Hi All,
I agree with you about this being a poor race. Not looking forward to it that much and will probably be flicking between the GP and the cricket. Like your write up, and although my general opinion is not in line I could see this GP go either way.
I am not sure McLaren are quite dominating yet, and this circuit will not help them too much, and looking at the practice times they have not quite got there today, but that is easy to say now we have seen the times. The only thing that could help them is the unreliablity of the Reb Bulls. The Red Bulls are still the quickest in my opinion, so Vettel to be on pole could be a good bet, although that has come right in now. I am worried about the gearbox that wrecked Vettels race last time out, and it has not been replaced, as you would get a 5 grid penalty, so I will not be backing him for the win.
I think Alonso will be quick too, the updates on the car have worked well. I would go for Alonso to win the race, but the 3.75 is not that tempting either. Hamilton has gone out to 6.5 which is now maybe too long, he was 3.75 before practice, but overtaking is difficult so the pole sitter will have a big advantage and his practice times were poor, but you cant rely on these too much. So in summary, I think the bookies have it pretty spot on with the front runners and it may be best to see how qualifying pans out.
I think Massa could be a threat, and with the odds of over 20/1 at
betfair, must be worth a punt. He won this race 2 seasons ago. Podium at 3/1 also looks ok. He is also 20/1 for pole which could be a good each way bet.
I am a big fan of Kubica, and I think the 25/1 ew bet is cracking, missed out there, but great value.
Should be an interesting hour.
I also dont know if the safety car will come out, even though the track is a street track, it has long run offs, so less chance of clipping the wall like in Canada. I am pretty sure that last year there were only a handful of retirements. Has a safety car been deployed in this GP?