skybet @ Chesham (2.0 Bet 365)
Slough 3.4 Skybet @ Chelmsford (2.5 Skybet)
Hitchin 2.0 Bet365 v Gloucester (1.73 Skybet)
Marine 2.1 Skybet @ Gateshead (1.91 Bet 365)

Looks a cracking coupon. Get 'em whilst they're hot..

Oh, and for all you Redbridge layers out there Harrow are 1.9...

AMP

[A.M.P]

Coming back onto this mid-weeks games I'm having some of this....

Mangoes away to Merthyr 2.7 Sporting Odds

A nice preview from the Mangotsfield site:

Mangotsfield United make the journey over the bridge when they visit mid table Merthyr Tydfil on Tuesday night. The teams are yet to meet in the league this season but when they met in the third round of the Errea League Cup Mangotsfield United ran out comfortable 4 - 1 winners thanks to goals from Dave Anyinsah, Robbie Claridge, Luke Prince and Gary Warren.

Of the twenty nine league matches Merthyr Tydfil have played to date this season they have picked up forty points winning eleven, drawing seven and losing on eleven occasions. Thier recent form is poor with just one win in their last eight matches in which they have suffered four defeats. "The Martyrs" home form is also unimpressive as they are without a win in thier last five games in which they have drawn three times and lost twice.

Merthyr have got massive off field problems at the moment (though nothing compared to Cambridge City). They lost a manager in a strange move recently to Gloucester and appointed a dual management team - who left on Monday. They went down 2-1 at home to mid-table Hitchin Town at the weekend whilst rejuvenated Mangoes were spanking Banbury (6th) 4-2 away with leading scorer Robbie Claridge getting 2 (38 games 17 goals). It should be noted that his strike partner Martin Paul also grabbed a brace to make it 8 goals from 10 games. So they're bang in form. Plus veteran David Seal (ex Bristol City and Northampton) is on the bench and he still gets 1 every two games or so..

I'm fed up of reading forums saying stuff like "That was the worse performance ever" to go and back against the team to see them pull out an "inspired, gutsy, full of grit and determination, battling, etc,etc.." the next match, though I suppose that's the nature of the beast.

However, I think I've got a handle on this game. Mangotsfield were romping it early season and then there squad was beset by injuries and they fell away. They got promoted last season so it's doubtful whether they were equipped to handle the long list of casualties they had. Now they've found some form again and are pushing for the play-offs.

Merthyr (Fa Cup run aside) have been vastly underachieving all season. I remember when I was on the fcukers and they lost 3-0 at home to a team from the league below (Rushall Olympic if memory serves) in the FA Trophy. Their home form was excellent but just like their managers that has gone.

I'll leave you with a fan's succint view of the problems:

I've not been so disappointed with a performance and result for a long time. We never looked like winning against a team which a few months ago we would have put to the sword.

I even walked out before the end so I did not see the penalty. This performance was dour to say the least, no shape, purpose or form to any aspect of the play. We could not (or would not) string any passes together, just punt it and hope for the best. I beieve we really are missing Fowler in midfield to marshall the distribution.

I don't know what size blackboard Evo and Jeff have in the training room but I think they must have run out of chalk, I hope this can be rectified before it's too late. We really do look like cannon fodder at the moment, there for the taking by any the bottom sides in the league. I Hope we can stop the rot, never mind the play offs, we are now doomed to the mid or lower table if we are lucky.

Unfortunately since December we have entered a downward spiral that is now totally out of control.

Another punter (and there's many like this..)

I have no idea what is being said in the changing rooms before the game or at half-time but whatever it is it ain't working.

There was no pattern or shape to anything that we did today. I thought that last weeks game against Gloucester was poor this was even worse.

AMP

[A.M.P]

Oh, and i've just checked. Two of the other firms go 11/8 (2.37?) which is where i'd personally peg this.

[mrmuzeman]

Very nice posts AMP, was on my shortlist and im taking that along with aforementioned St Albans.

Two more aways im going to be on....


Leyton v Heybridge @ 6/5

Heybridge let some of us down Saturday after their 8 game winning streak ended with a draw, still gone back them tonight tho. Ive said this a couple of times about Heybridge this season and its that they beat the poorer sides in the division with relative ease. Ive checked out this notion again so its not unfounded.

Home vs Top half oppositon = 7-0-1
Away vs Bottom half opposition = 5-0-0

You cant fault that there really and Leyton are a standard lower half of the league side imo. Leytons home record of 6-1-8 is hardly scaring me either on this and at against odds its an easy pick for me to take. Anything against odds I cant see how that cant be a good bet.


Prescot v Blyth @ 5/4

Prescot home = 6-2-6
Blyth away = 7-4-2

Blyth currently sport the best away record in the league and are one a 10 game unbeaten run now. Theyve really started banging them in 11 goals in 4 successive away victories (over 3 poor sides and table topping Ferriby).

Prescot are doomed to mid-lower table and are a very incosistent side. They seem to draw a blank about every other game, if thats this game, they will lose to Blyth here. Current form is 1-1-4 losing 3 home games in that sequence. I notice theyve lost to Ferriby, Frickley and Marine all at home to nil, Blyth are of similar quality imo and will fancy their chances.

Again to me, anythin above evens look a backer to me and 5/4 is good for my money.


Will also be looking to lay Grays at Evens or below on betfair. Should be a pretty even battle against the Daggers imo who are sporting better form of late. Last 5 aways were wins at Gravesend, Southport and Scarborough, draw with Woking and a 1-0 loss to Accrington. If they show the form from those games struggling (unfortunately) Grays will have a tough time holding them you should have thought (only winning 2 of their last 10 themselves). I also hear theyve got a few injury worries. Yep anything around Evens looks great for a Dagenham double chance to me.

[XFX]

nice preview on mangoes AMP...
i've just gotten it @ 2.37
still pretty much value to me

Good Luck & Cheers

[mrmuzeman]

By the way...

As for Hyde Im gona take a back seat there as that game with Droylsden is gona be a scorcher. Id lump on the over 2.5 if they did that in non league cos im fully expecting a 4-3 type scoreline!

It ended 1-0 musta been 6 bar hits or sumthing.....

[XFX]

Well,
Im gonna be busy with work till tom... so...

Albans @ 1.5
Mangotsfield @ 2.37
Heybridge @ 2.1
Blyth @ 2.25

with a small punt on insane 4fold @ 15.83

Good Luck to all

[Super Angel]

Well done to all those who punted on Accy Stanlee last night...

[Super Angel]

Two for me this evening:

Hereford to bt Aldershot @ 1.53
St Albans to bt Thurrock @ 1.50

Good luck all...

[A.M.P]

Another one for me tonight...

Workington to beat Lancaster City @ 13/8 (Skybet / sporting odds)

yes, yes I know, Workington. I was just reading that even their manager doesn't know what team will turn up.

Well, it was the Dr Jekyl version at the weekend as they thumped early fancies Northwich Vic 5-2 at home. What caught my eye about that performance (other than the emphatic scoreline) is that they've currently got a striker on loan from Gretna and he banged in a hatrick in only his third appearance.

Lancaster are going through a slump and this has been blamed on a small squad having to contend with injuries and suspensions. They've got a midfielder and left back out tonight and their loan signing Pope from Crewe is doubtful. Pity it's not his strike partner as Lancaster do boast a player with 19 goals, Alex Taylor. This is from the local rag after their last home game, a 3-1 defeat to Hyde (which should've been 5 said the paper)

"City have operated all season with a tight squad, often with not enough players to take up the full compliment of substitute places. But until recently they were lucky with injuries and suspension"

Looking at the stats they're not good for Lancaster. 5 defeats from their last 6, only a win against lowly Redditch (1-0 which was hard fought for) got them some points.

Moving on to Wotkington they've picked up 10 points in the same period. 2 wins and 4 draws and are now undefeated in 7 games. They do tend to be very drawish but have lost only 3 times on the road.

A small punt for me as I can't let the 13/8 quote go unpunished as I'd also make this game 6/4 or 11/8 ish.

Another big quote that caught my eye is Alfreton at 9/5 to beat Leigh. It is a monster of a price for this relegation scrap but I'm put off with Alfreton having 3 players suspended.

Well, think that'll probably be it for me this midweek and I hope we have a lucky one!

AMP

[prinze]

With all the CL buss there could be someone who could sniff out a value bet in the Nationwide Conference on asian handicap. Thx

Nationwide Conference
Time	Fixture		Handicap	Team 1	Team 2	Line	Over	Under
Feb 21 19:45	Altrincham v Halifax		0	2.15	1.70	2.5,3	2.10	1.70
Feb 21 19:45	Burton Albion v Cambridge Utd		0.5	1.95	1.90	2.5	1.95	1.85
Feb 21 19:45	Forest Green v Gravesend		0	1.775	2.075	2.5	1.95	1.85
Feb 21 19:45	Grays Athletic v Dag & Red		0,0.5	2.00	1.85	2.5	1.85	1.95
Feb 21 19:45	Hereford v Aldershot		0.5,1	2.00	1.85	2.5,3	1.95	1.85
Feb 21 19:45	Kidderminster v Crawley Town		0.5	1.95	1.90	2.5	2.00	1.80
Feb 21 19:45	Stevenage v Canvey Island		0.5,1	1.80	2.05	2.5,3	2.00	1.80
Feb 21 19:45	Woking v Exeter		0,0.5	1.80	2.05	2.5	2.00	1.80
Feb 21 19:45	York v Tamworth		0.5,1	1.725	2.125	2.5,3	2.00	1.80

Odds by Bet 365

[A.M.P]

Sorry mate, Asian handicaps confuse me. I've got enough to do coping with this English one...

Ahhem...

Anywho, just had a quick look at Betfair and see that the non-league market is coming along nicely. Step 4 next season then lads?!

There's a weird lay on there. Welling are 2.48 for about 150 quid away to Carlshalton. Now, it'll be a tough game as Carlshalton are improving and have only 2 losses in 8 I think and a home win over Weymouth recently. They are still bottom however and Welling are still in with a shout of the play-offs.

It's at best 5/4 on the books which makes this lay all the more stranger. I'm asking for 2.6 for 20 quid anyway. Well...you've got to have a laugh haven't you?!

AMP