4th Eviction

[trickrick]

Hmmmmm....

I agree with the general consensus that Bex appears to be nailed on for eviction..However there is something at the back of my mind that tells me that it cannot be as straight forward as it has been...

[mrmuzeman]

Ive done my nom predictions and I have

Rebecca 100% up
Rex like 99% up

It really should be just the 2 of them. There is an extremely small chance that Mo or Mario could join them.

So on that basis it really is goodbye Rebecca

(and im presuming 3 new housemates cant vote or be voted)

[mrmuzeman]

I cant see Mo, Rex, Rachel, Kathreya and Lisa not nominating her. With 5 votes thats definitely enough to be up.

Shes a bit over 10/11 on betfair. Its a near certainty she goes if its a normal eviction. In a way the bet is sort of like betting on 'what are the odds of big brother fcuking about with the eviction process'. Its bloody hard to know what the chances of that are though unfortunately. But tbh they dont mess about with it that much so 10/11 looks great really. Dont wana get egg on my face backing odds on though, at anything odds against its a surefire wager

[stereoman]

Odds on Betfair as of 6:30am:

[Beanie]

As long as nominations are as normal this week, then I'm 100% agreed Muze and Trick...Bex is up.

Not gonna go through them all...but Belinda bitching with Mario and Lisa about her on tonights show seals it for me...nominations will be scattered this week which means the concentration for Bex which is near enough guaranteed will almost 100% be enough to get her up.

Elsewhere, Luke, Rex obv(altho some might avoid after him ousting Jen) and maybe even Kat should see a few coming their way this week.

Anyhoo, I'll carry on with whats made money this year and assume there are no twists...

4pts Bex @ 1.92

[stereoman]

Hmmm. Some folks on Digital Spy suspect there may be a twist with this week's nominations and possibly something to do with the newbies Belinda, Maysoon and Sara. Hope it's just mere speculation but y'never can put anything past those idiots at Channel 4 and Endemol.

Odds on Betfair as of 10:30pm:

[stereoman]

Odds on Totesport as of 11am:

[mrmuzeman]

Shame its 4/7, I was hoping theyd open with a tastier price. For the record I didnt have any cash on Rebecca in the end. I was gona back at 5/6 or better late last night (was too busy watching the Tennis beforehand to think about it) but couldnt quite get that price on betfair so opted out. I like your 10/11 Beanie

[Beanie]

Yeah I wasn't planning on looking into it seriously this week, happened to flip open the laptop during the tennis and there wasnt much liquidity bar a chunk at 1.92, so just took that and was done with it...after that there really wasnt much money in the market at all. Prices today look a bit skinny as you say.

Just a question of whether they put in a twist today or not, and there are still some twists which should be ok(all up for eviction etc) to get Bex out.

[stereoman]

Mario moves into 4/1 from 9/1! WHAT!?

The newbies Belinda, Maysoon and Sara are apparently immune from eviction this week.

Odds on Totesport as of 1pm:

[mrmuzeman]

Looks like a decent Mario based gamble is going on then as hes now into 3/1. Quite interesting.

As a result its pushed Rebeccas price out to Evens, so Ill take a piece of that now.

Last Monday there was a fair bit of money at Totesport for Rebecca and she came into favourite and she didnt end up being up for eviction, so this Mario gamble doesnt mean anyone is 'in the know' so to speak.

[mrmuzeman]

Luke 9/2 now.

I cant see Mo, Rex, Rachel, Kathreya and Lisa not nominating her. With 5 votes thats definitely enough to be up.

I dont understand the money for Mario/Luke at all unless a couple of the above have been banned from nominating or something.

[stereoman]

Weird innit? All change inside fifty minutes.

Rebecca 'evens', Mario 3/1, Luke 9/2, Mohamed/Rex 11/2, Michael 22/1 and 28/1 bar.

Having a quick glance over on the Digital Spy forums and someone has mentioned that apparently they've been given instructions this morning which were different to last week's.

Double eviction? If that's the case then Rebecca probably won't be the one evicted first as she'll probably be the second one evicted on Friday night and for Betfair purposes anyone who bet on Rebecca would probably be onto a loser.

Wouldn't it be greatif only 3 Newbies to nominate only! - Page 2 - Big Brother - Digital Spy Forums

[mrmuzeman]

Originally Posted by stereoman

Double eviction? If that's the case then Rebecca probably won't be the one evicted first as she'll probably be the second one evicted on Friday night and for Betfair purposes anyone who bet on Rebecca would probably be onto a loser.

What are the rules for the betfair 4th evictee market then?

I know the ToteSport market is for 'next PUBLIC eviction' (it actually stipulates 'public' in capitals). I guess public just means one that the viewers get to vote for?

[trickrick]

So its Bex vs Mario...

Hmmm..Maybe not convinced it's as cut and dried as first mpression.. Mario aint particularly liked and there's only so much of him and his conversations with Lisa that you can cope with.. Bex is an annoying bitch but she hasnt imploded for a while.. Also no man gone yet?

Could this be the time that Mario goes? Any price above - say - 2/1 has got to be worth it?