The Weather & Under 2.5

[kompressaur]

Was there a lot more games finishing under 2.5 goals yesterday than on a usual fair weathered day? When its cold and wet it always makes things a bit more tentaive on the feet to me it seemed from my playing days and you dont get stuck in so much and moves just dont pay off etc.

I'll check up the results in England and Scotland yesterday before i go on.

[kompressaur]

sorry just forget i spoke. there seems to be more over 2.5 games. Over 3.5 too. Infact there is nothing conclusive about the weather effect at all from what i can see

[Hippy Dave]

Yeah, I noticed that there were a large number of over 2.5 games. I'm not sure about the weather in the rest of the country, but in London it was horrendous and, IMO, the bad weather conditions are harder for defenders to play in than strikers. Let's have a look at games played in London and the surrounding areas yesterday

Charlton 2 Reading 1
Chelsea 2 Fulham 2
Tottenham 0 Liverpool 1
(Watford 1 Wigan 1 ABANDONED)
West Ham 0 Man City 1
Brentford 2 Chesterfield 1
Gillingham 0 Oldham 3
Barnet 2 Bury 1
Gravesend 1 Crawley 0
St Albans 2 Stevenage 3
Dagenham 0 Grays 0

In fact, 6 overs 4 unders, doesn't prove anything

[cains]

No doenst prove anything.. have found some stats.. Maybe they can help, or maybe just still make it all a mystery..

Prem League Tendency = 91 out of 209 gone over this year. = 43.54%
Championship = 151 out of 312 over = 48,39%
League1 = 140 of 298 over = 46.97%
League2 = 132 of 298 oveer = 44.29%
conf = 143 of 285 over = 50,17%

Conclusion = More overs in those london games, than the average for the league, especially if you take away the 3unders from prem league...

Charlton 5from11 over = 45.45% Reading 6from 11over 54.54%
Chelsea 6from11 over = 54.54% Fulham 7from11 over 63.63%
Tottenham 6from11 over =54.54% Liverpool 4from11 over =36.36%
(Watford 3from 10 over = 30% Wigan 5from11 45.45%
West Ham 3from11 over =27.27% Man City 5from11 over =45.45%
Brentford 8from13 over =61.53% Chesterfield 8from13 61.53%
Gillingham 7from13 = 53.84% Oldham 7from13 53.84%
Barnet 8from13 =61.53% Bury 6from13 46.15%
Gravesend 5from13 =38.46% Crawley 6from12 50%
St Albans 7from12 =58.33% Stevenage 9from12 75%
Dagenham 8from13 61.53% Grays 6from12 50%

But as we can see from the stats the london teams at home, they have many over games on normal days as well.. (except if it always is shit wether in london)


Didnt know if i helped anything, or just made it worse..

[kompressaur]

Cheers chaps. I think i'll just give up thinking about the effects of the weather. What about the effect of the wind on ht/ft results on open airy stadiums?