Thread: Trends
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Old 14-04-2010, 22:06
jtw1 jtw1 jest offline
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Re: Trends

SANS FRONTIERE is around the 4/1 mark so for tomorrow .

SATURDAY - NEWBURY - 2.0 - 12f - Group 3 [formerly the John Porter Stks]
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13/14 had been placed in a Group race , 8 had won at Group level .
13/14 had already won over 12f
12/14 were making their seasonal debuts
12/14 were aged 4-6y old
10/10 with a BHB rating were rated 108 or better .


Taking out those rated UNDER 108 takes out no less than 10 of the 17 entries.
Of those left only CLOWANCE has not won over the 12f but she has ran 3 times in G1 company [12f,14f and 16f ] so i would not dismiss her chance too quickly on that score.

HALICARNASSUS has won 3 Gorup races but the last was over in turkey and the other 2 were back in 2007 .
His did win only a 64k handicap over in Meydan in March but it's my opinion he's not good enough nowadays to take this race , esp giving weight away to every other runner .

Unless they have turned things around 180% , GODOLPHIN's poor record in early season races turns me against CLAREMONT , if they have fair enough but i'll take my chance on droping this one .

That leaves - AKMAL , ALLIED POWERS , PURPLE MOON , TRAFFIC GUARD , HARBINGER and CLOWANCE to consider .
If the last named is declared i'll have a closer look at the Fillies record in this race.
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