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Old 25-10-2005, 08:46
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Re: Scot's Premier - 25th/26th Oct

Hibs price is falling as crowie saying thats why I've taken the price at 2.00 with paddy's 3pts for me or in the bettingadvice system 5pts
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Old 25-10-2005, 12:18
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Re: Scot's Premier - 25th/26th Oct



A combination of card problems and internet problems meant I couldn't get the 2.10 on Hibs, but 2.00 will do just fine. As has been said they should be odds on.

3pts Hibs @ 2.00 with Paddy Power
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Old 25-10-2005, 13:40
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Re: Scot's Premier - 25th/26th Oct

I heard Hibs were even all over Killie first half Crowie and should never have been 2 down. I think i'll join you all in hibs. Was gonna take aberdeen but that could just be daft.
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Old 26-10-2005, 10:12
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Re: Scot's Premier - 25th/26th Oct

Mostly just taken from last weeks previews with a little update, as not much has changed.

Dunfermline v Hibs

I've kept stakes a little smaller than if this had been a Saturday match, but nevertheless the evens and better on offer was a little too good to pass up on.

Dunfermline

Rooted in 11th place and looking nervously over their shoulder at Livingston, the Pars are in danger of becoming detatched with the West Lothian side at the bottom.

The 1-0 loss to Falkirk was a bitter blow, not least as Falkirk offered little during the game, were reduced to 10 men, and relied heavily on a superb performance by keeper Matt Glennon. Nevertheless, a defeat is a defeat, and it leaves them with just 5 points so far this season.

At home Dunfermline have scored just 2 goals, both against Dundee United, while failing to register in their 4 other matches, and those weren't against the highest quality opposition either.

The opening day encounter with Hibs saw the home side reduced to ten men yet still come back to level the game, and were unlucky not to then go on and take all three points.

Their problems appear to stem from both a lack of firepower, and too many mistakes at the back. Burchill hasn't performed as Leishman would have hoped, while Taratchulski, Young and Hunt aren't about to score 20 goals in a season. At the back, defenders like Scott Thompson tend to be prone to individual errors or simply being caught out by pace on long balls over the top, and Hearts will look to take advantage tomorrow.

On Saturday, they didn't play too badly, but nor did they play too well. In order to win games against the big sides, like Livingston they will need to find some sort of creative spark somewhere in the team, and hope the defence has a decent day. Even though they can hope for the latter tonight, I doubt they will find the former in order to take anything from an electric Hibs side.

Hibs

This last fortnight has shown Hibs at their very best. Last week coming from 2:0 down to beat Kilmarnock 4:2, and on Saturday turning in a very solid defensive performance to take all three points from a tricky tie at Pittodrie.

The Killie game was typical of their attacking brand of football which they have been playing since Mowbray took over at Easter Road, and with Sproule, O Connor and particularly Riordan all in great form at the moment, now is the time when Hibs can really compete with the best in the league.

And against Aberdeen they restricted the Dons to just a handful of efforts from the edge of the box, and while the goal relied on a terrible defensive blunder from Zander Diamond, Hibs were the better side on the day.

Away from home this season they have been just as good as at Easter Road. Barring the 4:0 loss to Hearts, and the win in Aberdeen, they have beaten Motherwell, Rangers and Falkirk all by atleast 2 goals, and deserved every one of those results.

It is likely that Mowbray will employ a 4-5-1 tonight, but that isn't to say Hibs will approach the game defensively. I don't see how Mowbray can leave out Sproule or Riordan after two good performances on Saturday, which might just lend itself to Sproule down the right, and Riordan down the left, and both will provide a lot of support for O Connor in the middle. So while slightly cautious and geared towards keeping a clean sheet, I don't think its possible for any system to stifle Hibs attacking tendencies, and I'm not convinced its possible for Dunfermline to do so either.

3pts Hibs @ 2.00 with Paddy Power

(Paddy Power go 1.83 now )
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Old 26-10-2005, 10:26
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Re: Scot's Premier - 25th/26th Oct

Here is my thoughts on the Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd

First 25 minutes not much really between the sides although i didn't think Aberdeen played all that well to start off with and then we started to play some really nice football - score in the 36 minute and for that 9 minutes we was all over them playing some really good football and scored a 2nd and could have scored more. The 2nd half we sat back and let them come at us but they was terrible really terrible and we could have won by more but the 2nd half was very poor imho but so easy for us. So a nice 20 minute spell for me and that was that but Dundee Utd look a poor side to me and it wouldn't surprise me if they struggle in the league this season. They do have decent players Samuel looked good when he came on and why is Miller on the bench for them. Just think the manager Chisholm isn't the right man to take Dundee Utd forward - bottom six for them i think.
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Old 26-10-2005, 10:34
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Re: Scot's Premier - 25th/26th Oct

It was a strange matchup really. Looking at Aberdeen from Saturday where they look quite poor, and United who were all over Falkirk and really should have scored more than 3, you could be forgiven for thinking that it was a decent price on DU.

But both yourself and Para (and it was a thought that occured to me when first looking at the card) said that 'for some reason' you can't see Aberdeen losing that one.

Its back to the old thing about gut feelings. I know its not saying much to favour the 1X in that game, but it was certainly one of those that for whatever reason nearly everyone I spoke to or read the thoughts of 'just couldn't see Aberdeen losing', despite the stats and form pointing perhaps a little more to value on the away.

A good win anyway

As you say, United will struggle - mostly as a result of their inconsistency. They had so many chances v Falkirk, yet sound absolutely toothless in the reports Ive read and your overview. Not in trouble of relegation, but like you say a bottom six place beckons, and Mr Thompson won't be happy.

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Old 26-10-2005, 14:24
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Re: Scot's Premier - 25th/26th Oct

Does anyone like the look of ICT versus Falkirk. There is talk about a poor home run but they have won in the cup against Dundee United. I just think that this price is a bit daft as they seem to do OK at home midweek in tonight? ICT can be backed at 2.04 on Betfair. Not bad for a team that came back from being goal down to Livi and Inverness. I mean Falkirk wont enjoy the drive up the A9! They drw with Livi and Aberdeen from being 1 down too recently

Need to look at team news. I know Falkirk have a decent record up here from the old division 1 days though
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Old 26-10-2005, 14:49
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Re: Scot's Premier - 25th/26th Oct

i think ICT's home form is enough to put me off Mr C. Hows them new dutch players playing at Falkirk btw?
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Old 26-10-2005, 18:07
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Re: Scot's Premier - 25th/26th Oct

I've taken Hibs but ive got this huge big cloud of dread over it. My brain says aye but my doubting bone is tingling.

Good luck to Hibs and to Killie tonight. I was offered a chance to go and i near did. I will someday.
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Old 26-10-2005, 18:24
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Re: Scot's Premier - 25th/26th Oct

on Hibs as well here with a slight saver to return half my stake in event of draw
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Old 26-10-2005, 20:45
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Re: Scot's Premier - 25th/26th Oct

Celtic versus Motherwell 5-0! Celtics are excellent.Hearts won again,they´re the once team without a defeat this season. 1-0 versus Kilmarnock,..tight but 3 points are 3 points

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I've taken Hibs but
Congratulations at the Hibs punters, they won 1-2!
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Old 27-10-2005, 13:40
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Re: Scot's Premier - 25th/26th Oct

Hibs are the punters friend at the mo Overpriced for all their recent matches, and coming home at 2.00, 3.00, and 2.10 in their last three games.

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3pts Hibs @ 2.00 with Paddy Power
Overall this season:

158.38pts staked / 225.56pts returned

ROI: 142%
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