[jtw1]

3.10 Newmarket - Group 1 Falmouth Stakes - 8f - 3y-old+
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Age - 3yold's have won 9/14 , in fact they have won 23/31 , but since the race was upgraded in 2004 to Group 1 status there has been a 50/50 split between the 3yo's and their elders.
No horse aged over 5 won in the past 30 runnings [none this year]

Odds - 13/14 were returned at 10/1 or UNDER.

Ratings - Since the race was upgraded to Grp 1 status 5/6 were rated 111+

Ran LTO - 13/14 ran at either Royal Ascot or France .

The last 6 [ as a Grp 1 ] ran in a Group 1 race of which 2 each ran in the Coronation Stakes and Windsor Castle , one ran in the Queen Anne and the one that did not run at the Royal meeting had last turned out in the OAKS.

Distance wins - 12/14 were winners over 8f.

Placed LTO - 12/14 finished in the first 6 .

4/6 had won a G1 , one had won at G2 grade while the 50/1 winner RAJEEM had only a Listed win to her name in 2006.
That was run over 4 secs slower than standard , where she made all and stole the race , SOVIET SONG was the one the rest were worried about but she flopped that day and the rest were caught out by the winner.


Basically we're looking for a G1 [G2 at a push] winner who ran at the Royal Meeting lto and is a proven Miler.

ANTARA [btn 3l at level weight lto by STRAWBERRYDAIQUIRI] won G3.
LAHALEEB -Won 4/5 over 7f and once over 10f.
GILE NA GREINE - Btn by both LILY LANGTRY and SPECIAL DUTY at level weight in G1's
MUSIC SHOW - Same as GILE NA GREINE.
RAINFALL - Only won a G3.

SPACIOUS has won a couple of G2's and is consistent but her record at Newmarket , while in decent company , leaves a lot to be desired - 2,4,4,3,3,3.

STRAWBERRYDAIQUIRI is progressing quite nicely having taken the WINDSOR CASTLE at Royal Ascot lto [ in front of SPACIOUS] but she is taking on a couple of G1 horses here and she would need to improve further to troble them.

Those 2 are LILY LANGTRY who won the G1 Coronation Stakes quite comfortably lto and the dual Guineas winner SPECIAL DUTY who has no less than 3 G1's to her name.

SPECIAL DUTY did not appear at Royal Ascot lto as her 2 Guineas wins probably took a fair bit out of her imo , so the break should have done here well.
The fact that she has won 3 x G1's and a G2 from 7 outings [ground was too soft on her seasonal re-appearance ] and she was only btn a sh-hd in another G1 as a 2yo over 6f , shows she is a high class Filly and the one to beat imo.
C Head won this race in '96

LILY LANGTRY still has to improve a bit imo .

Stake 10pts @ 7/2