Premier League of Wales Dec 26

[traeth]

The Premier League of Wales have decided that Boxing Day and Jan 2nd are back to back derby match days.These near neighbour clashes were for the benefit of the players and fans , ended up with Porthmadog and Aberystwyth being the odd ones out so my team Port have a derby match 60+ miles away

Here is the latest betting from bet365
26 Dec-14:30 Aberystwyth v Porthmadog 2.37 3.25 2.50
26 Dec-14:30 Airbus UK v Newi Cefn Druids 1.83 3.40 3.50
26 Dec-14:30 Bangor City v Caernarfon 1.53 3.40 5.50
26 Dec-14:30 Caersws v Newtown 2.37 3.25 2.50
26 Dec-14:30 Carmarthen v Haverfordwest 2.25 3.40 2.60
26 Dec-14:30 Connah's Quay v Rhyl 3.20 3.20 2.00
26 Dec-14:30 Port Talbot v Llanelli 1.80 3.40 3.60
26 Dec-14:30 Welshpool Town v T.N.S. 3.60 3.40 1.80

A reason for Grange omission may be due to them playing on Dec 28th 2005 Cardiff Grange Quins - Cwmbran Town , with the return on Jan 4th 2006.

[traeth]

The latest league table .


Last updated: 18.12.2005 at 19:10
Pos Team Pld W D L F A Pts
1. Total Network Solutions 15 12 3 0 44 5 39
2. Port Talbot Town 15 8 6 1 25 10 30
3. Welshpool Town 15 8 3 4 35 27 27
4. Rhyl FC 16 7 4 5 28 19 25
5. Bangor City 15 7 1 7 28 25 22
6. Haverfordwest County 15 5 7 3 19 17 22
7. Newtown AFC 16 7 1 8 26 26 22
8. Carmarthen Town 13 6 3 4 24 15 21
9. Caersws FC 15 4 7 4 21 28 19
10. Llanelli AFC 12 6 0 6 22 14 18
11. Porthmadog FC 13 4 6 3 24 20 18
12. Aberystwyth Town 15 3 6 6 22 29 15
13. Cwmbran Town 14 4 3 7 17 30 15
14. Airbus UK 15 4 3 8 17 32 15
15. Connah's Quay Nomads 15 4 2 9 16 23 14
16. Cardiff Grange Quins 14 4 1 9 13 49 13
17. Caernarfon Town 13 2 5 6 18 19 11
18. NEWI Cefn Druids 14 1 7 6 15 26 10

My DON'TS in betting are :
i) don't bet on a match if they have a new manager
ii) don't bet on the L.D.V. trophy
iii) don't bet on local derby matches

[ EDIT -I've gone against my own advice in the last few weeks at a loss ]

With the majority of the players in this league being semi-pros the temptation not to over-induldge in alcohol on Christmas day will difficult.This set of fixtures maybe worth avoiding.Their match reports will be useful for analysis before the return matches the following week.Could be worth going for the draws.I'll have a think and post my opinions later .

[traeth]

My initial impressions with 5 last games for each club, which I find useful , if it detracts from the thread please give your opinions..

Aberystwyth [12]v Porthmadog[11]
Both sides have been improving lately , both mid table sides .Port have games in hand over Aber.Will home advantage be enough for Aber. Port missed striker Owen last week , without him they have few options up front .

2005-12-17 Aberystwyth - Airbus UK 2-2
2005-12-09 Cwmbran - Aberystwyth 1-3
2005-12-03 Aberystwyth - Connahs Quay 1-2
2005-11-18 Aberystwyth - Caersws 0-0
2005-11-12 Bangor City - Aberystwyth 3-1
2005-12-17 Welshpool - Porthmadog 1-0
2005-12-10 Porthmadog - Airbus UK 3-1
2005-11-26 Porthmadog - Cwmbran 5-1
2005-11-18 Caernarfon - Porthmadog 1-2
2005-11-12 Porthmadog - Connahs Quay 2-2

Airbus [14]v Newi Cefn Druids [18]
Two poor sides , cannot pick a winner or loser
2005-12-17 Aberystwyth - Airbus UK 2-2
2005-12-10 Porthmadog - Airbus UK 3-1
2005-11-25 Connahs Quay - Airbus UK 3-0
2005-11-19 Airbus UK - Carmarthen 1-3
2005-11-12 Caersws - Airbus UK 3-1

2005-12-17 Newi CD - Cwmbran 0-0
2005-12-09 Connahs Quay - Newi CD 1-0
2005-11-18 Newi CD - Bangor City 2-2
2005-11-12 Port Talbot - Newi CD 1-0
2005-10-28 Newi CD - TNS 0-6


Bangor [5]v Caernarfon [17]
A local derby from the old days ,not much love between these two clubs.Caernarfon on a poor run at the moment , Bangor lost their manager , but won last week which surprised me.
2005-12-17 Newtown - Bangor City 0-1
2005-12-10 Bangor City - Haverfordwest 0-1
2005-12-04 Rhyl - Bangor City 4-1
2005-11-26 Bangor City - Cardiff GQ 5-1
2005-11-18 Newi CD - Bangor City 2-2

2005-12-17 Caernarfon - Port Talbot 0-1
2005-12-10 TNS - Caernarfon 2-1
2005-11-18 Caernarfon - Porthmadog 1-2
2005-11-12 Caernarfon - Newtown 0-0
2005-10-29 Haverfordwest - Caernarfon 2-2


Caersws [9] v Newtown [7]
Caersws have had some good draws recently. Newtown recent form has been poor
2005-12-17 Haverfordwest - Caersws 0-0
2005-12-10 Caersws - Rhyl 1-1
2005-12-03 Cardiff GQ - Caersws 0-5
2005-11-18 Aberystwyth - Caersws 0-0
2005-11-12 Caersws - Airbus UK 3-1

2005-12-17 Newtown - Bangor City 0-1
2005-12-10 Port Talbot - Newtown 3-2
2005-12-03 Newtown - TNS 0-3
2005-11-26 Welshpool - Newtown 1-2
2005-11-19 Newtown - Llanelli 0-3

Carmarthen [8]v Haverfordwest [6]
Cannot see further than a draw here

2005-12-17 Rhyl - Carmarthen 1-0
2005-12-10 Carmarthen - Cardiff GQ 8-0
2005-11-19 Airbus UK - Carmarthen 1-3
2005-11-12 Carmarthen - Cwmbran 1-1
2005-10-29 Connahs Quay - Carmarthen 0-1

2005-12-17 Haverfordwest - Caersws 0-0
2005-12-10 Bangor City - Haverfordwest 0-1
2005-12-02 Haverfordwest - Port Talbot 1-3
2005-11-19 Haverfordwest - Welshpool 2-1
2005-11-12 Llanelli - Haverfordwest 0-1

Connah's Quay[15] v Rhyl[4]
Connah’s Quay have had a good run recently but are not in same class as Rhyl .
2005-12-17 Cardiff GQ - Connahs Quay 1-4
2005-12-09 Connahs Quay - Newi CD 1-0
2005-12-03 Aberystwyth - Connahs Quay 1-2
2005-11-25 Connahs Quay - Airbus UK 3-0
2005-11-19 Cwmbran - Connahs Quay 2-1

2005-12-17 Rhyl - Carmarthen 1-0
2005-12-10 Caersws - Rhyl 1-1
2005-12-04 Rhyl - Bangor City 4-1
2005-11-26 Port Talbot - Rhyl 1-0
2005-11-18 Rhyl - TNS 0-0

Port Talbot [2]v Llanelli [10]
Port Talbot’s success has surprise a lot of people Including P.T, themselves.
Llanelli have spent more than most but are lying mid-table which has also surprised a lot. Llanelli lowly position is due to their postponed matches and having won 2 matches recently against 5 of the top clubs in the league , so a match against 2nd placed P.T. will be a difficult task
2005-12-17 Caernarfon - Port Talbot 0-1
2005-12-10 Port Talbot - Newtown 3-2
2005-12-02 Haverfordwest - Port Talbot 1-3
2005-11-26 Port Talbot - Rhyl 1-0
2005-11-18 Port Talbot - Cardiff GQ 0-1

2005-12-17 Llanelli - TNS 0-2
2005-12-10 Welshpool - Llanelli 3-2
2005-11-19 Newtown - Llanelli 0-3
2005-11-12 Llanelli - Haverfordwest 0-1
2005-10-29 Rhyl - Llanelli 0-1


Welshpool Town[3] v T.N.S.[1]
Can Welshpool be the team that bring to an end to TNS unbeaten run.Very doubtful. TNS are streets ahead of any club in this league ,Tns have been playing below standard and stil winning which is a sign of a good side.

2005-12-17 Welshpool - Porthmadog 1-0
2005-12-10 Welshpool - Llanelli 3-2
2005-11-26 Welshpool - Newtown 1-2
2005-11-19 Haverfordwest - Welshpool 2-1
2005-11-12 Welshpool - Rhyl 3-1

2005-12-17 Llanelli - TNS 0-2
2005-12-10 TNS - Caernarfon 2-1
2005-12-03 Newtown - TNS 0-3
2005-11-18 Rhyl - TNS 0-0
2005-11-12 TNS - Cardiff GQ 7-0

[kompressaur]

excellent stuff as ever Traeth. I was just in for Grange Quinns info

[traeth]

Originally Posted by kompressaur

excellent stuff as ever Traeth. I was just in for Grange Quinns info

thanks ,nice to see you komp , had that Malaysian Syndicate bugger here two weeks ago - thought it was you as we don't get many posters

Don't know if bet365 will quote Grange Quins again , ,they might do if they get a draw tomorrow night

[kompressaur]

i mised him entirely Traeth. I hope you all booted him in his Syndicated cock. Im away to see my bank manager in the new year to see if i can start doing some money transfers with my account. That will be near a year ive had it and ive paid loads of things. He might go easy on me.

[traeth]

Good luck with your bank manager komp .
Cannot get excited about these fixtures -the local derby factor putting me off
There are two matches that stand out for me

Connah's Quay v Rhyl @ 2.00 (7/10)

Welshpool Town v T.N.S. @ 1.57 (8/10)

Two away wins , note TNS price is down from 1.80 to 1.57.

I think the other matches could go either way , so draws are worth considering.

The price on Caernarfon is high so I will be having a small stake bet on them

Bangor City v Caernarfon @ 5.50 (1/10)

Bangor with a caretaker manager at the moment,so their 1-0 win last week has given them confidence.Bangor need to win these back to back derby matches against Caernarfon as in their upcoming matches they will be facing Llanelli and top 3 of Welshpool , TNS and surprise team Port Talbot.
Caernarfon problem has been their inability to score more than 1 goal , they have lost a lot of games by 1 goal.They have games in hand over most clubs in the league.
I have a soft spot for Caernarfon and believe that this could be their first away win of the season.

[kompressaur]

cheers Treath and good luck mate. All the best for the festive season etc. your a star traeth.

[traeth]

Originally Posted by kompressaur

cheers Treath and good luck mate. All the best for the festive season etc. your a star traeth.

Thanks komp all the best to you as well mate

Nothing new to add really , I will be analysing the match reports from today's matches to see if there will be anything for the return matches next week.

The news in the local paper is about who is fit ,news that got to be dated .Rhyl's manager has selection problems -all his strikers are fit and he has to decide which ones to select and skipper Edwards is available after a long injury.There are more players for various teams absent but they are not worth listing IMO.

I am sticking with my previous selections of away wins for
RHYL , TNS and a hopeful bet on Caernarfon now 6.0 with bet365.

My other bet is just an interest [ desperation- cannot decide]
All draws X trebles , four fold and five fold - 16 bets ,need 3 correct to to be in profit

Aberystwyth v Porthmadog Draw @3.25
Airbus UK v Newi Cefn Druids Draw @3.40
Caersws v Newtown Draw @ 3.20
Carmarthen v Haverfordwest Draw @3.40
Port Talbot v Llanelli Draw @3.40 .

For those reading this thread- There plenty of football today so I am sure you can select from the other matches .

All the best have a good Boxing Day

[kompressaur]

LOW: HT Welshpool Town 0-1 T.N.S. LOW: HT Bangor City 0-0 Caernarfon
LOW: HT Caersws 0-1 Newtown
LOW: HT Carmarthen 0-2 Haverfordwest
LOW: HT Connah's Quay 0-1 Rhyl

[traeth]

Originally Posted by kompressaur

LOW: HT Welshpool Town 0-1 T.N.S. LOW: HT Bangor City 0-0 Caernarfon
LOW: HT Caersws 0-1 Newtown
LOW: HT Carmarthen 0-2 Haverfordwest
LOW: HT Connah's Quay 0-1 Rhyl

Rhyl and TNS looking good , Caernarfon can come good .
The draws look improbable should have been no bet but was having withdrawals after so many days without a bet

[traeth]

There are two matches that stand out for me

Connah's Quay v Rhyl @ 2.00 (7/10)

Welshpool Town v T.N.S. @ 1.57 (8/10)
Two away wins , note TNS price is down from 1.80 to 1.57.

I think the other matches could go either way , so draws are worth considering.

The price on Caernarfon is high so I will be having a small stake bet on them

Bangor City v Caernarfon @ 5.50 (1/10)

I'm happy with these returns

Results from BBC

FT Welshpool Town 1-2 T.N.S.
FT Airbus UK 3-2 Newi Cefn Druids
FT Aberystwyth 4-1 Porthmadog
FT Port Talbot 0-1 Llanelli
FT Carmarthen 2-3 Haverfordwest
FT Connah's Quay 0-1 Rhyl
FT Caersws 2-1 Newtown
FT Bangor City 1-0 Caernarfon


my draws prediction should have been a no bet

EDIT midweek match to consider between the two clubs in financial problems [ the crowd can chant "I've bigger problem than you"
28 Dec-19:30 Grange Quins v Cwmbran 5.00 3.25 1.61 bet365