No luck on the final at the Festival
The Flat starts next week and to get us in the mood here's the Trends for the 7f Listed event at Lingfield tomorrow -
3.00 7f Listed 3 y-olds
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7/7 were in the top 4 in the betting
7/7 had won at least once in their career , 5 won Last time out .
7/7 were rated 93+
There are 7 left after taking into account the market .
All 7 have won at least once .
KONA COAST was only rated 93 when well beaten in a Listed race at Meydan and HADEETH is only rated 90 so both are out .
All the remaining 6 should or have find the 7f to their liking .
CLASSIC COLORI has ran only twice and was beaten last time in a G3 on Soft ground at Newbury .
Was possibly badly drawn in the conditions that day.
His yard have had 5 winners from 24 runners in 2010.
DUPLICITY ran his first 2 races over 7f but only won when dropped back to 6f.
His 5th in a G3 over in France LTO was also over 6f.
R HANNON has had 7 wins from 34 runners on the AW in 2010 .
He has ran once on the AW at Kempton .
GREYFRIARSCHORISTA is on a 4-timer but his best win was in a Class 3 Handicap.
No doubt he has been running in a grade or 3 lower than his best as his odds and winning distances will tell you but this is still a big jump up in class .
There have been 22 runners from those who have finished behind GREYFRIARS in his 3 wins but only 1 horse has managed to win [ he was making his career debut when 2nd behind GREYFRIARS ].
HANSON'D won his 2nd race when odds-on in a Cl 4 at AYR .
That followed his promising debut in a Cl 2 at York , he was well beaten in the Racing Post Trophy @ 50/1.
The stable has been putting the winners by steadily this year on the AW.
JIRA has been highly tried after winning a Listed race at Newmarket in June.
4th in a G3 at Ascot [btn under 3l] , 8th[btn 8l] in the Sweet Solera and a 4th [btn just over 2l ] in a Listed race when slow out of the stalls was then followed by a close 3rd in a Cl2 at NMKT and finally came a 6l beating behind the odds-on LILLIE LANGTRY in a 433k Cl 2 Stakes event at NMKT.
Bred to stay every inch of the 7f .
Seb Saunders has a 24% strike-rate for C BRITTAIN on his 3y-olds and the trainer himself has had a 33% stike-rate in the month of March for the past 2 seasons.
Summary - CLASSIC COLORI may just need the race and i doubt he is up to this class
DUPLICITY won when dropped in distance and on Soft going last season .
GREYFRIARSCHORISTA has ran well this season but takes a big jump in class here , i doubt he is up to it.
HANSON'D has a dcent EW chance afetr his 2nd at York and easy win at AYR .
JIRA has been tried at a level just above todays and has ran well enough to suggest that , providing she can handle the surface , she has the class to win this .
Bred for 7f , a trainer in form [won this last season] and a jockey who has ridden well for the yard leads me to believe that the
10/ 1 on offer is well worth an interest .