[Doc]

even more to the point if he doesn't.
80% of the time he'll fold and you get 3.5BB for your trouble
20% of the time he'll call you - of those you'll win 92.5BB about 6% and he'll win your 92 about 14%

so
0.8*3.5+0.06*92.5-0.14*92=-4.53BB

i.e. you can expect, on average, to lose 4.5 Big Blinds every time you make this move.

Top poker that.