3.50 Munich - 10f Group 1 - 3yo+ Soft going
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This race is live on ATR so i've had a look and here's what i found -
The 2000 - 2004 runnings were won by horses who had won at no better than Group 2 but since then the 5 winners have won at Group 1 level .
As is usual in this class of race it pays to consider those in the top half of the betting
Four 3yo's have won since 2000 and thats not a bad record as they have provided only about 25% of the runners .
Concentrating on those last 5 runnings , all 5 had ran that season and
4 had won LTO , the other was unp in a G1 at Royal Ascot on it's seasonal debut whereas the others had already ran between 2-3 times that season.
UK trained runners have won
5/10 but neither have won above G3 and LADY JANE DIGBY has a doubt about handling the going .
WHITE LIGHTENING ,
Noble ALPHA , NORDERNEY and SCOLARI are the outsiders and have never won a G1 .
In fact there are only 2 runners who have won at the top grade and they are NIGHT MAGIC and QUERARI .
NIGHT MAGIC is a Filly who have not won this in the past 10 years but to be fair have not had too many runners either , but it's hard to look past QUERARI who will love the Soft ground [ his G1 win LTO was on Heavy and he has another soft ground win to his name .
Stake 10pts @ 5/2 [
Stan James]