Thread: Trends
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Old 25-04-2010, 12:25
jtw1 jtw1 jest offline
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Re: Trends

PACO BOY 1st @ 11/10f

CROWDED HOUSE 4th @ 9/4 jtFav

ALYARF unp
, this one's fate was foretold in the betting market , slight odds-on on Friday night with Betfair , he opened at 6/4 and drifted right out to 11/4



5.05 BATH - 5f11yds - Listed - 3yo+
-----------------------------------

11/11
were rated 88+
10/11 were returned at 12/1 or Under
6/11 had won at LISTED level , 4 other had ran at Listed grade and been btn under 4l or less .
7/11 were 4 or 5 yolds , 3 were three y-olds .
7/11
ran at Listed/Group class LTO .

ANGUS NEWZ , IRREPRESIBLE , RAMAMARA are all rated below the preferred 88+.
ATLANTIC CYCLE has only ran 4 times , none of which were Listed or better , is around 18/1 .
Big improvemet needed but i doubt it's good enough.

GILT EDGE GIRL has never won above Cl 3 grade and that was on the AW , best win on the turf was a Cl 5 , also the yard has been toiling to get a winner in the past fortnight .

GOLDEN DESTINY has only won at Cl 3 level and 3 of his 5 wins have been over 6f , the other 2 were at Sandown [ stiff 5f i believe ]
On the plus side he loves the Firm going but P MAKIN has had only 6 [1 win] runners in 2010 , none in the past 14 days so it's hard to gauge how well his inmates are .
Has taken 3/4 runs in the past to come to winning form and i fear this 5f could be a bit sharp for him.

TOMINTOUL SINGER has ran only 4 times , winning a Cl 5 over 5f , but LTO was btn under 2l in a 6f Listed race at Newmarket .
That Folkestone win was run nearly 1 sec faster than standard [ G/F ]
CECIL has been finding the winners enclosure and he does not have many runner at Bath.

With only 8 runners i doubt the draw will not make too much of a difference .
I am going for TOMINTOUL SINGER to make a winning seasonal debut from ANGLEZARKE , the weight allowance is in his favour and he should appreciate the Firm going better than most .


ANGLEZARKE has not won above Cl2 grade but has been placed in Listed , G2 and G1 class .
All 3 career wins have been over 5f , once on G/F.
Has won both times on his seasonal debut and the stable is in good form .
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