Aberdeen vs ICT
Last 8 games: Aber - 4-1-3 DLWLWWLW ::: ICT - 2-2-4 WLWDLLLD
Last 5 Homes/Aways: 4-0-1 (F 9,A 2) ::: 0-1-4 (F 2, A 11)
Last 6 h2h: ICT 1-1 A,
A 1-1 ICT, ICT 0-1 A,
A 0-0 ICT, ICT 1-1 A,ICT 0-1 A
Team news :
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/foot...em/6254259.stm
Aberdeen coming off a good battling Scottish cup draw with Hibs at home, unlucky not to escape with the win though. Stats are good for the last 5 games at home with 4-0-1 and maintaining their reputation as having a mean defence this season with a for/ag. of 9/2.
ICT on the other hand have been a bit below average over the last 8 games, but especially away, 0-1-4 overall and finding goals hard to come by. The defence has been pretty poor on the road as well, but maybe their 6-1 Scottish cup win over Stirling can inspire them on to better play.
Interestingly, h2hs show that all of the last 6 meetings have been Unders, which is around 2.00+ just now, and the last 2 games at Pittodrie have actually ended in a draw. ICT will need to play well, especially in defence, if they want something out the game, but IMO, they may only escape with a point, if anything.
Prediction : Aberdeen win, medium chance of ICT getting a draw.
Bets: 2 pts @ 2.00 on Unders
Falkirk vs Dunfermline
Last 8 games: Fal - 4-0-4 WWLLWLWL ::: Dunf - 0-2-6
Last 5 Homes/Aways: 4-1-0 (F 12,A 4) ::: 0-2-3 (F 2, A 11)
Last 6 h2h: D 0-3 F,
F 1-0 D,
F 0-0 D, D 1-1 F,
F 1-2 D, D 0-1 F
Team news:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/foot...em/6254263.stm
Falkirk coming off a 2-0 away win at Berwick in the cup and looking to continue their superb home form of 4-1-0. Playing some good football and outscoring opposition teams 3/1 in their last 5 has rightly seen manager John Hughes pick up the Manager of the Month award, with Darren Barr making it a double and getting the Young Player award.
Dunfermline face a make or break game tomorrow to try and save their SPL status, being bottom of the league by a massive 9 point gap. The win over a poor Rangers team should give them confidence but with no wins in the last 5 aways and only 2 goals for, 11 against, its going to take a lot of fight to get something out of the game, although a draw is not an unlikely outcome.
Form appears to have this down as a Falkirk win and I can't really argue with that. Falkirk don't do draws and are a formidable team at home. In terms of Overs/Unders, past games seem to be quite tight as well, so no bet there
Prediction: Falkirk win.
Bets: Falkirk win - 3 pts @ 1.72
Rangers vs Dundee Utd
Last 8 games: Ran - 4-2-2 WDLWDWLW ::: Dun U - 4-1-3 LWDLWWLW
Last 5 Homes/Aways: 3-2-0 (F 10,A 2) ::: 1-1-3 (F 8, A 13)
Last 6 h2h: D 2-1 R,
R 2-2 D, D 1-4 R,
R 3-0 D, D 0-0 R,
R 0-1 D
Team news:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/foot...em/6254269.stm
This has got everything. Rangers with a new management team, but he same old dodgy players. Dundee Utd somewhat of a bogey team and starting to find their feet in the league, pitch inspections, fan reactions etc
Rangers coming from a shock loss to SPL bottom team Dunfermline in a cup game that saw them 3 down after 46 mins, and then lose 3-2 overall. Rangers home form seems to look decent but it is the same team that cost Le Guen his job, so as ever this season anything could happen here.
Dundee Utd starting to play better away from home and have eventually got that first away victory in ages. Scoring well away now too, but the for/ag. shows that they still need to tighten up at the back. They went 2-0 up in the first game at Ibrox only to be pegged back to 2-2 in the last 20 mins of that game.
Interestingly, the previous 6 games have a record of 4/2 for Overs/Unders but those 4 Overs have been in the last 4 games, so if form continues, it may be a good bet @ 1.90. Furthermore, the last 3 games at Ibrox are 1-1-1 so United could easily get some or all the points tomorrow depending on the Gers team that turn up.
Ladbrokes are offering 2.66 on the United Double Chance, so that may represent some value.
Prediction: Could go all 3 ways. No bet on the winner.
Bets: None for me, but feel free consider the Overs and the Double chance for United.
St Mirren vs Motherwell
Last 8 games: StM - 1-4-3 LDWLDDDL ::: Well - 4-1-3 LDWWLLWW
Last 5 Homes/Aways: 1-3-1 (F 5,A 6) ::: 3-0-2 (F 7, A 7)
Last 6 h2h: Only 2 fixtures ; M 0-0 St, St 2-0 M
Team news:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/foot...em/6254279.stm
St Mirren really starting to feel whats needed to stay in the SPL. Struggling for wins in the last 8 games and average stats at home shown above, they still need to battle hard to get the points to keep them well above a poor Dunfermline team.
Motherwell picking up some good form over recent weeks and their 3-0-2 away record is pretty good. That includes being the first team outside of Rangers and Celtic to beat Kilmarnock at home in 15/16 months, so confidence is pretty good.
The h2h doesn't reveal much because St Mirren only got promoted this season, and the Overs/Unders probably won't be touched by myself. Also hard to predict a winner as although Motherwell are in better form, St Mirren are a bit of a bogey team for them, having drawn and won this season and having won in Cup games over Motherwell last season.
Prediction: Favouring a draw although all 3 results could happen.
Bets: No bets
Hearts vs Celtic (Sunday)
Last 8 games: Hearts - 4-3-1 WDWWLWDD ::: Cel - 4-4-0 WDDWDWWD
Last 5 Homes/Aways: 2-1-2 (F 7,A 7) ::: 2-3-0 (F 9, A 6)
Last 6 h2h: C 2-1 H,
H 2-1 C, H 3-0 C,
C 1-0 H, H 2-3 C,
C 1-1 H
Team news:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/foot...em/6254281.stm
Hearts in good form over the last 8 games and looking to continue that form after last weekends victory in the Scottish cup against Stranraer. Average form of 2-1-2 and scoring and conceding over a goal a game at home. As always though, it will depend on the team news prior to KO to make a really informed bet.
Celtic undefeated in at least the last 8, but picked up a couple of unexpected draws over the Xmas games, most noticeably Dundee Utd at Parkhead going 2-0 up before Celtic pulled it back and could have won it.
Games between the 2 are 4/2 for Overs/Unders and the previous 2 games this season have been close 2-1 wins for the home teams. Interestingly, if you go back over the last 4 games, the home team has won each time, so a bet on Hearts @ 3.50 may not be as bad as first thought, since most people will probably be enticed more by the fact that Celtic for once are Evens or above for a game, but Hearts won't make it easy for them.
Predictions: Close to call, but part of me fancies Hearts to keep the trend of the home win going.
Bets: Hearts 1pt @ 3.50
Kilmarnock vs Hibs (Monday)
Last 8 games: Killie - 2-2-4 LDLLWDWL ::: Hibs - 3-2-3 DWLWLLWD
Last 5 Homes/Aways: 2-2-1 (F 9, A 5) ::: 1-0-4 (F 10, A 11)
Last 6 h2h: H 2-2 K,
K 2-1 H,
K 3-1 H, H 2-1 K,
K 2-2 H, H 4-2 K
Team news:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/foot...em/6254283.stm
Killie with below average form overall in the last 8 games, but still a good home record, with only that loss to Motherwell previously mentioned, being the blot on the form. Outscoring team 2/1 at Rugby Park and still a tidy outfit when playing their football.
Surprisingly for the team in the SPL with the reputation for playing some of the best football, they have been rotten away from home recently, as shown by stats of 1-0-4. They are still a team that can score anywhere but manager Collins still hasn't sorted out their defensive problems, shown by a 10/11 for/ag. record.
WIth Killie averaging 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, whilst Hibs score and concede approx. 2 goals a game, its no surprise that the most interesting fact is the last 6 h2h games have all been Overs. In terms of the games in Kilmarnock (3 of last 6), Kilmarnock have won 2 and drew 1, so they will be looking to continue this fine form.
Prediction: Fancy Kilmarnock to win and keep their fine home form this season.
Bets: 2pts on Overs (no price yet), 2pts on Kilmarnock home win @ 2.50.
Thats all folks.
