Originally Posted by DSQUAREDLOL
21.08.2010, 13:00h | FC Ingolstadt 04 - FC Augsburg
Little Derby in Ingolstadt .. I think it is the most obvious bet this weekend. Stakes are "only" 5/10 because it is the season start, I did not seen Ingolstadt so often and some Ingolstadt players are out. Moreover it is my goal to be more careful with stakes this year. But apart from that I can not imagine that Augsburg will take 3 points from Ingolstadt. First of all, it is a derby game and it is the first game in Ingolstadt news stadium. But it won't be a classic derby game because both teams have not so many fans but the ~8000 Ingolstadt fans will support their team.
Now let's look detail in Ingolstadts team. I have seen Ingolstadt in the playoffs against Rostock and they impressed me with their good defense. But they have a strong offensive also, they are the team with the most goals in 3. Liga last year. Ingolstadts goalkeeper is one of the best ones from the whole league. He even has Champions League experience with HSV and he is just a great goalkeeper, Sascha Kirschstein. Thats a big advantage. Their defenders are good, too. Pisot and Ruprecht were very solid in the "DFB Pokal" when Ingolstadt won 2:0 against Karlsruhe, their right defender Görlitz is new and maybe a few people still know him from his time with Bayern München. Malte Metzelder (brother from Schalke defender) is good, too and he plays backup. But in addition to the defense, I liked their offensive also in the DFB Pokal against Karlsruhe. Futacs is new from Werder Bremen and he is a young and talented player, Hartmann was great scorer last year. Both are strong.
However Ingolstadt has some injuries. The defenders Igwe, Gercaliu and Manuel Hartmann are injured but the three are new players and they were not part of the team so far. Furthermore attacker Gerber is out, too, but Futacs is a good substitute for him. The last injured player is their captain Leitl. I hope they can compensate this missing because he is their leader but I am sure they can because Görlitz, etc. are experienced, too.
So just a few words about their game versus Karlsruhe in the DFB Pokal. Ingolstadt won 2:0 and fully deserved. While defending very sovereign, they attacked and created good opportunities. A strong performance.
Now let's have a view into Augsburg. Augsburg is the most overrated team in the 2. Bundesliga. They were 3rd place last year but just due to their luck in their away matches. In the playoffs they played poor and lost derserved against Nurnberg. I think their players are too old and not technical skilled enough. Their weak point is their defense. Many very, very important defense regulars are out for them (De Roeck, Reinhardt, Vergaeh, Sinkiewicz). Their defense tommorow is not well attuned. Their defense is made up of Möhrle (too old, too slow) and their new defender from Holland, Gibril Sankoh, who made a bad impression to me so far. You could see how poor their defense is when they received 4 goal against versus an average 3. Liga team (SV Sandhausen) in the "DFB Pokal". Result was 4:4 and Augsburg won in the penalty shootout but quiet underserved.
In the offensive their best counter striker Traore is supsended (he is very good, VfB Stuttgart want to buy him). Otherwise they have Michael Thurk who scored 23 times last year but he is too old and he won't be able to repeat it, I am pretty sure.
So let's resume. Ingolstadt is a promoted team with a strong defense and the first game in their new stadium, Augsburg is traditional poor away and Augsburgs missings are graver. I can't figure that Augsburg would win.
Pick: FC Ingolstadt (+0,25) @1,88 (Pinnacle) , 5/10
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